Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 32
July 23, 2026 02:30
F. N. Watson
(ast. L. Besozzi)
35'
R. Carrera
90'+5
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lanus a 49% win probability (draw 26%, Cienciano 23%). The final result was Lanus 2–0 Cienciano.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
1
1.30
Actual xG
0.12
1
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
0
10
Tackles
28
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
F. N. Watson
10'
16'
S. D. Arias Fierro
E. Salvio
21'
A. Cardozo
27'
⚽F. N. Watson
· ast. L. Besozzi
35'
39'
C. Cabello
/
A. Robles
F. N. Watson
/ R. Carrera
46'
53'
M. Martinich
L. Besozzi
63'
68'
D. La Torre
/
M. Martinich
Y. Valois
/ A. Wlk
76'
R. Carrera
82'
82'
M. Succar
/
S. D. Arias Fierro
E. Salvio
/ D. Aquino
86'
A. Cardozo
/ F. Pena Biafore
86'
⚽R. Carrera
90'+5
A. Medina
/ M. Sepulveda
90'
Pre-match prediction
49.96%
Lanus ←
26.58%
X
23.46%
Cienciano
we assigned to the actual result (Lanus)
49.96%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
1.30
-0.24
0.85
0.12
-0.73
Lanus dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.12).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
Nahuel Losada
G
Nahuel Losada
G
6
Sasha Marcich
D
Sasha Marcich
D
13
José Canale
D
José Canale
D
24
Carlos Izquierdoz
D
Carlos Izquierdoz
D
33
Tomás Guidara
D
Tomás Guidara
D
30
Agustín Cardozo
86'
M
Agustín Cardozo
86'
M
17
Agustín Medina
89'
M
Agustín Medina
89'
M
77
Lucas Besozzi
1 👟
62'
M
Lucas Besozzi
1 👟
62'
M
8
Franco Watson
1 ⚽
45'
M
Franco Watson
1 ⚽
45'
M
11
Eduardo Salvio
86'
M
Eduardo Salvio
86'
M
19
Yoshan Valois
75'
F
Yoshan Valois
75'
F
Bench
20
A. Wlk
21'
F
A. Wlk
21'
F
38
Benjamin Acosta
F
Benjamin Acosta
F
25
Dylan Aquino
10'
F
Dylan Aquino
10'
F
27
Facundo Sánchez
D
Facundo Sánchez
D
5
Felipe Peña Biafore
10'
M
Felipe Peña Biafore
10'
M
1
Franco Petroli
G
Franco Petroli
G
4
Gonzalo Perez
D
Gonzalo Perez
D
2
Luciano Romero
D
Luciano Romero
D
16
Matías Sepúlveda
7'
M
Matías Sepúlveda
7'
M
3
Nicolás Morgantini
D
Nicolás Morgantini
D
23
Ramiro Carrera
1 ⚽
51'
M
Ramiro Carrera
1 ⚽
51'
M
35
Ronaldo De Jesus
D
Ronaldo De Jesus
D
31
Ítalo Espinoza
G
Ítalo Espinoza
G
16
Marcos Martinich
67'
D
Marcos Martinich
67'
D
3
Kevin Becerra
D
Kevin Becerra
D
4
Maximiliano Amondarain
D
Maximiliano Amondarain
D
13
Claudio Nunez
D
Claudio Nunez
D
29
Ademar Robles
39'
M
Ademar Robles
39'
M
5
Santiago Arias
82'
M
Santiago Arias
82'
M
88
Gerson Barreto
M
Gerson Barreto
M
10
A. Hohberg
F
A. Hohberg
F
21
C. Garcés
F
C. Garcés
F
7
C. Souza
F
C. Souza
F
Bench
27
Alonso Yovera
D
Alonso Yovera
D
22
C. Cabello
57'
D
C. Cabello
57'
D
18
Didier La Torre
29'
F
Didier La Torre
29'
F
8
Gonzalo Aguirre
M
Gonzalo Aguirre
M
1
Gonzalo Falcón
G
Gonzalo Falcón
G
39
Henry Caparó
M
Henry Caparó
M
30
Jean Franco Roncal
G
Jean Franco Roncal
G
19
Matías Succar
14'
F
Matías Succar
14'
F
11
N. Bandiera
F
N. Bandiera
F
25
Renzo Salazar
D
Renzo Salazar
D
26
Rotceh Aguilar
D
Rotceh Aguilar
D
14
Sebastian Cavero
D
Sebastian Cavero
D
Best on the pitch
Tomás Guidara
D · Lanus
7.90
· 62 pass
Agustín Cardozo
M · Lanus
7.70
1 shots
· 72 pass
Ítalo Espinoza
G · Cienciano
7.50
· 31 pass
Franco Watson
M · Lanus
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
Maximiliano Amondarain
D · Cienciano
7.30
· 47 pass
Ramiro Carrera
M · Lanus
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 12 pass
Lanus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahuel Losada | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Sasha Marcich | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| José Canale | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Izquierdoz | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Tomás Guidara | D | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Agustín Cardozo | M | 86 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 62% | — | 1 | — |
| Agustín Medina | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Besozzi | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Franco Watson | M | 45 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Eduardo Salvio | M | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Yoshan Valois | F | 75 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Wlk | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Dylan Aquino | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Peña Biafore | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Matías Sepúlveda | M | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramiro Carrera | M | 51 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
Cienciano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ítalo Espinoza | G | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Martinich | D | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Kevin Becerra | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Maximiliano Amondarain | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Claudio Nunez | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Ademar Robles | M | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Arias | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 28% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Gerson Barreto | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Hohberg | F | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Garcés | F | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Souza | F | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Cabello | D | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Didier La Torre | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Matías Succar | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lanus vs Cienciano?
The final score was Lanus 2–0 Cienciano.
What did the model predict before Lanus vs Cienciano?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Lanus win, 26% to a draw, and 23% to an Cienciano win.