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Bundesliga · Championship Group - 27 April 19, 2026 19:00
Lask Linz
#1 · 36 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Sturm Graz
#2 · 34 pts
S. Kalajdzic (ast. G. Bello) 68'
(pen.) 10' O. Kiteishvili

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lask Linz a 45% win probability (draw 23%, Sturm Graz 31%). The final result was Lask Linz 1–1 Sturm Graz. In 3 previous meetings, Lask Linz have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Sturm Graz.

Match statistics
24
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
2
3.41
Actual xG
1.12
1
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
8
Corners
2
17
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
10'
(pen.) O. Kiteishvili⚽
44'
J. Hodl
49'
N. Geyrhofer / J. Mitchell ↕
51'
A. Vallci
59'
D. Khudyakov
↕ I. Coulibaly / G. Bello
65'
⚽S. Kalajdzic · ast. G. Bello
68'
70'
G. Mamageishvili / M. Malone ↕
70'
A. Malic / J. Hodl ↕
80'
E. Karic / J. Gazibegovic ↕
↕ M. Usor / C. Lang
86'
Pre-match prediction
45.09%
Lask
23.64%
X ←
31.27%
Sturm
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.64% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lask
1.88
3.41
+1.53
Sturm
1.56
1.12
-0.44
Lask Linz dominated by xG (3.41 vs 1.12). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lask Linz Lask Linz 31 36
1 Ried Ried 31 28
2 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 31 25
2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 31 34
3 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 31 29
3 SCR Altach SCR Altach 31 24
4 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 31 24
4 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 31 29
5 Grazer AK Grazer AK 31 24
5 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 31 27
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 31 22
6 FC BW Linz FC BW Linz 31 21
Lineups
Lask Linz Lask Linz 3-4-1-2
1
G 7.50
16 A. Andrade A. Andrade D 7.20
43 Alemão Alemão D 6.90
48 Modou Kéba Cissé Modou Kéba Cissé D 6.70
6 Melayro Bogarde Melayro Bogarde M 7.90
30 Sascha Horvath Sascha Horvath M 7.90
4 I. Coulibaly I. Coulibaly 65' M 6.60
20 K. Jørgensen K. Jørgensen M 6.30
10 Saša Kalajdžić Saša Kalajdžić 1 ⚽ F 8.30
7 S. Adeniran S. Adeniran F 6.90
8 M. Usor M. Usor 86' F 7.90
Bench
27 Christoph Lang Christoph Lang 11' F 6.30
2 George Bello George Bello 1 👟 25' D 7.70
11 Maximilian Entrup Maximilian Entrup F
3 Xavier Mbuyamba Xavier Mbuyamba D
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3-4-2-1
53 Daniil Khudyakov Daniil Khudyakov G 7.90
30 Paul Koller Paul Koller D 6.90
2 Jeyland Mitchell Jeyland Mitchell 49' D 6.60
5 Albert Vallci Albert Vallci D 6.50
22 Jusuf Gazibegović Jusuf Gazibegović 80' M 6.90
80 Ryan Fosso Ryan Fosso M 6.30
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič J. Gorenc Stankovič M 7.30
43 Jacob Hödl Jacob Hödl 70' M 5.90
77 Maurice Malone Maurice Malone 70' F 6.00
10 O. Kiteishvili O. Kiteishvili 1 ⚽ F 6.90
20 Seedy Jatta Seedy Jatta F 6.50
Bench
23 A. Malic A. Malic 20' D 6.90
11 Axel Kayombo Axel Kayombo F
17 Emir Karić Emir Karić 10' D 6.90
15 Gizo Mamageishvili Gizo Mamageishvili 20' M 6.90
39 Luca Weinhandl Luca Weinhandl M
Best on the pitch
Saša Kalajdžić
Saša Kalajdžić
F · Lask
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 23 pass
Melayro Bogarde
Melayro Bogarde
M · Lask
7.90
· 57 pass
Sascha Horvath
Sascha Horvath
M · Lask
7.90
1 shots · 49 pass
M. Usor
M. Usor
F · Lask
7.90
1 shots · 23 pass
Daniil Khudyakov
Daniil Khudyakov
G · Sturm
7.90
· 32 pass
George Bello
George Bello
D · Lask
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 11 pass
Lask Linz Lask Linz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 — — — 27 21% — — —
A. Andrade D 90 7.20 — — 1 61 49% — — —
Alemão D 90 6.90 — — 2 40 38% 3 — —
Modou Kéba Cissé D 90 6.70 — — 3 48 39% 1 — —
Melayro Bogarde M 90 7.90 — — — 57 43% 3 — —
Sascha Horvath M 90 7.90 — — 1 49 47% 5 — —
I. Coulibaly M 65 6.60 — — 1 33 29% 1 — —
K. Jørgensen M 90 6.30 — — 4 36 27% — — —
Saša Kalajdžić F 90 8.30 1 — 3 23 17% 2 — —
S. Adeniran F 90 6.90 — — 7 19 17% 1 — —
M. Usor F 86 7.90 — — 1 23 15% — — —
Christoph Lang F 11 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
George Bello D 25 7.70 — 1 1 11 10% 1 — —
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniil Khudyakov G 90 7.90 — — — 32 17% — 1 —
Paul Koller D 90 6.90 — — — 33 23% 2 — —
Jeyland Mitchell D 49 6.60 — — — 7 6% — — —
Albert Vallci D 90 6.50 — — — 23 14% 2 1 —
Jusuf Gazibegović M 80 6.90 — — — 16 11% 2 — —
Ryan Fosso M 90 6.30 — — — 25 15% — — —
J. Gorenc Stankovič M 90 7.30 — — — 29 14% 3 — —
Jacob Hödl M 70 5.90 — — — 19 6% 3 1 —
Maurice Malone F 70 6.00 — — 1 10 8% 1 — —
O. Kiteishvili F 90 6.90 1 — 2 20 16% 2 — —
Seedy Jatta F 90 6.50 — — — 15 9% 1 — —
A. Malic D 20 6.90 — — — 12 7% 1 — —
Emir Karić D 10 6.90 — — — 6 4% — — —
Gizo Mamageishvili M 20 6.90 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lask Linz vs Sturm Graz?
The final score was Lask Linz 1–1 Sturm Graz.
What did the model predict before Lask Linz vs Sturm Graz?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Lask Linz win, 23% to a draw, and 31% to an Sturm Graz win.