USL Championship
· Group Stage
October 18, 2026 04:30
✓Model correct — prediction Lexington
C. Locker
25'
O. Anderson
(ast. C. Pinzon)
45'+2
P. Leal
(ast. C. Pinzon)
81'
4'
(ast. M. Epps)
X. Zengue
39'
Nick Firmino
62'
(ast. P. Goodrum)
Nick Firmino
75'
B. Ferri
90'+1
(ast. B. P. Rodrigues)
P. Seagrist
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lexington a 61% win probability (draw 16%, Las Vegas Lights 22%). The final result was Las Vegas Lights 3–5 Lexington. In 2 previous meetings, Las Vegas Lights have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lexington.
Match statistics
Match Events
4'
ast. M. Epps ·
X. Zengue⚽
⚽C. Locker
25'
39'
Nick Firmino⚽
⚽O. Anderson
· ast. C. Pinzon
45'+2
O. Anderson
/ M. Arteaga
46'
46'
B. P. Rodrigues
/
M. Fry
62'
ast. P. Goodrum ·
Nick Firmino⚽
75'
B. Ferri⚽
T. Antonoglou
/ B. Pope
75'
M. Ybarra
/ P. Leal
75'
⚽P. Leal
· ast. C. Pinzon
81'
83'
P. Seagrist
/
Nick Firmino
84'
M. Tschantret
/
B. Ferri
C. Locker
/ A. Okyere
84'
90'+1
ast. B. P. Rodrigues ·
P. Seagrist⚽
90'+2
M. Yosef
/
M. Epps
M. Arteaga
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
22.05%
Las
16.95%
X
61.0%
Lexington ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Lexington)
61.0%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
—
—
2.73
—
—
Lineups
1
T. Henry
G
81
T. Antonoglou
D
33
A. Guillén
D
3
N. Jones
D
6
N. Sessock
D
18
C. Locker
1 ⚽
M
27
G. Probo
M
23
M. Ybarra
M
25
O. Anderson
1 ⚽
F
O. Anderson
1 ⚽
F
14
J. Rodriguez
F
11
C. Pinzon
2 👟
F
Bench
43
A. Okyere
M
30
B. Ofeimu
D
45
B. Pope
D
13
C. Lanphier
G
4
C. Stretch
D
9
M. Arteaga
F
17
P. Leal
1 ⚽
M
17
O. Semmle
G
2
J. Greene
D
21
M. Muir
D
5
K. Burks
D
12
X. Zengue
1 ⚽
D
6
A. Molloy
M
16
B. Ferri
1 ⚽
M
7
M. Epps
1 👟
M
8
Nick Firmino
2 ⚽
M
34
M. Fry
M
9
P. Goodrum
1 👟
F
Bench
27
B. P. Rodrigues
1 👟
M
31
B. Thompson
G
23
J. Brown
D
13
M. Tschantret
M
20
M. Yosef
F
98
P. Seagrist
1 ⚽
D
19
T. Scott
F
Las Vegas Lights — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Henry | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Antonoglou | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Guillén | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Jones | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Sessock | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Locker | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Probo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ybarra | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Anderson | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Rodriguez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Pinzon | F | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lexington — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Semmle | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Greene | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Muir | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Burks | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| X. Zengue | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Molloy | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Ferri | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Epps | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nick Firmino | M | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Fry | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Goodrum | F | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington?
The final score was Las Vegas Lights 3–5 Lexington.
What did the model predict before Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Las Vegas Lights win, 16% to a draw, and 61% to an Lexington win.