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J1 League · Regular Season - 17 May 17, 2026 08:00 Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
Kyoto Sanga
#12 · 16 pts
0 – 4
Final score
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#3 · 30 pts
29' (ast. S. Higashi) S. Nakamura
49' (ast. M. Kato) A. Suzuki
51' (ast. S. Higashi) M. Kato
75' (ast. S. Nakamura) T. Matsumoto
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sanfrecce Hiroshima a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Kyoto Sanga 25%). The final result was Kyoto Sanga 0–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. In 2 previous meetings, Kyoto Sanga have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Match statistics
2
Total shots
11
2
Shots on target
8
3
Saves
2
56%
Possession
44%
1
Corners
9
8
Tackles
23
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
29'
ast. S. Higashi · S. Nakamura⚽
Henrique Trevisan
36'
↕ T. Matsuda / F. Honda
46'
49'
ast. M. Kato · A. Suzuki⚽
51'
ast. S. Higashi · M. Kato⚽
↕ R. Nakano / H. Arai
52'
61'
N. Arai
↕ Souza Alex / M. Okugawa
64'
65'
R. Germain / M. Kato ↕
65'
T. Matsumoto / N. Arai ↕
Joao Pedro
66'
75'
ast. S. Nakamura · T. Matsumoto⚽
↕ Henrique Trevisan / S. Asada
76'
↕ K. Sato / T. Hiraoka
76'
79'
N. Maeda / S. Nakamura ↕
79'
K. Kinoshita / A. Suzuki ↕
86'
S. Kobayashi / H. Kawabe ↕
Pre-match prediction
25.1%
Kyoto
29.0%
X
45.9%
Sanfrecce ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) 45.9% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Kyoto
0.73
—
—
Sanfrecce
1.17
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 14 33
2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 14 31
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 14 30
4 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 14 29
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 14 27
6 Kashima Kashima 14 23
7 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 14 22
8 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 14 22
9 Urawa Urawa 14 22
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 14 17
11 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 14 17
12 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 14 16
13 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 14 14
14 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 14 14
15 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 14 14
16 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 14 13
17 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 14 13
18 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 14 12
19 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 14 9
20 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 14 8
Lineups
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 4-3-3
94 Masaaki Murakami Masaaki Murakami G 6.00
44 K. Sato K. Sato 76' D 6.50
34 Henrique Trevisan Henrique Trevisan 76' D 5.60
50 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki D 6.30
22 H. Sugai H. Sugai D 5.30
48 R. Nakano R. Nakano 52' M 6.60
25 Sung-jun Yoon Sung-jun Yoon M 6.70
6 João Pedro João Pedro M 6.30
17 Alex Negueba Alex Negueba 64' F 6.20
9 Rafael Elias Rafael Elias F 6.60
18 T. Matsuda T. Matsuda 45' F 6.30
Bench
99 F. Honda F. Honda 45' M 6.30
1 G. Ota G. Ota G
77 H. Arai H. Arai 38' M 6.70
5 H. Tawiah H. Tawiah D
7 M. Okugawa M. Okugawa 26' M 6.50
3 Shogo Asada Shogo Asada 14' D 7.20
93 S. Nagasawa S. Nagasawa F
16 T. Hiraoka T. Hiraoka 14' M 6.20
40 Yusuke Ishida Yusuke Ishida D
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-4-2-1
1 K. Osako K. Osako G 7.50
19 S. Sasaki S. Sasaki D 7.50
3 Taichi Yamasaki Taichi Yamasaki D 6.90
33 T. Shiotani T. Shiotani D 7.20
24 S. Higashi S. Higashi 2 👟 M 7.90
13 N. Arai N. Arai 65' M 6.30
6 H. Kawabe H. Kawabe 86' M 6.30
15 S. Nakano S. Nakano M 6.60
39 S. Nakamura S. Nakamura 1 ⚽ 1 👟 79' F 8.20
11 M. Kato M. Kato 1 ⚽ 1 👟 65' F 7.60
10 A. Suzuki A. Suzuki 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.90
Bench
25 Chajima Yusuke Chajima Yusuke M
99 I. Ouchi I. Ouchi G
17 K. Kinoshita K. Kinoshita 11' F 6.30
40 Motoki Ohara Motoki Ohara M
41 N. Maeda N. Maeda 11' F 6.60
9 R. Germain R. Germain 25' F 6.20
45 S. Kobayashi S. Kobayashi 4' M
14 T. Matsumoto T. Matsumoto 1 ⚽ 25' M 7.70
16 T. Shichi T. Shichi D
Best on the pitch
S. Nakamura
S. Nakamura
F · Sanfrecce
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 27 pass
A. Suzuki
A. Suzuki
F · Sanfrecce
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 21 pass
S. Higashi
S. Higashi
M · Sanfrecce
7.90
2 👟
· 36 pass
T. Matsumoto
T. Matsumoto
M · Sanfrecce
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
M. Kato
M. Kato
F · Sanfrecce
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 8 pass
K. Osako
K. Osako
G · Sanfrecce
7.50
· 19 pass
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Masaaki Murakami G 90 6.00 — — — 34 22% — — —
K. Sato D 76 6.50 — — — 17 11% 1 — —
Henrique Trevisan D 76 5.60 — — — 27 17% 3 1 —
Y. Suzuki D 90 6.30 — — — 32 28% — — —
H. Sugai D 90 5.30 — — — 34 21% — — —
R. Nakano M 52 6.60 — — 2 15 6% — — —
Sung-jun Yoon M 90 6.70 — — — 44 37% 1 — —
João Pedro M 90 6.30 — — — 45 35% — 1 —
Alex Negueba F 64 6.20 — — — 6 3% 1 — —
Rafael Elias F 90 6.60 — — — 28 20% — — —
T. Matsuda F 45 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
F. Honda M 45 6.30 — — — 29 19% — — —
H. Arai M 38 6.70 — — — 11 10% 1 — —
M. Okugawa M 26 6.50 — — — 7 6% — — —
Shogo Asada D 14 7.20 — — — 14 14% 1 — —
T. Hiraoka M 14 6.20 — — — 12 10% — — —
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Osako G 90 7.50 — — — 19 9% — — —
S. Sasaki D 90 7.50 — — 2 33 26% 2 — —
Taichi Yamasaki D 90 6.90 — — 1 19 13% 1 — —
T. Shiotani D 90 7.20 — — — 31 23% — — —
S. Higashi M 90 7.90 — 2 — 36 22% 4 — —
N. Arai M 65 6.30 — — 1 10 5% — 1 —
H. Kawabe M 86 6.30 — — 1 33 27% 1 — —
S. Nakano M 90 6.60 — — — 18 12% 3 — —
S. Nakamura F 79 8.20 1 1 1 27 20% 3 — —
M. Kato F 65 7.60 1 1 1 8 8% 1 — —
A. Suzuki F 79 7.90 1 — 3 21 18% — — —
K. Kinoshita F 11 6.30 — — — — — — — —
N. Maeda F 11 6.60 — — — 5 2% 2 — —
R. Germain F 25 6.20 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
S. Kobayashi M 4 — — — — 1 — 4 — —
T. Matsumoto M 25 7.70 1 — 1 3 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The final score was Kyoto Sanga 0–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
What did the model predict before Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Kyoto Sanga win, 29% to a draw, and 45% to an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win.