Super League
· Relegation Group - 9
May 16, 2026 18:00
Y. Macon
13'
L. Tupta
(ast. A. Sagal)
34'
90'
(ast. A. Karamanis)
M. Baku
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atromitos a 42% win probability (draw 33%, Larisa 24%). The final result was Larisa 2–1 Atromitos. In 4 previous meetings, Larisa have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 2 wins for Atromitos.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
6
1.45
Actual xG
1.86
4
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
6
8
Tackles
23
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Y. Macon
13'
⚽L. Tupta
· ast. A. Sagal
34'
38'
D. Tsakmakis
L. Rosic
48'
68'
M. Baku
/
S. Tsiloulis
68'
S. Pnevmonidis
/
P. Tsantilas
71'
G. Mitoglou
78'
T. van Weert
/
G. Tzovaras
A. Sagal
/ Z. Chatzistravos
83'
86'
S. Moutoussamy
87'
S. Ampartzidis
/
S. Moutoussamy
87'
Quini
/
E. Ukaki
G. Pasas
/ L. Garate
89'
L. Rosic
/ T. Iliadis
90'+3
90'+10
S. Ampartzidis
90'
ast. A. Karamanis ·
M. Baku⚽
Pre-match prediction
24.44%
Larisa ←
33.14%
X
42.42%
Atromitos
we assigned to the actual result (Larisa)
24.44%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.93
1.45
+0.52
1.40
1.86
+0.46
Atromitos dominated by xG (1.86 vs 1.45).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
21
Theodoros Venetikidis
G
Theodoros Venetikidis
G
27
Y. Maçon
1 ⚽
D
Y. Maçon
1 ⚽
D
28
Dylan Batubinsika
D
Dylan Batubinsika
D
33
L. Rosić
D
22
Athanasios Papageorgiou
D
Athanasios Papageorgiou
D
31
J. Atanasov
M
J. Atanasov
M
15
Goni Naor
M
Goni Naor
M
29
Lubomir Tupta
1 ⚽
M
8
Facundo Pérez
M
25
Á. Sagal
1 👟
84'
M
Á. Sagal
1 👟
84'
M
19
G. Pasas
89'
F
G. Pasas
89'
F
Bench
20
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson
D
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson
D
17
Dimitrios Diminikos
M
Dimitrios Diminikos
M
6
Epameinondas Pantelakis
D
Epameinondas Pantelakis
D
14
Erick Ferigra
D
Erick Ferigra
D
5
Gaël Kakuta
M
Gaël Kakuta
M
3
Konstantinos Grozos
D
Konstantinos Grozos
D
23
Leandro Garate
8'
F
Leandro Garate
8'
F
10
Luca Andrada
M
Luca Andrada
M
1
Nikolaos Melissas
G
Nikolaos Melissas
G
26
Paschalis Staikos
M
Paschalis Staikos
M
4
Theocharis Iliadis
4'
D
Theocharis Iliadis
4'
D
18
Zisis Chatzistravos
13'
M
Zisis Chatzistravos
13'
M
25
L. Gugeshashvili
G
L. Gugeshashvili
G
21
J. Uronen
D
J. Uronen
D
24
G. Mitoglou
D
G. Mitoglou
D
44
D. Tsakmakis
D
D. Tsakmakis
D
7
Ehije Ukaki
87'
D
Ehije Ukaki
87'
D
92
S. Moutoussamy
87'
M
S. Moutoussamy
87'
M
6
T. Karamanis
1 👟
M
T. Karamanis
1 👟
M
99
Georgios Tzovaras
78'
M
Georgios Tzovaras
78'
M
77
S. Zuber
M
S. Zuber
M
23
S. Tsiloulis
68'
M
S. Tsiloulis
68'
M
19
Panagiotis Tsantilas
68'
F
Panagiotis Tsantilas
68'
F
Bench
4
D. Stavrópoulos
D
D. Stavrópoulos
D
16
Georgios Papadopoulos
D
Georgios Papadopoulos
D
33
Konstantinos Batos
M
Konstantinos Batos
M
1
L. Choutesiotis
G
L. Choutesiotis
G
70
Mansur
D
Mansur
D
32
M. Baku
1 ⚽
29'
M
M. Baku
1 ⚽
29'
M
17
Quini
10'
D
Quini
10'
D
10
S. Pnevmonidis
29'
M
S. Pnevmonidis
29'
M
20
Spyros Abartzidis
10'
M
Spyros Abartzidis
10'
M
9
Tom van Weert
19'
F
Tom van Weert
19'
F
5
T. Tsingaras
M
T. Tsingaras
M
30
V. Athanasiou
G
V. Athanasiou
G
Best on the pitch
Y. Maçon
D · Larisa
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 49 pass
M. Baku
M · Atromitos
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 5 pass
S. Moutoussamy
M · Atromitos
7.30
· 58 pass
Lubomir Tupta
M · Larisa
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 27 pass
Á. Sagal
M · Larisa
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 29 pass
J. Atanasov
M · Larisa
7.20
1 shots
· 59 pass
Larisa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theodoros Venetikidis | G | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Y. Maçon | D | 97 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 49 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Dylan Batubinsika | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | — | — | — |
| L. Rosić | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Athanasios Papageorgiou | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Atanasov | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Goni Naor | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Lubomir Tupta | M | 97 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Pérez | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Á. Sagal | M | 84 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| G. Pasas | F | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Leandro Garate | F | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Theocharis Iliadis | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Zisis Chatzistravos | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Atromitos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Gugeshashvili | G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Uronen | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| G. Mitoglou | D | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Tsakmakis | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ehije Ukaki | D | 87 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Moutoussamy | M | 87 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 51% | 3 | 1 | — |
| T. Karamanis | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 57 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Georgios Tzovaras | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 8% | 6 | — | — |
| S. Zuber | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 42 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Tsiloulis | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| Panagiotis Tsantilas | F | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Baku | M | 29 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Quini | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| S. Pnevmonidis | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Spyros Abartzidis | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Tom van Weert | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Larisa vs Atromitos?
The final score was Larisa 2–1 Atromitos.
What did the model predict before Larisa vs Atromitos?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Larisa win, 33% to a draw, and 42% to an Atromitos win.