USL Championship
· Group Stage
October 04, 2026 04:30
M. Arteaga
45'+3
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Las Vegas Lights a 49% win probability (draw 29%, San Antonio 20%). The final result was Las Vegas Lights 1–0 San Antonio. In 1 previous meetings, Las Vegas Lights have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for San Antonio.
Match statistics
Match Events
15'
N. Hernandez
25'
L. Ricol
/
N. Hernandez
⚽M. Arteaga
45'+3
45'+6
L. Berron
46'
L. Paredes
/
C. Sorto
53'
L. Haakenson
/
L. Paredes
N. Sessock
59'
K. Scott
/ M. Ybarra
60'
70'
D. Pacheco
/
C. Parano
N. Sessock
/ B. Pope
70'
70'
N. Blanco
/
L. Berron
T. Henry
84'
J. Rodriguez
/ N. Jones
85'
87'
A. Crognale
Pre-match prediction
49.77%
Las ←
29.54%
X
20.69%
San
we assigned to the actual result (Las Vegas Lights)
49.77%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
—
—
0.50
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio?
The final score was Las Vegas Lights 1–0 San Antonio.
What did the model predict before Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Las Vegas Lights win, 29% to a draw, and 20% to an San Antonio win.