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Super League · Relegation Group - 9 May 16, 2026 18:00
Larisa
2 – 1
Final score
Atromitos
#13 · 2 pts
Y. Macon 13'
L. Tupta (ast. A. Sagal) 34'
90' (ast. A. Karamanis) M. Baku
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atromitos a 42% win probability (draw 33%, Larisa 24%). The final result was Larisa 2–1 Atromitos. In 4 previous meetings, Larisa have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 2 wins for Atromitos.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
6
1.45
Actual xG
1.86
4
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
6
8
Tackles
23
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Y. Macon
13'
⚽L. Tupta · ast. A. Sagal
34'
38'
D. Tsakmakis
L. Rosic
48'
68'
M. Baku / S. Tsiloulis ↕
68'
S. Pnevmonidis / P. Tsantilas ↕
71'
G. Mitoglou
78'
T. van Weert / G. Tzovaras ↕
↕ A. Sagal / Z. Chatzistravos
83'
86'
S. Moutoussamy
87'
S. Ampartzidis / S. Moutoussamy ↕
87'
Quini / E. Ukaki ↕
↕ G. Pasas / L. Garate
89'
↕ L. Rosic / T. Iliadis
90'+3
90'+10
S. Ampartzidis
90'
ast. A. Karamanis · M. Baku⚽
Pre-match prediction
24.44%
Larisa ←
33.14%
X
42.42%
Atromitos
we assigned to the actual result (Larisa) 24.44% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Larisa
0.93
1.45
+0.52
Atromitos
1.40
1.86
+0.46
Atromitos dominated by xG (1.86 vs 1.45). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 8 21
2 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 8 19
3 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 7 17
4 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 8 16
5 PAOK PAOK 8 15
6 OFI OFI 8 13
7 Kifisia Kifisia 8 11
8 Kalamata Kalamata 8 10
9 Iraklis 1908 Iraklis 1908 8 9
10 Panetolikos Panetolikos 8 9
11 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 8 6
12 Levadiakos Levadiakos 8 3
13 Atromitos Atromitos 7 2
14 Volos NFC Volos NFC 8 0
Lineups
Larisa Larisa 4-2-3-1
21 Theodoros Venetikidis Theodoros Venetikidis G 7.00
27 Y. Maçon Y. Maçon 1 ⚽ D 7.90
28 D. Batubinsika D. Batubinsika D 6.90
33
L. Rosić D 6.60
22 Athanasios Papageorgiou Athanasios Papageorgiou D 6.90
31 J. Atanasov J. Atanasov M 7.20
15 G. Naor G. Naor M 6.90
29
Lubomir Tupta 1 ⚽ M 7.30
8
F. Pérez M 6.70
25 Á. Sagal Á. Sagal 1 👟 84' M 7.30
19 G. Pasas G. Pasas 89' F 6.20
Bench
20 Davíð Kristján Ólafsson Davíð Kristján Ólafsson D
17 Dimitrios Diminikos Dimitrios Diminikos M
6 Epameinondas Pantelakis Epameinondas Pantelakis D
14 Erick Ferigra Erick Ferigra D
5 Gaël Kakuta Gaël Kakuta M
3 Konstantinos Grozos Konstantinos Grozos D
23 Leandro Garate Leandro Garate 8' F 6.20
10 Luca Andrada Luca Andrada M
1 Nikolaos Melissas Nikolaos Melissas G
26 Paschalis Staikos Paschalis Staikos M
4 Theocharis Iliadis Theocharis Iliadis 4' D
18 Zisis Chatzistravos Zisis Chatzistravos 13' M 6.30
Atromitos Atromitos 4-2-3-1
25 L. Gugeshashvili L. Gugeshashvili G 6.90
21 J. Uronen J. Uronen D 6.50
24 G. Mitoglou G. Mitoglou D 5.90
