Lask Linz 4–1 Ried — pre-match prediction — Bundesliga — August 14, 2026

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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3 August 14, 2026 19:30 Raiffeisen Arena, Linz

Lask Linz

#3 · 19 pts

4 – 1

Final score

Ried

#5 · 15 pts

S. Adeniran (ast. M. Usor) 10'

M. Usor (ast. A. Andrade) 18'

S. Adeniran (ast. M. Bogarde) 27'

C. Lang (ast. M. Usor) 57'

8' (ast. S. Schwab) P. Sissoko

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lask Linz a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Ried 27%). The final result was Lask Linz 4–1 Ried. In 3 previous meetings, Lask Linz have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Ried.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.12

Actual xG

0.80

Saves

50%

Possession

50%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

ast. S. Schwab · P. Sissoko⚽

⚽S. Adeniran · ast. M. Usor

10'

⚽M. Usor · ast. A. Andrade

18'

⚽S. Adeniran · ast. M. Bogarde

27'

↕ S. Horvath / A. Schopf

46'

↕ S. Adeniran / C. Lang

55'

⚽C. Lang · ast. M. Usor

57'

↕ M. Bogarde / F. Flecker

63'

↕ M. Usor / K. Danek

63'

65'

M. Rasner / S. Schwab ↕

65'

J. Mayer / P. Sissoko ↕

70'

L. Malicsek

73'

S. Chukwudi

R. Ljubicic

74'

79'

T. Kusanovic / O. Sorg ↕

↕ K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen / N. Kane

83'

85'

T. Lund-Jensen / D. Radonjic ↕

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

43.68%

Lask ←

28.89%

27.43%

Ried

we assigned to the actual result (Lask Linz) 43.68% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Lask

2.97

2.12

-0.85

Ried

0.78

0.80

+0.02

Lask Linz dominated by xG (2.12 vs 0.80). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	10	27
2	Red Bull Salzburg	10	24
3	Lask Linz	10	19
4	Sturm Graz	10	18
5	Ried	10	15
6	TSV Hartberg	10	14
7	WSG Wattens	10	12
8	Grazer AK	10	10
9	SCR Altach	10	9
10	Austria Lustenau	10	8
11	Austria Vienna	10	7
12	Wolfsberger AC	10	5

Lineups

Lask Linz 3-5-2

L. Jungwirth G 7.00

A. Andrade 1 👟 D 7.60

Alemão D 6.60

X. Mbuyamba D 6.90

G. Bello M 6.50

S. Horvath 45' M 6.50

M. Bogarde 1 👟 63' M 7.90

R. Ljubičić 74' M 5.90

K. Jørgensen 83' M 6.70

S. Adeniran 2 ⚽ 55' F 8.90

M. Usor 1 ⚽ 2 👟 63' F 9.20

Bench

A. Schöpf 45' M 6.90

C. Lang 1 ⚽ 35' F 7.90

F. Flecker 27' F 6.60

K. Daněk 27' M 7.50

Manoël Verhaeghe D

M. Freckleton D

N. Kane 12' M 6.30

T. Schützenauer G

Y. Dibango D

Ried 3-4-2-1

A. Leitner G 5.90

O. Steurer D 5.90

S. Chukwudi D 6.20

D. Radonjic 85' D 6.20

O. Sorg 79' M 6.30

S. Schwab 1 👟 65' M 6.20

Y. Maart M 6.90

L. Malicsek M 5.90

Evan Eghosa Aisowieren 65' F 6.70

A. Bajić F 6.20

N. Sissoko 65' F 7.00

Bench

A. Goiginger D

Dominik Kirnbauer D

F. Wimmer G

J. Boguo 25' F 6.70

J. Nasrawe M

Jonas Mayer 25' M 6.60

M. Rasner 25' M 6.60

T. Kusanovic 11' F 6.30

T. Lund Jensen 10' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

M. Usor

F · Lask

9.20

1 ⚽ 2 👟

3 shots · 15 pass

S. Adeniran

F · Lask

8.90

2 ⚽

2 shots · 8 pass

C. Lang

F · Lask

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 11 pass

M. Bogarde

M · Lask

7.90

1 👟

· 29 pass

A. Andrade

D · Lask

7.60

1 👟

· 50 pass

K. Daněk

M · Lask

7.50

· 11 pass

Lask Linz — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
L. Jungwirth	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	32	24%	—	—	—
A. Andrade	D	90	7.60	—	1	—	50	43%	3	—	—
Alemão	D	90	6.60	—	—	1	57	48%	2	—	—
X. Mbuyamba	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	57	48%	3	—	—
G. Bello	M	90	6.50	—	—	—	25	21%	1	—	—
S. Horvath	M	45	6.50	—	—	—	20	13%	—	—	—
M. Bogarde	M	63	7.90	—	1	—	29	25%	2	—	—
R. Ljubičić	M	74	5.90	—	—	1	28	23%	—	—	1
K. Jørgensen	M	83	6.70	—	—	3	25	20%	1	—	—
S. Adeniran	F	55	8.90	2	—	2	8	7%	—	—	—
M. Usor	F	63	9.20	1	2	3	15	11%	—	—	—
A. Schöpf	M	45	6.90	—	—	1	22	20%	—	—	—
C. Lang	F	35	7.90	1	—	1	11	10%	1	—	—
F. Flecker	F	27	6.60	—	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—
K. Daněk	M	27	7.50	—	—	—	11	9%	—	—	—
N. Kane	M	12	6.30	—	—	—	3	3%	1	—	—

Ried — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Leitner	G	90	5.90	—	—	—	40	31%	—	—	—
O. Steurer	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	51	42%	1	—	—
S. Chukwudi	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	55	52%	1	1	—
D. Radonjic	D	85	6.20	—	—	1	26	24%	—	—	—
O. Sorg	M	79	6.30	—	—	—	26	18%	1	—	—
S. Schwab	M	65	6.20	—	1	1	27	18%	2	—	—
Y. Maart	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	51	46%	1	—	—
L. Malicsek	M	90	5.90	—	—	—	31	27%	1	1	—
Evan Eghosa Aisowieren	F	65	6.70	—	—	1	9	8%	1	—	—
A. Bajić	F	90	6.20	—	—	1	22	14%	3	—	—
N. Sissoko	F	65	7.00	—	—	2	15	11%	2	—	—
J. Boguo	F	25	6.70	—	—	—	9	6%	2	1	—
Jonas Mayer	M	25	6.60	—	—	—	11	7%	3	—	—
M. Rasner	M	25	6.60	—	—	—	15	13%	1	—	—
T. Kusanovic	F	11	6.30	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
T. Lund Jensen	M	10	6.30	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Lask Linz vs Ried?

The final score was Lask Linz 4–1 Ried.

What did the model predict before Lask Linz vs Ried?

The model assigned 43% probability to a Lask Linz win, 28% to a draw, and 27% to an Ried win.