Martim Augusto
(ast. C. Montiel)
20'
(pen.)
71'
S. Dahlstrom
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lahti a 38% win probability (draw 35%, Mariehamn 26%). The final result was Lahti 1–1 Mariehamn. In 2 previous meetings, Lahti have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Mariehamn.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
1
1.99
Actual xG
1.03
60%
Possession
40%
6
Corners
6
Match Events
⚽Martim Augusto
· ast. C. Montiel
20'
46'
N. Dosis
/
M. Hyvonen
46'
L. Andersson
/
A. Lundberg
Martim Augusto
/ D. Heikkinen
67'
R. Yapi
70'
71'
(pen.)
S. Dahlstrom⚽
R. Sans
73'
E. Andersson
/ O. Koskinen
74'
78'
L. Pearce
/
S. Dahlstrom
78'
J. Heyden
/
A. Huttunen
R. Yapi
/ J. Lehtonen
78'
83'
T. Koivisto
Y. Cassubie
89'
90'+3
A. Soiniemi
/
S. Ngulube
Pre-match prediction
38.02%
Lahti
35.95%
X ←
26.04%
Mariehamn
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
35.95%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.66
1.99
+1.33
0.30
1.03
+0.73
Lahti dominated by xG (1.99 vs 1.03).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
O. Maukonen
G
O. Maukonen
G
3
R. Sans
D
R. Sans
D
4
J. Muller
D
J. Muller
D
5
Nicolas Gianini Dantas
D
27
R. Yapi
D
R. Yapi
D
14
E. Andersson
M
E. Andersson
M
18
Y. Cassubie
M
Y. Cassubie
M
8
Tòfol Montiel
1 👟
M
Tòfol Montiel
1 👟
M
11
Martim Ferreira
1 ⚽
M
Martim Ferreira
1 ⚽
M
9
A. Lindholm
F
A. Lindholm
F
77
M. Sarr
F
M. Sarr
F
Bench
17
A. Belabid
F
A. Belabid
F
28
A. Kabashi
M
A. Kabashi
M
7
D. Heikkinen
M
D. Heikkinen
M
2
J. Lehtonen
D
J. Lehtonen
D
44
L. Jarvinen
F
L. Jarvinen
F
10
O. Koskinen
M
O. Koskinen
M
25
T. Inkinen
D
T. Inkinen
D
13
Veikka Rätto
G
6
V. Vehkonen
D
V. Vehkonen
D
32
Matias Riikonen
G
31
Samson Ngulube
D
Samson Ngulube
D
2
N. Nurmi
D
N. Nurmi
D
4
P. Lindgren
D
P. Lindgren
D
38
Y. Amankwah
D
Y. Amankwah
D
5
T. Koivisto
D
T. Koivisto
D
10
S. Dahlström
1 ⚽
M
S. Dahlström
1 ⚽
M
20
E. Patut
M
E. Patut
M
64
M. Hyvönen
F
M. Hyvönen
F
16
A. Huttunen
M
A. Huttunen
M
21
Arvid Lundberg
F
Bench
3
A. Soiniemi
D
A. Soiniemi
D
8
J. van der Heyden
M
J. van der Heyden
M
1
K. Lund
G
K. Lund
G
43
L. Andersson
F
L. Andersson
F
11
Luke Pearce
F
Luke Pearce
F
6
N. Dosis
M
N. Dosis
M
Lahti — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Maukonen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Sans | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Muller | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Gianini Dantas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Yapi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Andersson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Cassubie | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tòfol Montiel | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martim Ferreira | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Lindholm | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Sarr | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Mariehamn — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matias Riikonen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samson Ngulube | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Nurmi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Lindgren | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Amankwah | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Koivisto | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Dahlström | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Patut | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hyvönen | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Huttunen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arvid Lundberg | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lahti vs Mariehamn?
The final score was Lahti 1–1 Mariehamn.
What did the model predict before Lahti vs Mariehamn?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Lahti win, 35% to a draw, and 26% to an Mariehamn win.