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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 15 November 02, 2026 00:45 Estadio Ciudad de Lanus, Buenos Aires
Lanus
#5 · 26 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Gimnasia M.
#8 · 22 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Lanus, result Draw
Gonzalo Thomás Lobos (ast. Felipe Peña Biafore) 45'+4
(og) 72' Raul Loaiza
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lanus a 68% win probability (draw 18%, Gimnasia M. 12%). The final result was Lanus 1–1 Gimnasia M.. In 1 previous meetings, Lanus have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gimnasia M..

Match statistics
13
Total shots
15
4
Shots on target
6
1.20
Actual xG
0.73
5
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
4
Corners
6
18
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
↕ José Canale / Gonzalo German Perez Corbalan
15'
44'
Nahuel Barboza
⚽Gonzalo Thomás Lobos · ast. Felipe Peña Biafore
45'+4
45'
Luciano César Cingolani / Agustín Módica ↕
↕ Matías Sepúlveda / Lucas Agustín Besozzi
45'
↕ Agustín Cardozo / Raul Loaiza
45'
45'
Brian Andrada / Nahuel Barboza ↕
↕ Gonzalo Thomás Lobos / Ramiro Carrera
66'
69'
Matías Vargas / Esteban Fernández ↕
69'
Ulises Sánchez / Fermin Antonini ↕
72'
(og) Raul Loaiza⚽
↕ Eduardo Salvio / Marcelino Moreno
79'
89'
Martín Úbeda / Facundo Lencioni ↕
Pre-match prediction
68.24%
Lanus
18.94%
X ←
12.82%
Gimnasia
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 18.94% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lanus
2.08
1.20
-0.88
Gimnasia
0.66
0.73
+0.07
Lanus dominated by xG (1.20 vs 0.73). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 16 34
2 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 16 33
3 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 16 28
4 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 16 28
5 Lanus Lanus 16 26
6 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 16 23
7 Independiente Independiente 16 23
8 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 16 22
9 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 16 21
10 Platense Platense 16 20
11 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 16 19
12 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 16 16
13 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 16 13
14 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 16 12
15 Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 11
Lineups
Lanus Lanus 4-4-2
26 N. Losada N. Losada G 7.73
6 S. Marcich S. Marcich D 6.13
13 J. Canale J. Canale 15' D 6.27
35 R. De Jesús R. De Jesús D 6.85
33 T. Guidara T. Guidara D 6.71
11 E. Salvio E. Salvio 79' M 6.22
30 A. Cardozo A. Cardozo 45' M 6.61
5 F. Peña F. Peña 1 👟 M 6.90
16 M. Sepúlveda M. Sepúlveda 45' M 6.12
20 A. Wlk A. Wlk F 6.77
42 G. Lobos G. Lobos 1 ⚽ 66' F 7.73
Bench
38 B. Acosta B. Acosta F 0.00
1 F. Petroli F. Petroli G 0.00
27 F. Sánchez F. Sánchez D 0.00
8 F. Watson F. Watson M 0.00
4 G. Pérez G. Pérez 75' D 6.53
77 L. Besozzi L. Besozzi 45' F 6.77
10 M. Moreno M. Moreno 11' M 6.40
3 N. Morgantini N. Morgantini D 0.00
23 R. Carrera R. Carrera 24' M 6.51
