Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 6
May 27, 2026 00:00
Agustín Medina
(ast. Walter Bou)
22'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lanus a 36% win probability (draw 37%, Mirassol 26%). The final result was Lanus 1–0 Mirassol. In 1 previous meetings, Lanus have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mirassol.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
1
1.29
Actual xG
0.17
1
Saves
4
48%
Possession
52%
10
Corners
1
11
Tackles
24
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Agustín Medina
· ast. Walter Bou
22'
Agustín Cardozo
34'
Gonzalo Perez
45'+3
46'
André Luis
/
Antonio Galeano
63'
Daniel Borges
/
Reinaldo
63'
Alesson
/
José Aldo
76'
Carlos Eduardo
/
Everton Galdino
76'
Lucas Mugni
/
Lucas Oliveira
Dylan Aquino
/ Lucas Besozzi
80'
Walter Bou
/ Bruno Cabrera
81'
83'
Willian Machado
Eduardo Salvio
/ Matías Sepúlveda
85'
Agustín Medina
/ Felipe Peña Biafore
86'
Ramiro Carrera
/ Franco Watson
90'
Pre-match prediction
36.19%
Lanus ←
37.46%
X
26.35%
Mirassol
we assigned to the actual result (Lanus)
36.19%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.64
1.29
+0.65
0.63
0.17
-0.46
Lanus dominated by xG (1.29 vs 0.17).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
N. Losada
G
N. Losada
G
6
S. Marcich
D
S. Marcich
D
13
J. Canale
D
J. Canale
D
24
C. Izquierdoz
D
C. Izquierdoz
D
4
G. Pérez
D
G. Pérez
D
30
A. Cardozo
M
A. Cardozo
M
17
A. Medina
1 ⚽
86'
M
A. Medina
1 ⚽
86'
M
25
D. Aquino
80'
M
D. Aquino
80'
M
23
R. Carrera
M
R. Carrera
M
11
E. Salvio
85'
M
E. Salvio
85'
M
9
W. Bou
1 👟
81'
F
W. Bou
1 👟
81'
F
Bench
38
B. Acosta
F
B. Acosta
F
20
Bruno Cabrera
15'
F
Bruno Cabrera
15'
F
5
F. Peña
10'
M
F. Peña
10'
M
1
F. Petroli
G
F. Petroli
G
27
F. Sánchez
D
F. Sánchez
D
8
F. Watson
4'
M
F. Watson
4'
M
77
L. Besozzi
16'
F
L. Besozzi
16'
F
16
M. Sepúlveda
11'
M
M. Sepúlveda
11'
M
3
N. Morgantini
D
N. Morgantini
D
35
R. De Jesús
D
R. De Jesús
D
37
T. De Martis
F
T. De Martis
F
33
T. Guidara
D
T. Guidara
D
23
Alex Muralha
G
Alex Muralha
G
3
Willian Machado
D
Willian Machado
D
2
Lucas Oliveira
76'
D
Lucas Oliveira
76'
D
34
João Victor
D
João Victor
D
21
Jose Aldo
63'
M
Jose Aldo
63'
M
6
Reinaldo
63'
M
Reinaldo
63'
M
10
Chico Kim
M
Chico Kim
M
33
Eduardo
M
Eduardo
M
16
Igor Cariús
M
Igor Cariús
M
27
A. Galeano
45'
F
A. Galeano
45'
F
17
Everton Galdino
76'
F
Everton Galdino
76'
F
Bench
77
Alesson
33'
F
Alesson
33'
F
99
Andre Luis
51'
F
Andre Luis
51'
F
96
Carlos Eduardo
20'
F
Carlos Eduardo
20'
F
20
Daniel Borges
33'
D
Daniel Borges
33'
D
1
Georgemy
G
Georgemy
G
26
L. Mugni
20'
M
L. Mugni
20'
M
7
Shaylon
M
Shaylon
M
90
Thomazella
G
Thomazella
G
5
Yuri
M
Yuri
M
Best on the pitch
D. Aquino
M · Lanus
8.20
1 shots
· 39 pass
A. Medina
M · Lanus
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 54 pass
Alex Muralha
G · Mirassol
7.90
· 29 pass
Chico Kim
M · Mirassol
7.70
1 shots
· 56 pass
João Victor
D · Mirassol
7.60
· 55 pass
S. Marcich
D · Lanus
7.20
1 shots
· 32 pass
Lanus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Losada | G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| S. Marcich | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Canale | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | — | — | — |
| C. Izquierdoz | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Pérez | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Cardozo | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 60 | 53% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Medina | M | 86 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 54 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Aquino | M | 80 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Carrera | M | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Salvio | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Bou | F | 81 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 5 | 36 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Cabrera | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| F. Peña | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| F. Watson | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Besozzi | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Sepúlveda | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Mirassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Muralha | G | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Willian Machado | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 78 | 67% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Oliveira | D | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 49% | 4 | — | — |
| João Victor | D | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | 4 | — | — |
| Jose Aldo | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Reinaldo | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Chico Kim | M | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 51% | 8 | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Cariús | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 32% | — | — | — |
| A. Galeano | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Everton Galdino | F | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Alesson | F | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Andre Luis | F | 51 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Borges | D | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Mugni | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lanus vs Mirassol?
The final score was Lanus 1–0 Mirassol.
What did the model predict before Lanus vs Mirassol?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Lanus win, 37% to a draw, and 26% to an Mirassol win.