Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 6
May 27, 2026 00:00
Agustín Medina
(ast. Walter Bou)
22'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lanus a 36% win probability (draw 37%, Mirassol 26%). The final result was Lanus 1–0 Mirassol. In 1 previous meetings, Lanus have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mirassol.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
1
1.29
Actual xG
0.17
1
Saves
4
48%
Possession
52%
10
Corners
1
11
Tackles
24
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Agustín Medina
· ast. Walter Bou
22'
Agustín Cardozo
34'
Gonzalo Perez
45'+3
46'
André Luis
/
Antonio Galeano
63'
Daniel Borges
/
Reinaldo
63'
Alesson
/
José Aldo
76'
Carlos Eduardo
/
Everton Galdino
76'
Lucas Mugni
/
Lucas Oliveira
Dylan Aquino
/ Lucas Besozzi
80'
Walter Bou
/ Bruno Cabrera
81'
83'
Willian Machado
Eduardo Salvio
/ Matías Sepúlveda
85'
Agustín Medina
/ Felipe Peña Biafore
86'
Ramiro Carrera
/ Franco Watson
90'
Pre-match prediction
36.19%
Lanus ←
37.46%
X
26.35%
Mirassol
we assigned to the actual result (Lanus)
36.19%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.64
1.29
+0.65
0.63
0.17
-0.46
Lanus dominated by xG (1.29 vs 0.17).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
Nahuel Losada
G
Nahuel Losada
G
6
Sasha Marcich
D
Sasha Marcich
D
13
José Canale
D
José Canale
D
24
Carlos Izquierdoz
D
Carlos Izquierdoz
D
4
Gonzalo Perez
D
Gonzalo Perez
D
30
Agustín Cardozo
M
Agustín Cardozo
M
17
Agustín Medina
1 ⚽
86'
M
Agustín Medina
1 ⚽
86'
M
25
Dylan Aquino
80'
M
Dylan Aquino
80'
M
23
Ramiro Carrera
M
Ramiro Carrera
M
11
Eduardo Salvio
85'
M
Eduardo Salvio
85'
M
9
Walter Bou
1 👟
81'
F
Walter Bou
1 👟
81'
F
Bench
38
Benjamin Acosta
F
Benjamin Acosta
F
20
Bruno Cabrera
15'
F
Bruno Cabrera
15'
F
27
Facundo Sánchez
D
Facundo Sánchez
D
5
Felipe Peña Biafore
10'
M
Felipe Peña Biafore
10'
M
1
Franco Petroli
G
Franco Petroli
G
8
Franco Watson
4'
M
Franco Watson
4'
M
77
Lucas Besozzi
16'
F
Lucas Besozzi
16'
F
16
Matías Sepúlveda
11'
M
Matías Sepúlveda
11'
M
3
Nicolás Morgantini
D
Nicolás Morgantini
D
35
Ronaldo De Jesus
D
Ronaldo De Jesus
D
37
Thomas de Martis
F
Thomas de Martis
F
33
Tomás Guidara
D
Tomás Guidara
D
23
Alex Muralha
G
Alex Muralha
G
3
Willian Machado
D
Willian Machado
D
2
Lucas Oliveira
76'
D
Lucas Oliveira
76'
D
34
João Victor
D
João Victor
D
21
José Aldo
63'
M
José Aldo
63'
M
6
Reinaldo
63'
M
Reinaldo
63'
M
10
Chico
M
Chico
M
33
Eduardo
M
Eduardo
M
16
Igor Cariús
M
Igor Cariús
M
27
Antonio Galeano
45'
F
Antonio Galeano
45'
F
17
Everton Galdino
76'
F
Everton Galdino
76'
F
Bench
77
Alesson
33'
F
Alesson
33'
F
99
André Luis
51'
F
André Luis
51'
F
96
Carlos Eduardo
20'
F
Carlos Eduardo
20'
F
20
Daniel Borges
33'
D
Daniel Borges
33'
D
1
Georgemy
G
Georgemy
G
26
Lucas Mugni
20'
M
Lucas Mugni
20'
M
7
Shaylon
M
Shaylon
M
90
Thomazella
G
Thomazella
G
5
Yuri
M
Yuri
M
Best on the pitch
Dylan Aquino
M · Lanus
8.20
1 shots
· 39 pass
Agustín Medina
M · Lanus
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 54 pass
Alex Muralha
G · Mirassol
7.90
· 29 pass
Chico
M · Mirassol
7.70
1 shots
· 56 pass
João Victor
D · Mirassol
7.60
· 55 pass
Sasha Marcich
D · Lanus
7.20
1 shots
· 32 pass
Lanus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahuel Losada | G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Sasha Marcich | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| José Canale | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Izquierdoz | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Perez | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| Agustín Cardozo | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 60 | 53% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Agustín Medina | M | 86 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 54 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Dylan Aquino | M | 80 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Ramiro Carrera | M | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo Salvio | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Walter Bou | F | 81 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 5 | 36 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Cabrera | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Peña Biafore | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Franco Watson | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Besozzi | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Matías Sepúlveda | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Mirassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Muralha | G | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Willian Machado | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 78 | 67% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Oliveira | D | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 49% | 4 | — | — |
| João Victor | D | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | 4 | — | — |
| José Aldo | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Reinaldo | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Chico | M | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 51% | 8 | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Cariús | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Antonio Galeano | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Everton Galdino | F | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Alesson | F | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| André Luis | F | 51 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Borges | D | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Mugni | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lanus vs Mirassol?
The final score was Lanus 1–0 Mirassol.
What did the model predict before Lanus vs Mirassol?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Lanus win, 37% to a draw, and 26% to an Mirassol win.