Champions League
· 1st Qualifying Round
July 14, 2026 21:00
Matthew Paul Ridley
(ast. Ronan Doherty)
25'
D. Bent
69'
(pen.)
11'
(ast. Matteo Prandelli)
Pietro Mengucci
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Larne a 43% win probability (draw 29%, Tre Fiori 26%). The final result was Larne 2–1 Tre Fiori. In 1 previous meetings, Larne have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Tre Fiori.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
3
68%
Possession
32%
5
Corners
1
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
11'
ast. Matteo Prandelli ·
Pietro Mengucci⚽
⚽Matthew Paul Ridley
· ast. Ronan Doherty
25'
32'
Alessandro D'Addario
49'
Tom Syku
Conor·McKendry
53'
58'
Simone Rea
Conor·McKendry
/ Jordan Mceneff
58'
Montel Gibson
/ Kevin O’Hara
58'
59'
Giulio Ponticelli
/
Alessandro D'Addario
59'
Mohamed Ben Kacem
/
Matteo Prandelli
67'
Nico Manara
⚽D. Bent
(pen.)
69'
72'
Tommaso Leon Bernardi
/
Nico Manara
Ronan Doherty
/ Dylan Sloan
76'
Sean Graham
/ james simpson
80'
Matthew Lusty
/ Paul O'Neill
80'
83'
Luca Terenzi
/
Pietro Mengucci
83'
Luca Censoni
/
Romeo Bertani
90'
Tommaso Leon Bernardi
90'
Giulio Ponticelli
Pre-match prediction
43.93%
Larne ←
29.11%
X
26.96%
Tre
we assigned to the actual result (Larne)
43.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
—
—
0.37
—
—
Lineups
1
Rohan Ferguson
G
6
Chris Gallagher
M
3
Matt Ridley
1 ⚽
D
26
Dan Bent
1 ⚽
D
23
Tomas Cosgrove
D
7
Conor McKendry
58'
F
11
S. Graham
80'
M
15
R. Doherty
1 👟
76'
M
R. Doherty
1 👟
76'
M
30
Matthew Lusty
80'
F
Bench
14
Benji Magee
F
36
Dylan Graham
G
47
James Simpson
10'
D
22
Jordan McEneff
32'
M
9
Paul O'Neill
10'
F
17
Michele Nardi
G
4
Brando Sami
M
Brando Sami
M
3
M. Sancisi
D
M. Sancisi
D
5
Simone Rea
63'
D
Simone Rea
63'
D
2
Alessandro D'Addario
59'
D
20
Federico Benedettini
M
Bench
23
A. Sirri
D
A. Sirri
D
16
Federico Dolcini
M
28
L. Terenzi
7'
M
L. Terenzi
7'
M
8
Luca Censoni
7'
M
Larne — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rohan Ferguson | G | 90 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Chris Gallagher | M | 90 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Matt Ridley | D | 90 | 0.00 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Dan Bent | D | 90 | 0.00 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Tomas Cosgrove | D | 90 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Conor McKendry | F | 58 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. Graham | M | 80 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Doherty | M | 76 | 0.00 | — | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Matthew Lusty | F | 80 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| James Simpson | D | 10 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Jordan McEneff | M | 32 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Paul O'Neill | F | 10 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Tre Fiori — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michele Nardi | G | 90 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Brando Sami | M | 90 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Sancisi | D | 90 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Simone Rea | D | 63 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | 1 |
| Alessandro D'Addario | D | 59 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Federico Benedettini | M | 90 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Terenzi | M | 7 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Luca Censoni | M | 7 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Larne vs Tre Fiori?
The final score was Larne 2–1 Tre Fiori.
What did the model predict before Larne vs Tre Fiori?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Larne win, 29% to a draw, and 26% to an Tre Fiori win.