Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 2
April 17, 2026 00:00
Yoshan Valois
67'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lanus a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Always Ready 31%). The final result was Lanus 1–0 Always Ready. In 1 previous meetings, Lanus have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Always Ready.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
1
2.44
Actual xG
0.51
2
Saves
6
65%
Possession
35%
11
Corners
1
19
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
José Canale
13'
Franco Watson
/ Yoshan Valois
46'
Agustín Medina
/ Marcelino Moreno
58'
Eduardo Salvio
/ Dylan Aquino
65'
66'
Richet Gomez
⚽Yoshan Valois
67'
69'
Joel Amoroso
/
Fernando Saucedo
77'
Juan Godoy
/
Yhormar Hurtado
Ramiro Carrera
/ Facundo Sánchez
80'
Lucas Besozzi
/ Matías Sepúlveda
80'
83'
Fernando Nava
88'
Luis Caicedo
88'
Luis Caicedo
88'
Luis Caicedo
90'
Carlitos Rodriguez
/
Richet Gomez
90'
Dieguito Rodriguez
/
Fernando Nava
90'
Felipe Pasadore
/
Enrique Triverio
Pre-match prediction
35.65%
Lanus ←
32.51%
X
31.83%
Always
we assigned to the actual result (Lanus)
35.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.23
2.44
+1.21
0.88
0.51
-0.37
Lanus dominated by xG (2.44 vs 0.51).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
G
6
S. Marcich
D
S. Marcich
D
13
José Canale
D
José Canale
D
24
C. Izquierdoz
D
C. Izquierdoz
D
4
G. Pérez
D
G. Pérez
D
5
F. Peña
M
F. Peña
M
17
A. Medina
58'
M
A. Medina
58'
M
77
L. Besozzi
80'
M
L. Besozzi
80'
M
8
F. Watson
45'
M
F. Watson
45'
M
11
E. Salvio
65'
M
E. Salvio
65'
M
23
R. Carrera
80'
F
R. Carrera
80'
F
Bench
25
D. Aquino
31'
F
D. Aquino
31'
F
27
F. Sánchez
16'
D
F. Sánchez
16'
D
16
Matías Sepúlveda
16'
M
Matías Sepúlveda
16'
M
10
M. Moreno
38'
M
M. Moreno
38'
M
35
R. De Jesús
D
R. De Jesús
D
19
Y. Valois
1 ⚽
51'
F
Y. Valois
1 ⚽
51'
F
1
G
5
Marcelo Suárez
D
Marcelo Suárez
D
21
A. Rambal
D
A. Rambal
D
3
L. Caicedo
88'
D
L. Caicedo
88'
D
22
Richet Gomez
D
13
H. Cuellar
M
H. Cuellar
M
17
Fernando Nava
M
6
Rai Lima
M
20
F. Saucedo
69'
M
F. Saucedo
69'
M
27
Y. Hurtado
77'
M
Y. Hurtado
77'
M
9
E. Triverio
F
E. Triverio
F
Bench
18
C. Rodriguez
5'
D
C. Rodriguez
5'
D
7
J. Amoroso
27'
M
J. Amoroso
27'
M
23
J. Godoy
19'
F
J. Godoy
19'
F
26
M. Mamani
M
M. Mamani
M
Best on the pitch
R. Carrera
F · Lanus
7.90
2 shots
· 29 pass
M. Moreno
M · Lanus
7.90
3 shots
· 24 pass
C. Izquierdoz
D · Lanus
7.70
1 shots
· 88 pass
F. Peña
M · Lanus
7.50
1 shots
· 63 pass
A. Rambal
D · Always
7.50
· 21 pass
S. Marcich
D · Lanus
7.30
3 shots
· 29 pass
Lanus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| S. Marcich | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| José Canale | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 55% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Izquierdoz | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 88 | 73% | — | — | — |
| G. Pérez | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Peña | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 55% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Medina | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Besozzi | M | 80 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Watson | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| E. Salvio | M | 65 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Carrera | F | 80 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| D. Aquino | F | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| F. Sánchez | D | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Matías Sepúlveda | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Moreno | M | 38 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Valois | F | 51 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Always Ready — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Marcelo Suárez | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Rambal | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Caicedo | D | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Richet Gomez | D | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 10% | 4 | 1 | — |
| H. Cuellar | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| Fernando Nava | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rai Lima | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 37% | — | — | — |
| F. Saucedo | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Hurtado | M | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| E. Triverio | F | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Rodriguez | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Amoroso | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Godoy | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lanus vs Always Ready?
The final score was Lanus 1–0 Always Ready.
What did the model predict before Lanus vs Always Ready?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Lanus win, 32% to a draw, and 31% to an Always Ready win.