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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 12 October 12, 2026 21:00 Estadio Ciudad de Lanus, Buenos Aires
Lanus
#5 · 24 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Velez Sarsfield
#2 · 27 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Lanus
Sasha Julian Marcich (ast. Lucas Agustín Besozzi) 59'
Tomás Marchiori 90'+5 (og)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lanus a 57% win probability (draw 19%, Velez Sarsfield 23%). The final result was Lanus 2–0 Velez Sarsfield. In 1 previous meetings, Lanus have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Velez Sarsfield.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
3
1.65
Actual xG
0.62
3
Saves
5
48%
Possession
52%
5
Corners
6
24
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
11'
Lucas Robertone
19'
Thiago Aguirre
34'
Rodrigo Aliendro
57'
Diego Valdés / Thiago Aguirre ↕
⚽Sasha Julian Marcich · ast. Lucas Agustín Besozzi
59'
↕ Allan Steven Wlk Duré / Yoshan Valois
67'
↕ Lucas Agustín Besozzi / Matías Sepúlveda
67'
Carlos Izquierdoz
73'
74'
Dilan Godoy / Matias Arias ↕
74'
Simón Escobar / Juan Cruz Policella ↕
↕ Marcelino Moreno / Ramiro Carrera
81'
↕ Eduardo Salvio / Gonzalo Thomás Lobos
81'
Ramiro Carrera
88'
90'+1
Luca Feler / Lucas Robertone ↕
90'+1
Lautaro Piola / Elías Gómez ↕
↕ Diego Agustín Medina / Gonzalo German Perez Corbalan
90'+4
⚽Tomás Marchiori (og)
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
57.33%
Lanus ←
19.51%
X
23.16%
Velez
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lanus) 57.33% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lanus
2.79
1.65
-1.14
Velez
1.60
0.62
-0.99
Lanus dominated by xG (1.65 vs 0.62). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 14 32
2 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 14 27
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 14 27
4 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 14 27
5 Lanus Lanus 14 24
6 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 14 21
7 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 14 20
8 Independiente Independiente 14 19
9 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 14 18
10 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 14 17
11 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 14 14
12 Platense Platense 14 14
13 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 14 12
14 Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago 14 10
15 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 14 9
Lineups
Lanus Lanus 4-2-3-1
26 N. Losada N. Losada G 7.02
6 S. Marcich S. Marcich 1 ⚽ D 8.08
13 J. Canale J. Canale D 7.28
24 C. Izquierdoz C. Izquierdoz D 7.34
33 T. Guidara T. Guidara D 7.20
30 A. Cardozo A. Cardozo M 6.80
17 A. Medina A. Medina M 6.90
11 E. Salvio E. Salvio 81' M 6.69
10 M. Moreno M. Moreno 81' M 6.37
77 L. Besozzi L. Besozzi 1 👟 67' M 7.70
20 A. Wlk A. Wlk 67' F 6.29
Bench
38 B. Acosta B. Acosta F 0.00
5 F. Peña F. Peña M 0.00
1 F. Petroli F. Petroli G 0.00
8 F. Watson F. Watson M 0.00
42 G. Lobos G. Lobos 9' F 6.45
4 G. Pérez G. Pérez D 0.00
16 M. Sepúlveda M. Sepúlveda 23' M 7.20
3 N. Morgantini N. Morgantini D 0.00
23 R. Carrera R. Carrera 9' M 6.66
35 R. De Jesús R. De Jesús D 0.00
15 R. Loaiza R. Loaiza M 0.00
19 Y. Valois Y. Valois 23' F 6.54
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1
1 T. Marchiori T. Marchiori 1 ⚽ G 6.67
3 Elías Gómez Elías Gómez D 6.23
16 L. Magallán L. Magallán D 6.61
32 Thiago Silveor Thiago Silveor D 6.37
4 J. García J. García D 6.77
8 L. Robertone L. Robertone M 6.48
29 R. Aliendro R. Aliendro M 5.92
39 T. Aguirre T. Aguirre 57' M 6.11
37 J. Policella J. Policella 74' M 6.60
35 M. Arias M. Arias 74' M 6.03
77 R. Martínez R. Martínez F 6.27
Bench
47 A. Pereyra A. Pereyra D 0.00
17 A. Verón A. Verón F 0.00
5 C. Baeza C. Baeza M 0.00
15 D. Godoy D. Godoy 16' F 6.22
10 D. Valdés D. Valdés 33' M 5.63
23 F. Sanguinetti F. Sanguinetti G 0.00
21 Jano Gordon Jano Gordon D 0.00
19 L. Cristaldo L. Cristaldo D 0.00
30 L. Piola L. Piola F 0.00
48 Luca Feler Luca Feler M 0.00
18 S. Escobar S. Escobar 16' D 6.08
Best on the pitch
S. Marcich
S. Marcich
D · Lanus
8.08
1 ⚽
3 shots · 45 pass
L. Besozzi
L. Besozzi
M · Lanus
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 30 pass
C. Izquierdoz
C. Izquierdoz
D · Lanus
7.34
· 49 pass
J. Canale
J. Canale
D · Lanus
7.28
· 37 pass
M. Sepúlveda
M. Sepúlveda
M · Lanus
7.20
1 shots · 10 pass
T. Guidara
T. Guidara
D · Lanus
7.20
1 shots · 47 pass
Lanus Lanus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Losada G 90 7.02 — — 0 17 12% 0 — —
S. Marcich D 90 8.08 1 — 3 45 34% 0 — —
J. Canale D 90 7.28 — — 0 37 28% 2 — —
C. Izquierdoz D 90 7.34 — — 0 49 41% 6 1 —
T. Guidara D 90 7.20 — — 1 47 39% 4 — —
A. Cardozo M 90 6.80 — — 1 54 48% 2 — —
A. Medina M 94 6.90 — — 3 57 49% 3 — —
E. Salvio M 81 6.69 — — 0 36 27% 2 — —
M. Moreno M 81 6.37 — — 1 43 36% 2 — —
L. Besozzi M 67 7.70 — 1 1 30 24% 1 — —
A. Wlk F 67 6.29 — — 3 6 1% 0 — —
G. Lobos F 9 6.45 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
M. Sepúlveda M 23 7.20 — — 1 10 9% 2 — —
R. Carrera M 9 6.66 — — 2 4 2% 0 1 —
Y. Valois F 23 6.54 — — 1 7 3% 0 — —
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Marchiori G 90 6.67 1 — 0 27 11% 0 — —
Elías Gómez D 91 6.23 — — 0 42 33% 2 — —
L. Magallán D 90 6.61 — — 1 64 54% 3 — —
Thiago Silveor D 90 6.37 — — 0 58 43% 0 — —
J. García D 90 6.77 — — 0 45 39% 1 — —
L. Robertone M 91 6.48 — — 2 58 52% 3 1 —
R. Aliendro M 90 5.92 — — 1 69 58% 1 1 —
T. Aguirre M 57 6.11 — — 0 12 8% 3 1 —
J. Policella M 74 6.60 — — 2 30 25% 0 — —
M. Arias M 74 6.03 — — 1 27 20% 0 — —
R. Martínez F 90 6.27 — — 2 18 7% 0 — —
D. Godoy F 16 6.22 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
D. Valdés M 33 5.63 — — 1 20 14% 1 — —
S. Escobar D 16 6.08 — — 0 6 4% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield?
The final score was Lanus 2–0 Velez Sarsfield.
What did the model predict before Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Lanus win, 19% to a draw, and 23% to an Velez Sarsfield win.