UEFA Nations League
· Play-offs C/D
March 31, 2026 18:00
Antonijs Černomordijs
(ast. Roberts Savaļnieks)
90'+3
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Latvia a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Gibraltar 31%). The final result was Latvia 1–0 Gibraltar. In 1 previous meetings, Latvia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Gibraltar.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
9
Corners
3
11
Tackles
6
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs
5'
40'
Tjay De Barr
45'+3
Roberts Veips
/ Daniels Balodis
46'
51'
Kian Ronan
Roberts Uldriķis
/ Vladislavs Gutkovskis
61'
Jānis Ikaunieks
/ Dario Sits
61'
67'
Dan Bent
73'
Luca Robert Scanlon
/
Kian Ronan
79'
Luca Robert Scanlon
80'
Dylan Borge
/
Graeme Torrilla
80'
Kai Mauro
/
Ethan Jolley
Vladislavs Gutkovskis
88'
88'
Nicholas Pozo
⚽Antonijs Černomordijs
· ast. Roberts Savaļnieks
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
36.49%
Latvia ←
31.79%
X
31.71%
Gibraltar
we assigned to the actual result (Latvia)
36.49%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.68
—
—
0.31
—
—
Lineups
23
G
13
D
11
1 👟
M
17
M
14
M
8
F
4
Roberts Veips
45'
D
5
A. Černomordijs
1 ⚽
D
A. Černomordijs
1 ⚽
D
15
D. Zelenkovs
M
D. Zelenkovs
M
10
Jānis Ikaunieks
61'
F
20
R. Uldriķis
61'
F
R. Uldriķis
61'
F
Bench
16
K. Penkevics
M
K. Penkevics
M
19
M. Regža
F
M. Regža
F
9
V. Gutkovskis
29'
F
V. Gutkovskis
29'
F
23
G
6
D
5
D
11
M
8
M
2
Ethan Jolley
80'
D
14
Kian Ronan
73'
D
22
Graeme Torrilla
80'
M
19
Dan Bent
M
4
Nicholas Pozo
M
7
Tjay De Barr
F
Bench
20
Luca Robert Scanlon
17'
F
Best on the pitch
M · Latvia
8.20
1 👟
· 26 pass
M · Latvia
8.20
· 49 pass
F · Latvia
7.90
3 shots
· 31 pass
G · Gibraltar
7.70
· 28 pass
A. Černomordijs
D · Latvia
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 56 pass
G · Latvia
7.30
· 17 pass
Latvia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | — | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | 5 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| F | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — | |
| Roberts Veips | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| A. Černomordijs | D | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 56 | 49% | — | — | — |
| D. Zelenkovs | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 56 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| Jānis Ikaunieks | F | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 4% | — | — | — |
| R. Uldriķis | F | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| V. Gutkovskis | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Gibraltar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 2 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Ethan Jolley | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Kian Ronan | D | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Graeme Torrilla | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Dan Bent | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Nicholas Pozo | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tjay De Barr | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| Luca Robert Scanlon | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Latvia vs Gibraltar?
The final score was Latvia 1–0 Gibraltar.
What did the model predict before Latvia vs Gibraltar?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Latvia win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Gibraltar win.