44 D. Tsakmakis D. Tsakmakis D 6.30
7
E. Ukaki 87' D 6.50
92 S. Moutoussamy S. Moutoussamy 87' M 7.30
6 T. Karamanis T. Karamanis 1 👟 M 6.60
99 Georgios Tzovaras Georgios Tzovaras 78' M 6.90
77 S. Zuber S. Zuber M 6.70
23 S. Tsiloulis S. Tsiloulis 68' M 6.70
19 Panagiotis Tsantilas Panagiotis Tsantilas 68' F 6.50
Bench
4 D. Stavrópoulos D. Stavrópoulos D
16 Georgios Papadopoulos Georgios Papadopoulos D
33 Konstantinos Batos Konstantinos Batos M
1 L. Choutesiotis L. Choutesiotis G
32 Makana Baku Makana Baku 1 ⚽ 29' M 7.70
70 Mansur Mansur D
17 Quini Quini 10' D 6.70
20 S. Abartzidis S. Abartzidis 10' M 6.60
10 S. Pnevmonidis S. Pnevmonidis 29' M 6.60
9 Tom van Weert Tom van Weert 19' F 6.50
5 T. Tsingaras T. Tsingaras M
30 V. Athanasiou V. Athanasiou G
Best on the pitch
Y. Maçon
Y. Maçon
D · Larisa
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 49 pass
Makana Baku
Makana Baku
M · Atromitos
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 5 pass
S. Moutoussamy
S. Moutoussamy
M · Atromitos
7.30
· 58 pass
Lubomir Tupta
M · Larisa
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 27 pass
Á. Sagal
Á. Sagal
M · Larisa
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 29 pass
J. Atanasov
J. Atanasov
M · Larisa
7.20
1 shots · 59 pass
Larisa Larisa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Theodoros Venetikidis G 97 7.00 — — — 28 18% — — —
Y. Maçon D 97 7.90 1 — 3 49 43% 3 — —
D. Batubinsika D 97 6.90 — — — 37 35% — — —
L. Rosić D 93 6.60 — — — 46 38% 1 1 —
Athanasios Papageorgiou D 97 6.90 — — — 34 29% 2 — —
J. Atanasov M 97 7.20 — — 1 59 51% — — —
G. Naor M 97 6.90 — — — 53 48% — — —
Lubomir Tupta M 97 7.30 1 — 3 27 21% — — —
F. Pérez M 97 6.70 — — — 42 35% 1 — —
Á. Sagal M 84 7.30 — 1 1 29 22% — — —
G. Pasas F 89 6.20 — — 1 13 9% 1 — —
Leandro Garate F 8 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Theocharis Iliadis D 4 — — — — 1 — — — —
Zisis Chatzistravos M 13 6.30 — — — 4 2% — — —
Atromitos Atromitos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Gugeshashvili G 97 6.90 — — — 26 22% — — —
J. Uronen D 97 6.50 — — — 41 35% 4 — —
G. Mitoglou D 97 5.90 — — 1 35 30% — 1 —
D. Tsakmakis D 97 6.30 — — 1 39 38% 1 1 —
E. Ukaki D 87 6.50 — — — 25 20% 1 — —
S. Moutoussamy M 87 7.30 — — — 58 51% 3 1 —
T. Karamanis M 97 6.60 — 1 1 57 44% 2 — —
Georgios Tzovaras M 78 6.90 — — 3 15 8% 6 — —
S. Zuber M 97 6.70 — — 3 42 30% 1 — —
S. Tsiloulis M 68 6.70 — — — 16 13% 4 — —
Panagiotis Tsantilas F 68 6.50 — — — 8 6% — — —
Makana Baku M 29 7.70 1 — 3 5 4% — — —
Quini D 10 6.70 — — — 8 7% — — —
S. Abartzidis M 10 6.60 — — — 4 4% — — —
S. Pnevmonidis M 29 6.60 — — 1 9 7% 1 — —
Tom van Weert F 19 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Larisa vs Atromitos?
The final score was Larisa 2–1 Atromitos.
What did the model predict before Larisa vs Atromitos?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Larisa win, 33% to a draw, and 42% to an Atromitos win.