Liga Profesional
· Clausura - 5
August 17, 2026 22:00
A. Wlk
(ast. R. Carrera)
50'
37'
(ast. S. Montiel)
L. Millan
47'
L. Millan
90'+4
(ast. M. Abaldo)
M. Gutierrez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lanus a 40% win probability (draw 35%, Independiente 23%). The final result was Lanus 1–3 Independiente. In 1 previous meetings, Lanus have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Independiente.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
4
1.87
Actual xG
1.16
1
Saves
5
52%
Possession
48%
9
Corners
5
23
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
37'
ast. S. Montiel ·
L. Millan⚽
47'
L. Millan⚽
⚽A. Wlk
· ast. R. Carrera
50'
61'
D. Martinez
/
M. Perez Curci
61'
M. Meza
/
L. Millan
E. Salvio
/ M. Sepulveda
64'
A. Wlk
/ Y. Valois
64'
R. Carrera
69'
F. Pena Biafore
/ L. Besozzi
77'
77'
M. Abaldo
/
S. Montiel
77'
M. Gutierrez
/
J. Palais
T. Guidara
/ N. Morgantini
85'
D. Aquino
/ B. Acosta
85'
87'
I. Marcone
87'
G. Avalos
B. Acosta
89'
90'+1
F. Cruz
/
G. Avalos
90'+4
ast. M. Abaldo ·
M. Gutierrez⚽
90'+5
R. Rey
R. Carrera
90'+6
R. Carrera
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
40.9%
Lanus
35.19%
X
23.91%
Independiente ←
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente)
23.91%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.88
1.87
+0.99
0.59
1.16
+0.57
Lanus dominated by xG (1.87 vs 1.16).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
N. Losada
G
N. Losada
G
6
S. Marcich
D
S. Marcich
D
35
R. De Jesús
D
R. De Jesús
D
24
C. Izquierdoz
D
C. Izquierdoz
D
33
T. Guidara
84'
D
T. Guidara
84'
D
30
A. Cardozo
M
A. Cardozo
M
5
F. Peña
77'
M
F. Peña
77'
M
25
Dylan Aquino
85'
M
Dylan Aquino
85'
M
23
R. Carrera
1 👟
M
R. Carrera
1 👟
M
11
E. Salvio
64'
M
E. Salvio
64'
M
20
A. Wlk
1 ⚽
64'
F
A. Wlk
1 ⚽
64'
F
Bench
38
B. Acosta
10'
F
B. Acosta
10'
F
1
F. Petroli
G
F. Petroli
G
27
F. Sánchez
D
F. Sánchez
D
8
F. Watson
M
F. Watson
M
4
G. Pérez
D
G. Pérez
D
13
J. Canale
D
J. Canale
D
77
L. Besozzi
18'
F
L. Besozzi
18'
F
16
M. Sepúlveda
31'
M
M. Sepúlveda
31'
M
3
N. Morgantini
11'
D
N. Morgantini
11'
D
39
T. Laplace
M
T. Laplace
M
40
Tomás López
D
Tomás López
D
19
Y. Valois
31'
F
Y. Valois
31'
F
33
R. Rey
G
R. Rey
G
22
F. Zabala
D
F. Zabala
D
35
J. Arrayago
D
J. Arrayago
D
26
K. Lomónaco
D
K. Lomónaco
D
4
S. Arias
D
S. Arias
D
23
I. Marcone
M
I. Marcone
M
24
J. Palais
77'
M
J. Palais
77'
M
14
Lautaro Millán
2 ⚽
61'
M
Lautaro Millán
2 ⚽
61'
M
16
M. Perez
61'
M
M. Perez
61'
M
7
S. Montiel
1 👟
77'
M
S. Montiel
1 👟
77'
M
9
G. Ávalos
F
G. Ávalos
F
Bench
32
D. Martínez
34'
M
D. Martínez
34'
M
20
Facundo Cruz
4'
M
Facundo Cruz
4'
M
21
Fernando Closter
D
Fernando Closter
D
34
F. Tempone
F
F. Tempone
F
40
J. Velardez
D
J. Velardez
D
10
L. Cabral
M
L. Cabral
M
19
M. Abaldo
1 👟
18'
F
M. Abaldo
1 👟
18'
F
28
M. Gutiérrez
1 ⚽
18'
F
M. Gutiérrez
1 ⚽
18'
F
8
M. Meza
34'
F
M. Meza
34'
F
25
N. Junco
F
N. Junco
F
39
R. Martino
D
R. Martino
D
77
S. Mele
G
S. Mele
G
Best on the pitch
Lautaro Millán
M · Independiente
9.00
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
R. Rey
G · Independiente
8.20
· 31 pass
A. Wlk
F · Lanus
7.90
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 12 pass
R. Carrera
M · Lanus
7.50
1 👟
3 shots
· 29 pass
I. Marcone
M · Independiente
7.30
· 40 pass
F. Zabala
D · Independiente
7.30
1 shots
· 38 pass
Lanus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Losada | G | 95 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| S. Marcich | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| R. De Jesús | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Izquierdoz | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Guidara | D | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Cardozo | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 56 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Peña | M | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Dylan Aquino | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Carrera | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 3 | 29 | 19% | 4 | 1 | — |
| E. Salvio | M | 64 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Wlk | F | 64 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 6 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Acosta | F | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Besozzi | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Sepúlveda | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Morgantini | D | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Y. Valois | F | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Independiente — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rey | G | 95 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 21% | — | — | — |
| F. Zabala | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 24% | 6 | — | — |
| J. Arrayago | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Lomónaco | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Arias | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Marcone | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 31% | 6 | 1 | — |
| J. Palais | M | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Lautaro Millán | M | 61 | 9.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 28 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Perez | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| S. Montiel | M | 77 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| G. Ávalos | F | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Martínez | M | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Cruz | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Abaldo | F | 18 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Gutiérrez | F | 18 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Meza | F | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lanus vs Independiente?
The final score was Lanus 1–3 Independiente.
What did the model predict before Lanus vs Independiente?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Lanus win, 35% to a draw, and 23% to an Independiente win.