C. Montiel
(ast. D. Heikkinen)
45'+2
41'
L. Smyth
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lahti a 33% win probability (draw 37%, VPS 28%). The final result was Lahti 1–1 VPS.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
4
0.85
Actual xG
1.31
59%
Possession
41%
4
Corners
1
Match Events
Neemias
/ A. Lindholm
27'
41'
L. Smyth⚽
Martim Augusto
44'
⚽C. Montiel
· ast. D. Heikkinen
45'+2
45'+3
A. Raisanen
/
M. Haukioja
R. Yapi
46'
47'
(missed pen.)
L. Smyth⚽
58'
A. Raisanen
67'
J. Vahtera
/
S. Lindholm
67'
J. Ali
/
Y. Daoussi
67'
J. Turfkruier
/
J. Muzinga
D. Heikkinen
/ O. Koskinen
70'
E. Andersson
/ A. Belabid
70'
C. Montiel
/ A. Kabashi
86'
90'
L. Mane
Pre-match prediction
33.29%
Lahti
37.86%
X ←
28.85%
VPS
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
37.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.49
0.85
+0.36
0.38
1.31
+0.93
VPS dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.85).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Osku Maukonen
G
3
Romain Sans
D
4
José Müller
D
6
Väinö Vehkonen
D
27
Romaric Yapi
D
14
Erik Andersson
M
18
Yohan Cassubie
M
7
Daniel Heikkinen
1 👟
M
11
Martim Ferreira
M
19
Neemias Barbosa
F
8
Tòfol Montiel
1 ⚽
M
Bench
9
Aaron Lindholm
F
17
Amir Belabid
F
28
Armend Kabashi
M
2
Joel Lehtonen
D
Joel Lehtonen
D
44
Leevi Järvinen
F
21
Matias Vainionpää
D
5
Nicolas Gianini Dantas
D
25
Topias Inkinen
D
13
Veikka Rätto
G
41
Mamadou Jalloh
G
19
Martti Haukioja
D
23
Miika Niemi
D
6
Emmanuel Okereke
D
27
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan
M
2
Lassana Mané
D
8
Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima
M
Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima
M
24
Yassin Daoussi
M
14
Simon Lindholm
M
11
Jonathan Muzinga
F
15
Luka Smyth
1 ⚽
F
Luka Smyth
1 ⚽
F
Bench
33
Akon Kuek
D
34
Antti-Ville Räisänen
M
10
Jabir Abdihakim Ali
F
7
Jayden Turfkruier
M
30
Joonas Vahtera
M
12
Lucas Väyrynen
G
35
Olavi Keturi
F
13
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi
D
5
Vilmer Ronnberg
D
Lahti — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osku Maukonen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Romain Sans | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Müller | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Väinö Vehkonen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Romaric Yapi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Andersson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yohan Cassubie | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Heikkinen | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martim Ferreira | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neemias Barbosa | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tòfol Montiel | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
VPS — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamadou Jalloh | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martti Haukioja | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miika Niemi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Okereke | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lassana Mané | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yassin Daoussi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simon Lindholm | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Muzinga | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luka Smyth | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lahti vs VPS?
The final score was Lahti 1–1 VPS.
What did the model predict before Lahti vs VPS?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Lahti win, 37% to a draw, and 28% to an VPS win.