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Kyoto Sanga - Pohang Steelers

AFC Champions League November 24, 2026 11:00
Kyoto Sanga
#6 · 6 pts
vs
Pohang Steelers
#14 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
57.9%
Win
Kyoto Sanga
26.31%
Draw
15.79%
Win
Pohang Steelers
1.41
Expected xG
0.56
Most likely outcome
Kyoto Sanga
57.9%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 3 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (20.32%)
1X2 Result
1 58%
X 26%
2 16%
Double Chance
1X 84%
X2 42%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 39%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kyoto Sanga a 57% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Pohang Steelers. Expected goals are 1.4 for Kyoto Sanga and 0.6 for Pohang Steelers (total 2.0), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 20.32% probability.

Season Stats

Kyoto Sanga
2W 0D 1L
Pohang Steelers
0W 0D 3L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
0.3
1.0
Conceded
2.7
7.0
Shots OT
2.0
6.7
Corners
4.7
49%
Poss.
39%
Percentages
33%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
67%
33%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Kyoto Sanga
2W 0D 0L · at home
Pohang Steelers
0W 0D 2L · away
3.0
gls/g
0.5
1.0
Conceded
3.0
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Kyoto Sanga Pohang Steelers →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.1% 7.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 19.8% 11.0% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% —
2 13.9% 7.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 6.5% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% — —
4 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
W Newcastle Jets 5–2
W Ratchaburi 1–0
L Daejeon Citizen 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers
L Kashima 3–0
L Johor Darul Takzim FC 0–2
L Beijing Guoan 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
Attack
37
Defence
59
Form
51
Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers
Attack
22
Defence
45
Form
31
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

East Region

# Team G Pts
1 Kashima Kashima 3 9
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3 9
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 3 7
4 Johor Darul Takzim FC Johor Darul Takzim FC 3 7
5 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 3 7
6 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3 6
7 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3 4
8 SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG 3 4
9 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 3 4
10 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 3 4
11 Công An Nhân Dân Công An Nhân Dân 3 3
12 Buriram United Buriram United 3 2
13 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 3 1
14 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 3 0
15 Port FC Port FC 3 0
16 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 3 0

What's at stake · East Region

Top 2 advance to the next round

Kyoto Sanga Pohang Steelers
Current #6 #14
→ Kyoto Sanga #3 #14
→ Draw #6 #14
→ Pohang Steelers #6 #12

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Pohang Steelers?
The model gives Kyoto Sanga a 57% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 15% for an Pohang Steelers win.
How many goals are expected in Kyoto Sanga vs Pohang Steelers?
Expected goals: Kyoto Sanga 1.4, Pohang Steelers 0.6 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Kyoto Sanga vs Pohang Steelers?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 20.32%.