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Serie A · Regular Season - 4 September 12, 2026 18:00
Lazio
#3 · 13 pts
2 – 2
Final score
AC Milan
#5 · 11 pts
M. Cancellieri (ast. M. Zaccagni) 10'
T. Noslin 39'
65' (ast. C. Pulisic) D. Moreira
67' (ast. A. Rabiot) D. Moreira
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AC Milan a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Lazio 33%). The final result was Lazio 2–2 AC Milan. In 3 previous meetings, Lazio have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AC Milan.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
7
2.05
Actual xG
1.08
5
Saves
4
34%
Possession
66%
2
Corners
5
14
Tackles
8
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽M. Cancellieri · ast. M. Zaccagni
10'
⚽T. Noslin
39'
46'
C. Pulisic / R. Loftus-Cheek ↕
46'
D. Moreira / P. Estupinan ↕
46'
Y. Musah / L. Modric ↕
↕ M. Cancellieri / G. Isaksen
58'
↕ T. Noslin / A. Pinamonti
58'
59'
C. Pulisic
R. Belahyane
63'
64'
S. Pavlovic
65'
ast. C. Pulisic · D. Moreira⚽
67'
ast. A. Rabiot · D. Moreira⚽
↕ K. Taylor / A. Gudmundsson
74'
77'
O. Hutchinson / A. Cisse ↕
M. Zaccagni
78'
↕ J. Sutalo / D. Leite
84'
↕ R. Floriani / M. Lazzari
84'
85'
F. Camarda / G. Ramos ↕
86'
M. Gila
Pre-match prediction
33.63%
Lazio
30.64%
X ←
35.73%
AC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.64% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lazio
1.85
2.05
+0.2
AC
1.88
1.08
-0.8
Lazio dominated by xG (2.05 vs 1.08). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AS Roma AS Roma 5 13
2 Inter Inter 5 13
3 Lazio Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Cagliari 5 12
5 AC Milan AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Frosinone 5 10
7 Juventus Juventus 5 10
8 Como Como 5 10
9 Napoli Napoli 5 7
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 5 7
11 Atalanta Atalanta 5 6
12 Lecce Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Udinese 5 4
14 Torino Torino 5 4
15 Parma Parma 5 4
16 Monza Monza 5 4
17 Fiorentina Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna Bologna 5 2
19 Genoa Genoa 5 1
20 Venezia Venezia 5 0
Lineups
Lazio Lazio 4-3-3
35 C. Mandas C. Mandas G 7.50
17 Nuno Tavares Nuno Tavares D 6.90
25 O. Provstgaard O. Provstgaard D 6.30
37 Josip Šutalo Josip Šutalo 84' D 6.00
15 Romano Floriani Mussolini Romano Floriani Mussolini 84' D 6.30
24 Kenneth Taylor Kenneth Taylor 74' M 6.70
21 Reda Belahyane Reda Belahyane M 6.90
16 D. Frattesi D. Frattesi M 7.00
10 M. Zaccagni M. Zaccagni 1 👟 F 7.50
14 T. Noslin T. Noslin 1 ⚽ 58' F 7.50
22 Matteo Cancellieri Matteo Cancellieri 1 ⚽ 58' F 7.20
Bench
28 Adrian Przyborek Adrian Przyborek M
80 Albert Guðmundsson Albert Guðmundsson 20' F 6.20
23 Alfonso Pedraza Alfonso Pedraza D
9 Andrea Pinamonti Andrea Pinamonti 36' F 6.20
32 Danilo Cataldi Danilo Cataldi M
47 Davide Renzetti Davide Renzetti G
2 Diogo Leite Diogo Leite 10' D 6.30
40 Edoardo Motta Edoardo Motta G
63 Federico Serra Federico Serra F
11 G. Isaksen G. Isaksen 36' F 6.50
29 Manuel Lazzari Manuel Lazzari 10' M 6.70
