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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1 July 31, 2026 19:30 Raiffeisen Arena, Linz
Lask Linz
#1 · 15 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Grazer AK
#10 · 4 pts
S. Adeniran (ast. K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen) 20'
S. Adeniran 29' (pen.)
C. Lang (ast. M. Bogarde) 79'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lask Linz a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Grazer AK 32%). The final result was Lask Linz 3–0 Grazer AK. In 2 previous meetings, Lask Linz have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Grazer AK.

Match statistics
20
Total shots
3
9
Shots on target
1
2.46
Actual xG
0.95
1
Saves
6
59%
Possession
41%
6
Corners
2
11
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽S. Adeniran · ast. K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen
20'
28'
D. Pines
⚽S. Adeniran (pen.)
29'
↕ K. Danek / A. Schopf
67'
↕ S. Adeniran / M. Usor
67'
↕ R. Ljubicic / M. Bogarde
67'
71'
A. Smits / D. Maderner ↕
71'
Anderson / L. Hermesh ↕
72'
L. Klassen
⚽C. Lang · ast. M. Bogarde
79'
80'
M. Grosse / C. Lichtenberger ↕
↕ C. Lang / N. Kane
81'
87'
P. Markovic / Y. Oberleitner ↕
↕ G. Bello / Y. Dibango
87'
Pre-match prediction
35.3%
Lask ←
32.54%
X
32.16%
Grazer
we assigned to the actual result (Lask Linz) 35.3% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lask
3.07
2.46
-0.61
Grazer
1.55
0.95
-0.6
Lask Linz dominated by xG (2.46 vs 0.95). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lask Linz Lask Linz 5 15
2 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 6 14
3 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 5 12
4 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 5 8
5 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 5 7
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 5 6
7 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 5 5
8 Ried Ried 6 5
9 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 5 5
10 Grazer AK Grazer AK 5 4
11 SCR Altach SCR Altach 5 3
12 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 5 3
Lineups
Lask Linz Lask Linz 3-1-4-2
1 L. Jungwirth L. Jungwirth G 7.60
4 X. Mbuyamba X. Mbuyamba D 7.70
16 A. Andrade A. Andrade D 8.20
43 Alemão Alemão D 7.60
10 R. Ljubičić R. Ljubičić 67' M 7.30
2 G. Bello G. Bello 87' M 7.20
30 S. Horvath S. Horvath M 8.20
9 K. Daněk K. Daněk 67' M 7.30
20 K. Jørgensen K. Jørgensen 1 👟 M 7.30
27 C. Lang C. Lang 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.90
7 S. Adeniran S. Adeniran 2 ⚽ 67' F 7.90
Bench
18 A. Schöpf A. Schöpf 23' M 6.60
29 F. Flecker F. Flecker F
21 Manoël Verhaeghe Manoël Verhaeghe D
6 M. Bogarde M. Bogarde 1 👟 23' D 7.20
3 M. Freckleton M. Freckleton D
8 M. Usor M. Usor 23' F 6.30
45 N. Kane N. Kane 9' M 6.50
33 T. Schützenauer T. Schützenauer G
25 Y. Dibango Y. Dibango 8' D 6.60
Grazer AK Grazer AK 3-4-1-2
23 C. Stanković C. Stanković G 7.30
27 Y. Oberleitner Y. Oberleitner 87' D 5.90
2 D. Pines D. Pines D 5.70
82 B. Owusu B. Owusu D 6.30
32 L. Klassen L. Klassen M 6.20
34 P. Michorl P. Michorl M 6.00
6 L. Hermesh L. Hermesh 71' M 6.30
48 M. Gragger M. Gragger M 6.70
10 C. Lichtenberger C. Lichtenberger 80' F 7.00
25 A. Hofleitner A. Hofleitner F 6.90
9 D. Maderner D. Maderner 71' F 6.20
Bench
28 Anderson Anderson 19' M 6.70
7 A. Smits A. Smits 19' F 6.50
30 Christoph Hasenhuttl Christoph Hasenhuttl D
26 C. Nicht C. Nicht G
16 Felix Baumgartner Felix Baumgartner F
1 J. Meierhofer J. Meierhofer G
11 M. Große M. Große 10' F 6.50
70 Nicky Fatayi Brown Ugo Nicky Fatayi Brown Ugo M
72 Petar Markovic Petar Markovic 8' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
A. Andrade
A. Andrade
D · Lask
8.20
2 shots · 78 pass
S. Horvath
S. Horvath
M · Lask
8.20
2 shots · 64 pass
S. Adeniran
S. Adeniran
F · Lask
7.90
2 ⚽
7 shots · 20 pass
C. Lang
C. Lang
F · Lask
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots · 26 pass
X. Mbuyamba
X. Mbuyamba
D · Lask
7.70
· 63 pass
Alemão
Alemão
D · Lask
7.60
· 70 pass
Lask Linz Lask Linz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Jungwirth G 90 7.60 — — — 21 16% — — —
X. Mbuyamba D 90 7.70 — — — 63 55% 2 — —
A. Andrade D 90 8.20 — — 2 78 70% 3 — —
Alemão D 90 7.60 — — — 70 65% 3 — —
R. Ljubičić M 67 7.30 — — 1 53 49% — — —
G. Bello M 87 7.20 — — — 44 40% — — —
S. Horvath M 90 8.20 — — 2 64 57% 1 — —
K. Daněk M 67 7.30 — — 1 29 24% — — —
K. Jørgensen M 90 7.30 — 1 2 36 27% — — —
C. Lang F 81 7.90 1 — 4 26 23% — — —
S. Adeniran F 67 7.90 2 — 7 20 18% — — —
A. Schöpf M 23 6.60 — — — 13 12% — — —
M. Bogarde D 23 7.20 — 1 — 17 15% 1 — —
M. Usor F 23 6.30 — — 1 7 7% — — —
N. Kane M 9 6.50 — — — 6 2% — — —
Y. Dibango D 8 6.60 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Grazer AK Grazer AK — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Stanković G 90 7.30 — — — 30 21% — — —
Y. Oberleitner D 87 5.90 — — — 62 52% 1 — —
D. Pines D 90 5.70 — — — 49 44% 1 1 —
B. Owusu D 90 6.30 — — — 45 38% 2 — —
L. Klassen M 90 6.20 — — — 38 32% — 1 —
P. Michorl M 90 6.00 — — — 48 38% — — —
L. Hermesh M 71 6.30 — — 1 34 28% — — —
M. Gragger M 90 6.70 — — — 19 15% 1 — —
C. Lichtenberger F 80 7.00 — — — 25 22% 2 — —
A. Hofleitner F 90 6.90 — — 1 14 5% — — —
D. Maderner F 71 6.20 — — — 12 4% 1 — —
Anderson M 19 6.70 — — — 6 1% 2 — —
A. Smits F 19 6.50 — — 1 3 2% 1 — —
M. Große F 10 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Petar Markovic D 8 6.60 — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lask Linz vs Grazer AK?
The final score was Lask Linz 3–0 Grazer AK.
What did the model predict before Lask Linz vs Grazer AK?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Lask Linz win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Grazer AK win.