15 R. Loaiza R. Loaiza 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.02
40 Tomás López Tomás López D 0.00
19 Y. Valois Y. Valois F 0.00
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 4-2-3-1
23 C. Rigamonti C. Rigamonti G 6.51
3 M. Recalde M. Recalde D 6.77
42 L. Carrera L. Carrera D 7.15
2 D. Mondino D. Mondino D 6.73
32 L. Paredes L. Paredes D 6.30
5 N. Barboza N. Barboza 45' M 6.58
21 F. Antonini F. Antonini 69' M 6.01
26 F. Lencioni F. Lencioni 89' M 6.86
30 E. Fernández E. Fernández 69' M 6.06
17 I. Sabatini I. Sabatini M 6.18
9 A. Módica A. Módica 45' F 6.64
Bench
33 B. Andrada B. Andrada 45' F 6.38
41 G. Patritti G. Patritti D 0.00
36 I. Cortez I. Cortez D 0.00
19 J. Ceballos J. Ceballos M 0.00
7 L. Cingolani L. Cingolani 45' F 7.20
31 L. Petruchi L. Petruchi G 0.00
25 M. Ubeda M. Ubeda 1' D 6.42
8 M. Vargas M. Vargas 21' M 6.51
10 N. Romano N. Romano F 0.00
11 S. Rodríguez S. Rodríguez F 0.00
15 U. Sánchez U. Sánchez 21' M 6.28
35 V. Simoni V. Simoni F 0.00
Best on the pitch
N. Losada
N. Losada
G · Lanus
7.73
· 27 pass
G. Lobos
G. Lobos
F · Lanus
7.73
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
L. Cingolani
L. Cingolani
F · Gimnasia
7.20
3 shots · 13 pass
L. Carrera
L. Carrera
D · Gimnasia
7.15
· 67 pass
R. Loaiza
R. Loaiza
M · Lanus
7.02
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
F. Peña
F. Peña
M · Lanus
6.90
1 👟
2 shots · 35 pass
Lanus Lanus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Losada G 90 7.73 — — 0 27 20% 0 — —
S. Marcich D 90 6.13 — — 1 40 27% 2 — —
J. Canale D 15 6.27 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
R. De Jesús D 90 6.85 — — 1 47 32% 0 — —
T. Guidara D 90 6.71 — — 1 44 31% 2 — —
E. Salvio M 79 6.22 — — 3 30 24% 0 — —
A. Cardozo M 45 6.61 — — 0 31 27% 1 — —
F. Peña M 90 6.90 — 1 2 35 24% 5 — —
M. Sepúlveda M 45 6.12 — — 0 17 12% 1 — —
A. Wlk F 90 6.77 — — 0 30 16% 0 — —
G. Lobos F 66 7.73 1 — 1 16 12% 0 — —
G. Pérez D 75 6.53 — — 0 39 31% 2 — —
L. Besozzi F 45 6.77 — — 2 13 11% 1 — —
M. Moreno M 11 6.40 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
R. Carrera M 24 6.51 — — 1 7 4% 1 — —
R. Loaiza M 45 7.02 1 — 1 19 16% 3 — —
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Rigamonti G 90 6.51 — — 0 31 18% 0 — —
M. Recalde D 90 6.77 — — 2 55 44% 2 — —
L. Carrera D 90 7.15 — — 0 67 59% 5 — —
D. Mondino D 90 6.73 — — 2 63 43% 1 — —
L. Paredes D 90 6.30 — — 0 45 34% 1 — —
N. Barboza M 45 6.58 — — 0 26 23% 2 1 —
F. Antonini M 69 6.01 — — 0 38 33% 0 — —
F. Lencioni M 89 6.86 — — 1 54 45% 1 — —
E. Fernández M 69 6.06 — — 0 39 32% 3 — —
I. Sabatini M 90 6.18 — — 3 16 9% 0 — —
A. Módica F 45 6.64 — — 0 8 4% 0 — —
B. Andrada F 45 6.38 — — 1 18 16% 0 — —
L. Cingolani F 45 7.20 — — 3 13 9% 0 — —
M. Ubeda D 1 6.42 — — 1 2 2% 0 — —
M. Vargas M 21 6.51 — — 1 10 10% 0 — —
U. Sánchez M 21 6.28 — — 1 14 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lanus vs Gimnasia M.?
The final score was Lanus 1–1 Gimnasia M..
What did the model predict before Lanus vs Gimnasia M.?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Lanus win, 18% to a draw, and 12% to an Gimnasia M. win.