USL Championship
· Group Stage
April 12, 2026 06:30
A. Guillen
(ast. S. Smart)
20'
31'
(ast. K. Edwards)
M. Kaye
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Las Vegas Lights a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Sacramento Republic 33%). The final result was Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Sacramento Republic.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽A. Guillen
· ast. S. Smart
20'
31'
ast. K. Edwards ·
M. Kaye⚽
36'
A. Essel
43'
F. Kleemann
46'
R. Spaulding
/
M. Kaye
N. Jones
61'
64'
F. Ajago
/
K. Edwards
M. Arteaga
/ M. Leal
70'
70'
M. Malango
/
D. Wanner
70'
C. Ukaegbu
/
A. Essel
75'
A. Rodriguez
77'
M. Malango
A. Okyere
/ B. Mines
81'
81'
B. Cambridge
/
A. Rodriguez
C. Pinzon
/ C. Locker
89'
A. Guillen
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
35.17%
Las
31.42%
X ←
33.42%
Sacramento
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.42%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.35
—
—
1.30
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic?
The final score was Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Sacramento Republic.
What did the model predict before Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Las Vegas Lights win, 31% to a draw, and 33% to an Sacramento Republic win.