Larne - Saburtalo
Europa League
August 06, 2026 19:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.13%
Win
Larne
36.96%
Draw
29.91%
Win
Saburtalo
0.85
0.81
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(16.64%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
37%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
67%
12
63%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
67%
Over 2.5
44%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Larne a 33% win probability, against 36% for a draw and 29% for Saburtalo. Expected goals are 0.8 for Larne and 0.8 for Saburtalo (total 1.7), with a 66% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 16.64% probability.
Season Stats
8W
2D
5L
6W
4D
5L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.4
1.4
Conceded
1.3
4.0
Shots OT
0.0
5.0
Corners
0.0
68%
Poss.
71%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
47%
40%
BTTS
67%
47%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
5W
2D
3L
· at home
6W
1D
3L
· away
2.2
gls/g
1.9
1.7
Conceded
1.2
50%
Win %
60%
70%
Win or Draw
70%
100%
O 1.5
90%
80%
O 2.5
60%
50%
O 3.5
30%
70%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
30%
10%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Larne
Saburtalo →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19.0% | 15.5% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 13.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | — |
| 2 | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Larne
Attack
27
Defence
64
Form
55
Saburtalo
Attack
31
Defence
65
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Larne vs Saburtalo?
The model gives Larne a 33% win probability, 36% for a draw, and 29% for an Saburtalo win.
How many goals are expected in Larne vs Saburtalo?
Expected goals: Larne 0.8, Saburtalo 0.8 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 66%.
What is the most likely score in Larne vs Saburtalo?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.64%.