Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 2
April 17, 2026 00:00
Yoshan Valois
67'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lanus a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Always Ready 31%). The final result was Lanus 1–0 Always Ready. In 1 previous meetings, Lanus have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Always Ready.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
1
2.44
Actual xG
0.51
2
Saves
6
65%
Possession
35%
11
Corners
1
19
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
José Canale
13'
Franco Watson
/ Yoshan Valois
46'
Agustín Medina
/ Marcelino Moreno
58'
Eduardo Salvio
/ Dylan Aquino
65'
66'
Richet Gomez
⚽Yoshan Valois
67'
69'
Joel Amoroso
/
Fernando Saucedo
77'
Juan Godoy
/
Yhormar Hurtado
Ramiro Carrera
/ Facundo Sánchez
80'
Lucas Besozzi
/ Matías Sepúlveda
80'
83'
Fernando Nava
88'
Luis Caicedo
88'
Luis Caicedo
88'
Luis Caicedo
90'
Carlitos Rodriguez
/
Richet Gomez
90'
Dieguito Rodriguez
/
Fernando Nava
90'
Felipe Pasadore
/
Enrique Triverio
Pre-match prediction
35.65%
Lanus ←
32.51%
X
31.83%
Always
we assigned to the actual result (Lanus)
35.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.23
2.44
+1.21
0.88
0.51
-0.37
Lanus dominated by xG (2.44 vs 0.51).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
G
6
Sasha Marcich
D
Sasha Marcich
D
13
J. Canale
D
J. Canale
D
24
Carlos Izquierdoz
D
Carlos Izquierdoz
D
4
Gonzalo Perez
D
Gonzalo Perez
D
5
Felipe Peña Biafore
M
Felipe Peña Biafore
M
17
Agustín Medina
58'
M
Agustín Medina
58'
M
77
Lucas Besozzi
80'
M
Lucas Besozzi
80'
M
8
Franco Watson
45'
M
Franco Watson
45'
M
11
Eduardo Salvio
65'
M
Eduardo Salvio
65'
M
23
R. Carrera
80'
F
R. Carrera
80'
F
Bench
25
D. Aquino
31'
F
D. Aquino
31'
F
27
Facundo Sánchez
16'
D
Facundo Sánchez
16'
D
10
Marcelino Moreno
38'
M
Marcelino Moreno
38'
M
16
Matías Sepúlveda
16'
M
Matías Sepúlveda
16'
M
35
Ronaldo De Jesus
D
Ronaldo De Jesus
D
19
Yoshan Valois
1 ⚽
51'
F
Yoshan Valois
1 ⚽
51'
F
1
G
5
Marcelo Suárez
D
Marcelo Suárez
D
21
Alex Rambal
D
Alex Rambal
D
3
L. Caicedo
88'
D
L. Caicedo
88'
D
22
Richet Gomez
D
Richet Gomez
D
13
H. Cuellar
M
H. Cuellar
M
17
F. Nava
M
F. Nava
M
6
Rai Lima
M
Rai Lima
M
20
F. Saucedo
69'
M
F. Saucedo
69'
M
27
Y. D. Hurtado Torres
77'
M
9
E. Triverio
F
E. Triverio
F
Bench
18
Carlitos Rodriguez
5'
D
Carlitos Rodriguez
5'
D
7
Joel Amoroso
27'
M
Joel Amoroso
27'
M
23
Juan Godoy
19'
F
Juan Godoy
19'
F
26
Máximo Mamani
M
Máximo Mamani
M
Best on the pitch
Marcelino Moreno
M · Lanus
7.90
3 shots
· 24 pass
R. Carrera
F · Lanus
7.90
2 shots
· 29 pass
Carlos Izquierdoz
D · Lanus
7.70
1 shots
· 88 pass
Felipe Peña Biafore
M · Lanus
7.50
1 shots
· 63 pass
Alex Rambal
D · Always
7.50
· 21 pass
Sasha Marcich
D · Lanus
7.30
3 shots
· 29 pass
Lanus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Sasha Marcich | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Canale | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 55% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Carlos Izquierdoz | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 88 | 73% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Perez | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| Felipe Peña Biafore | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 55% | 4 | — | — |
| Agustín Medina | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Besozzi | M | 80 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Franco Watson | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Salvio | M | 65 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Carrera | F | 80 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| D. Aquino | F | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Sánchez | D | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcelino Moreno | M | 38 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Matías Sepúlveda | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Yoshan Valois | F | 51 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Always Ready — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Marcelo Suárez | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Alex Rambal | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Caicedo | D | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Richet Gomez | D | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 10% | 4 | 1 | — |
| H. Cuellar | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Nava | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rai Lima | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 37% | — | — | — |
| F. Saucedo | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. D. Hurtado Torres | M | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| E. Triverio | F | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Carlitos Rodriguez | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Joel Amoroso | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Godoy | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lanus vs Always Ready?
The final score was Lanus 1–0 Always Ready.
What did the model predict before Lanus vs Always Ready?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Lanus win, 32% to a draw, and 31% to an Always Ready win.