C. Montiel
(ast. D. Heikkinen)
45'+2
41'
L. Smyth
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lahti a 33% win probability (draw 37%, VPS 28%). The final result was Lahti 1–1 VPS.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
4
0.85
Actual xG
1.31
59%
Possession
41%
4
Corners
1
Match Events
Neemias
/ A. Lindholm
27'
41'
L. Smyth⚽
Martim Augusto
44'
⚽C. Montiel
· ast. D. Heikkinen
45'+2
45'+3
A. Raisanen
/
M. Haukioja
R. Yapi
46'
47'
(missed pen.)
L. Smyth⚽
58'
A. Raisanen
67'
J. Vahtera
/
S. Lindholm
67'
J. Ali
/
Y. Daoussi
67'
J. Turfkruier
/
J. Muzinga
D. Heikkinen
/ O. Koskinen
70'
E. Andersson
/ A. Belabid
70'
C. Montiel
/ A. Kabashi
86'
90'
L. Mane
Pre-match prediction
33.29%
Lahti
37.86%
X ←
28.85%
VPS
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
37.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.49
0.85
+0.36
0.38
1.31
+0.93
VPS dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.85).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Osku Maukonen
G
Osku Maukonen
G
3
Romain Sans
D
Romain Sans
D
4
José Müller
D
6
Väinö Vehkonen
D
Väinö Vehkonen
D
27
R. Yapi
D
R. Yapi
D
14
Erik Andersson
M
Erik Andersson
M
18
Y. Cassubie
M
Y. Cassubie
M
7
Daniel Heikkinen
1 👟
M
Daniel Heikkinen
1 👟
M
11
Martim Ferreira
M
Martim Ferreira
M
19
Neemias Barbosa
F
8
Tòfol Montiel
1 ⚽
M
Tòfol Montiel
1 ⚽
M
Bench
9
Aaron Lindholm
F
17
Amir Belabid
F
Amir Belabid
F
28
Armend Kabashi
M
Armend Kabashi
M
2
Joel Lehtonen
D
44
Leevi Järvinen
F
21
Matias Vainionpää
D
5
Nicolas Gianini Dantas
D
25
Topias Inkinen
D
Topias Inkinen
D
13
Veikka Rätto
G
41
Mamadou Jalloh
G
19
M. Haukioja
D
M. Haukioja
D
23
Miika Niemi
D
Miika Niemi
D
6
Emmanuel Okereke
D
Emmanuel Okereke
D
27
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan
M
2
Lassana Mané
D
8
Paulo Lima
M
24
Yassin Daoussi
M
Yassin Daoussi
M
14
Simon Lindholm
M
Simon Lindholm
M
11
Jonathan Muzinga
F
Jonathan Muzinga
F
15
L. Smyth
1 ⚽
F
L. Smyth
1 ⚽
F
Bench
33
Akon Kuek
D
Akon Kuek
D
34
Antti-Ville Räisänen
M
Antti-Ville Räisänen
M
10
Jabir Abdihakim Ali
F
7
Jayden Turfkruier
M
Jayden Turfkruier
M
30
Joonas Vahtera
M
12
Lucas Väyrynen
G
35
Olavi Keturi
F
13
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi
D
5
Vilmer Ronnberg
D
Vilmer Ronnberg
D
Lahti — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osku Maukonen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Romain Sans | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Müller | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Väinö Vehkonen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Yapi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Andersson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Cassubie | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Heikkinen | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martim Ferreira | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neemias Barbosa | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tòfol Montiel | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
VPS — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamadou Jalloh | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Haukioja | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miika Niemi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Okereke | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lassana Mané | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Lima | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yassin Daoussi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simon Lindholm | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Muzinga | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Smyth | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lahti vs VPS?
The final score was Lahti 1–1 VPS.
What did the model predict before Lahti vs VPS?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Lahti win, 37% to a draw, and 28% to an VPS win.