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#5 · 24 pts
1 – 0
Final score
#7 · 22 pts
Y. Valois (ast. D. Aquino) 65'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lanus a 38% win probability (draw 37%, San Lorenzo 23%). The final result was Lanus 1–0 San Lorenzo. In 1 previous meetings, Lanus have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for San Lorenzo.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
12
9
Shots on target
5
1.53
Actual xG
0.83
5
Saves
9
50%
Possession
50%
8
Corners
2
21
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
19'
E. Herrera
R. Carrera
39'
45'+5
F. Lorenzon
46'
I. Perruzzi / G. Alassia ↕
46'
M. Cardillo / M. Insaurralde ↕
57'
N. Barrios / F. Gulli ↕
↕ R. Carrera / E. Salvio
62'
↕ L. Besozzi / D. Aquino
63'
⚽Y. Valois · ast. D. Aquino
65'
↕ M. Sepulveda / F. N. Watson
70'
↕ Y. Valois / A. Wlk
71'
F. Pena Biafore
71'
77'
M. Hernandez / R. Auzmendi ↕
77'
A. Ladstatter / E. Herrera ↕
↕ F. Pena Biafore / A. Medina
82'
A. Medina
84'
90'+4
I. Perruzzi
Pre-match prediction
38.84%
Lanus ←
37.7%
X
23.46%
San
we assigned to the actual result (Lanus) 38.84% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lanus
0.76
1.53
+0.77
San
0.56
0.83
+0.27
Lanus dominated by xG (1.53 vs 0.83). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 14 32
2 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 14 27
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 14 27
4 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 14 27
5 Lanus Lanus 14 24
6 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 14 21
7 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 14 20
8 Independiente Independiente 14 19
9 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 14 18
10 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 14 17
11 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 14 14
12 Platense Platense 14 14
13 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 14 12
14 Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago 14 10
15 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 14 9
Lineups
Lanus Lanus 4-2-3-1
26 N. Losada N. Losada G 7.30
6 S. Marcich S. Marcich D 7.00
13 J. Canale J. Canale D 7.20
35 R. De Jesús R. De Jesús D 7.30
4 G. Pérez G. Pérez D 7.50
30 A. Cardozo A. Cardozo M 7.30
5 F. Peña F. Peña 82' M 7.50
77 L. Besozzi L. Besozzi 63' M 7.20
23 R. Carrera R. Carrera 62' M 7.00
16 M. Sepúlveda M. Sepúlveda 70' M 6.90
19 Y. Valois Y. Valois 1 ⚽ 71' F 7.60
Bench
17 A. Medina A. Medina 14' M 6.50
20 A. Wlk A. Wlk 25' F 6.30
38 B. Acosta B. Acosta F
24 C. Izquierdoz C. Izquierdoz D
25 Dylan Aquino Dylan Aquino 1 👟 33' F 8.30
11 E. Salvio E. Salvio 34' M 6.90
1 F. Petroli F. Petroli G
8 F. Watson F. Watson 26' M 6.90
2 Luciano Romero Luciano Romero D
3 N. Morgantini N. Morgantini D
33 T. Guidara T. Guidara D
39 T. Laplace T. Laplace M
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 4-4-2
12 O. Gill O. Gill G 10.00
6 M. de Ritis M. de Ritis D 7.30
35 A. Cordoba A. Cordoba D 6.90
42 F. Lorenzón F. Lorenzón D 6.90
32 E. Herrera E. Herrera 77' D 6.30
10 Facundo Gulli Facundo Gulli 57' M 6.70
8 M. Insaurralde M. Insaurralde 45' M 6.90
62 G. Alassia G. Alassia 45' M 6.60
24 N. Tripichio N. Tripichio M 6.90
9 A. Cuello A. Cuello F 6.30
29 R. Auzmendi R. Auzmendi 77' F 6.30
Bench
14 A. Ladstatter A. Ladstatter 19' F 6.90
20 F. Altamirano F. Altamirano G
19 F. Bruera F. Bruera F
16 G. Corujo G. Corujo D
17 G. Rodríguez G. Rodríguez F
5 I. Perruzzi I. Perruzzi 51' M 6.70
13 Juan Rattalino Juan Rattalino M
15 M. Cardillo M. Cardillo 51' M 6.70
44 M. Hernández M. Hernández 19' F 6.50
28 Nahuel Barrios Nahuel Barrios 39' M 6.50
3 T. Rodríguez T. Rodríguez D
Best on the pitch
O. Gill
O. Gill
G · San
10.00
· 31 pass
Dylan Aquino
Dylan Aquino
F · Lanus
8.30
1 👟
2 shots · 11 pass
Y. Valois
Y. Valois
F · Lanus
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
G. Pérez
G. Pérez
D · Lanus
7.50
· 42 pass
F. Peña
F. Peña
M · Lanus
7.50
· 62 pass
N. Losada
N. Losada
G · Lanus
7.30
· 30 pass
Lanus Lanus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Losada G 96 7.30 — — — 30 24% — — —
S. Marcich D 96 7.00 — — 2 46 35% 4 — —
J. Canale D 96 7.20 — — 1 44 41% 1 — —
R. De Jesús D 96 7.30 — — 1 48 34% 2 — —
G. Pérez D 96 7.50 — — — 42 32% 2 — —
A. Cardozo M 96 7.30 — — — 59 54% 2 — —
F. Peña M 82 7.50 — — — 62 44% 3 1 —
L. Besozzi M 63 7.20 — — 1 14 13% 1 — —
R. Carrera M 62 7.00 — — 4 17 16% 1 1 —
M. Sepúlveda M 70 6.90 — — 1 20 15% 1 — —
Y. Valois F 71 7.60 1 — 3 18 12% — — —
A. Medina M 14 6.50 — — — 4 4% — 1 —
A. Wlk F 25 6.30 — — 1 7 6% — — —
Dylan Aquino F 33 8.30 — 1 2 11 11% 3 — —
E. Salvio M 34 6.90 — — 1 10 9% 1 — —
F. Watson M 26 6.90 — — — 10 10% — — —
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
O. Gill G 96 10.00 — — — 31 16% — — —
M. de Ritis D 96 7.30 — — — 33 27% — — —
A. Cordoba D 96 6.90 — — — 44 34% 2 — —
F. Lorenzón D 96 6.90 — — 2 43 35% 3 1 —
E. Herrera D 77 6.30 — — — 36 27% 3 1 —
Facundo Gulli M 57 6.70 — — 1 24 19% — — —
M. Insaurralde M 45 6.90 — — — 34 28% 1 — —
G. Alassia M 45 6.60 — — — 29 23% — — —
N. Tripichio M 96 6.90 — — 1 50 40% 1 — —
A. Cuello F 96 6.30 — — 3 12 7% 1 — —
R. Auzmendi F 77 6.30 — — 1 25 14% — — —
A. Ladstatter F 19 6.90 — — — 8 8% — — —
I. Perruzzi M 51 6.70 — — 1 34 29% — 1 —
M. Cardillo M 51 6.70 — — 3 17 15% 3 — —
M. Hernández F 19 6.50 — — — 4 4% — — —
Nahuel Barrios M 39 6.50 — — — 26 23% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lanus vs San Lorenzo?
The final score was Lanus 1–0 San Lorenzo.
What did the model predict before Lanus vs San Lorenzo?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Lanus win, 37% to a draw, and 23% to an San Lorenzo win.