Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 32
July 23, 2026 02:30
F. N. Watson
(ast. L. Besozzi)
35'
R. Carrera
90'+5
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lanus a 49% win probability (draw 26%, Cienciano 23%). The final result was Lanus 2–0 Cienciano. In 1 previous meetings, Lanus have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cienciano.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
1
1.30
Actual xG
0.12
1
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
0
10
Tackles
28
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
F. N. Watson
10'
16'
S. D. Arias Fierro
E. Salvio
21'
A. Cardozo
27'
⚽F. N. Watson
· ast. L. Besozzi
35'
39'
C. Cabello
/
A. Robles
F. N. Watson
/ R. Carrera
46'
53'
M. Martinich
L. Besozzi
63'
68'
D. La Torre
/
M. Martinich
Y. Valois
/ A. Wlk
76'
R. Carrera
82'
82'
M. Succar
/
S. D. Arias Fierro
E. Salvio
/ D. Aquino
86'
A. Cardozo
/ F. Pena Biafore
86'
⚽R. Carrera
90'+5
A. Medina
/ M. Sepulveda
90'
Pre-match prediction
49.96%
Lanus ←
26.58%
X
23.46%
Cienciano
we assigned to the actual result (Lanus)
49.96%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
1.30
-0.24
0.85
0.12
-0.73
Lanus dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.12).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
N. Losada
G
N. Losada
G
6
S. Marcich
D
S. Marcich
D
13
J. Canale
D
J. Canale
D
24
C. Izquierdoz
D
C. Izquierdoz
D
33
T. Guidara
D
T. Guidara
D
30
A. Cardozo
86'
M
A. Cardozo
86'
M
17
A. Medina
89'
M
A. Medina
89'
M
77
L. Besozzi
1 👟
62'
M
L. Besozzi
1 👟
62'
M
8
F. Watson
1 ⚽
45'
M
F. Watson
1 ⚽
45'
M
11
E. Salvio
86'
M
E. Salvio
86'
M
19
Y. Valois
75'
F
Y. Valois
75'
F
Bench
20
A. Wlk
21'
F
A. Wlk
21'
F
38
B. Acosta
F
B. Acosta
F
25
D. Aquino
10'
F
D. Aquino
10'
F
27
Facundo Sánchez
D
Facundo Sánchez
D
5
F. Peña
10'
M
F. Peña
10'
M
1
F. Petroli
G
F. Petroli
G
4
G. Pérez
D
G. Pérez
D
2
Luciano Romero
D
Luciano Romero
D
16
M. Sepúlveda
7'
M
M. Sepúlveda
7'
M
3
N. Morgantini
D
N. Morgantini
D
23
R. Carrera
1 ⚽
51'
M
R. Carrera
1 ⚽
51'
M
35
R. De Jesús
D
R. De Jesús
D
31
Í. Espinoza
G
Í. Espinoza
G
16
M. Martinich
67'
D
M. Martinich
67'
D
3
K. Becerra
D
K. Becerra
D
4
Maximiliano Amondarain
D
13
C. Núñez
D
C. Núñez
D
29
A. Robles
39'
M
A. Robles
39'
M
5
S. Arias
82'
M
S. Arias
82'
M
88
G. Barreto
M
G. Barreto
M
10
A. Hohberg
F
A. Hohberg
F
21
C. Garcés
F
C. Garcés
F
7
C. Souza
F
C. Souza
F
Bench
27
A. Yovera
D
A. Yovera
D
22
C. Cabello
57'
D
C. Cabello
57'
D
18
D. La Torre
29'
F
D. La Torre
29'
F
8
G. Aguirre
M
G. Aguirre
M
1
G. Falcón
G
G. Falcón
G
39
H. Caparó
M
H. Caparó
M
30
Jean Franco Roncal
G
Jean Franco Roncal
G
19
M. Succar
14'
F
M. Succar
14'
F
11
N. Bandiera
F
N. Bandiera
F
26
R. Aguilar
D
R. Aguilar
D
25
R. Salazar
D
R. Salazar
D
14
S. Cavero
D
S. Cavero
D
Best on the pitch
T. Guidara
D · Lanus
7.90
· 62 pass
A. Cardozo
M · Lanus
7.70
1 shots
· 72 pass
Í. Espinoza
G · Cienciano
7.50
· 31 pass
F. Watson
M · Lanus
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
Maximiliano Amondarain
D · Cienciano
7.30
· 47 pass
R. Carrera
M · Lanus
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 12 pass
Lanus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Losada | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | — | — |
| S. Marcich | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| J. Canale | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| C. Izquierdoz | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 39% | — | — | — |
| T. Guidara | D | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Cardozo | M | 86 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 62% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Medina | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Besozzi | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | 1 |
| F. Watson | M | 45 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Salvio | M | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Y. Valois | F | 75 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Wlk | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Aquino | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| F. Peña | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Sepúlveda | M | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Carrera | M | 51 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
Cienciano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Í. Espinoza | G | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. Martinich | D | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 6 | 1 | — |
| K. Becerra | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Maximiliano Amondarain | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Núñez | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Robles | M | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| S. Arias | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 28% | 3 | 1 | — |
| G. Barreto | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Hohberg | F | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Garcés | F | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Souza | F | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Cabello | D | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| D. La Torre | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Succar | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lanus vs Cienciano?
The final score was Lanus 2–0 Cienciano.
What did the model predict before Lanus vs Cienciano?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Lanus win, 26% to a draw, and 23% to an Cienciano win.