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Kyrgyzstan - Kenya

Friendlies Internazionali June 03, 2026 16:30
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.0%
Win
Kyrgyzstan
32.79%
Draw
32.21%
Win
Kenya
1.04
Expected xG
1.46
Most likely result 1–1 (12.5%)
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
46%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kyrgyzstan a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Kenya. Expected goals are 1.0 for Kyrgyzstan and 1.5 for Kenya (total 2.5), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.5% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Kyrgyzstan Kenya →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2% 12.0% 8.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.6% 12.5% 9.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.5% 6.5% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

D Palestine 0–0
D Palestine 0–0
L Madagascar 2–5
L Equatorial Guinea 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
W Lesotho 4–0
D Lesotho 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan
Attack
14
Defence
65
Form
38
Kenya Kenya
Attack
25
Defence
75
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kyrgyzstan vs Kenya?
The model gives Kyrgyzstan a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Kenya win.
How many goals are expected in Kyrgyzstan vs Kenya?
Expected goals: Kyrgyzstan 1.0, Kenya 1.5 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Kyrgyzstan vs Kenya?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.5%.