USL Championship
· Group Stage
September 06, 2026 04:30
O. Anderson
29'
34'
G. Hurst
79'
(ast. N. Hamalainen)
K. Keller
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New Mexico United a 44% win probability (draw 27%, Las Vegas Lights 27%). The final result was Las Vegas Lights 1–2 New Mexico United. In 1 previous meetings, Las Vegas Lights have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for New Mexico United.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽O. Anderson
29'
34'
G. Hurst⚽
44'
L. Archimede
65'
G. Zelalem
/
L. Archimede
65'
C. Nava
/
N. Reid-Stephen
65'
J. Melto Quiah
/
D. Harris
O. Anderson
/ M. Arteaga
67'
C. Locker
/ A. Okyere
67'
79'
ast. N. Hamalainen ·
K. Keller⚽
M. Ybarra
/ P. Leal
83'
85'
Z. Bailey
87'
K. Shakes
88'
J. LaCava
/
N. Hamalainen
89'
M. Howell
/
Z. Bailey
N. Sessock
/ B. Pope
90'+1
A. Guillen
/ B. Ofeimu
90'+1
90'+5
T. Blackett
J. Rodriguez
90'
Pre-match prediction
27.86%
Las
27.23%
X
44.91%
New ←
we assigned to the actual result (New Mexico United)
44.91%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.74
—
—
1.30
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United?
The final score was Las Vegas Lights 1–2 New Mexico United.
What did the model predict before Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Las Vegas Lights win, 27% to a draw, and 44% to an New Mexico United win.