33 Ricardo Bordon Ricardo Bordon D
71 Valerio Farcomeni Valerio Farcomeni M
AC Milan AC Milan 3-4-2-1
16 Mike Maignan Mike Maignan G 7.50
31 S. Pavlović S. Pavlović D 6.50
5 Koni De Winter Koni De Winter D 6.60
34 Mario Gila Mario Gila D 7.20
2 Pervis Estupiñán Pervis Estupiñán 45' M 6.50
12 A. Rabiot A. Rabiot 1 👟 M 6.50
14 Luka Modrić Luka Modrić 45' M 6.20
21 S. Chukwueze S. Chukwueze M 7.20
70 Alphadjo Cissè Alphadjo Cissè 77' F 6.30
8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek Ruben Loftus-Cheek 45' F 6.30
9 Gonçalo Ramos Gonçalo Ramos 85' F 6.60
Bench
30 Ardon Jashari Ardon Jashari M
56 A. Saelemaekers A. Saelemaekers F
28 Christian Comotto Christian Comotto M
11 Christian Pulišić Christian Pulišić 1 👟 49' M 6.90
33 Davide Bartesaghi Davide Bartesaghi D
22 Diego Moreira Diego Moreira 2 ⚽ 49' F 9.00
23 Fikayo Tomori Fikayo Tomori D
42 Filippo Terracciano Filippo Terracciano D
73 Francesco Camarda Francesco Camarda 9' F 6.50
96 Lorenzo Torriani Lorenzo Torriani G
46 Matteo Gabbia Matteo Gabbia D
20 Omari Hutchinson Omari Hutchinson 17' F 6.30
1 Pietro Terracciano Pietro Terracciano G
13 Sankhoun Diawara Sankhoun Diawara D
80 Yunus Musah Yunus Musah 49' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
Diego Moreira
Diego Moreira
F · AC
9.00
2 ⚽
3 shots · 25 pass
C. Mandas
C. Mandas
G · Lazio
7.50
· 36 pass
Mike Maignan
Mike Maignan
G · AC
7.50
· 35 pass
M. Zaccagni
M. Zaccagni
F · Lazio
7.50
1 👟
3 shots · 31 pass
T. Noslin
T. Noslin
F · Lazio
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 11 pass
S. Chukwueze
S. Chukwueze
M · AC
7.20
2 shots · 60 pass
Lazio Lazio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Mandas G 94 7.50 — — — 36 25% — — —
Nuno Tavares D 94 6.90 — — — 37 31% 2 — —
O. Provstgaard D 94 6.30 — — — 42 42% — — —
Josip Šutalo D 84 6.00 — — — 24 21% — — —
Romano Floriani Mussolini D 84 6.30 — — — 22 17% 3 — —
Kenneth Taylor M 74 6.70 — — — 31 28% 1 — —
Reda Belahyane M 94 6.90 — — — 28 26% 3 1 —
D. Frattesi M 94 7.00 — — 2 22 19% 1 — —
M. Zaccagni F 94 7.50 — 1 3 31 20% 2 1 —
T. Noslin F 58 7.50 1 — 2 11 7% — — —
Matteo Cancellieri F 58 7.20 1 — 1 7 6% 2 — —
Albert Guðmundsson F 20 6.20 — — — 5 4% — — —
Andrea Pinamonti F 36 6.20 — — — 5 3% — — —
Diogo Leite D 10 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
G. Isaksen F 36 6.50 — — — 6 3% — — —
Manuel Lazzari M 10 6.70 — — — 2 2% — — —
AC Milan AC Milan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mike Maignan G 94 7.50 — — — 35 27% — — —
S. Pavlović D 94 6.50 — — 2 89 84% 1 1 —
Koni De Winter D 94 6.60 — — — 80 80% 1 — —
Mario Gila D 94 7.20 — — 1 74 65% 3 1 —
Pervis Estupiñán M 45 6.50 — — — 28 26% — — —
A. Rabiot M 94 6.50 — 1 — 61 56% — — —
Luka Modrić M 45 6.20 — — — 43 37% — — —
S. Chukwueze M 94 7.20 — — 2 60 53% — — —
Alphadjo Cissè F 77 6.30 — — 1 35 31% — — —
Ruben Loftus-Cheek F 45 6.30 — — — 17 14% — — —
Gonçalo Ramos F 85 6.60 — — 1 14 13% 2 — —
Christian Pulišić M 49 6.90 — 1 1 21 21% — 1 —
Diego Moreira F 49 9.00 2 — 3 25 23% — — —
Francesco Camarda F 9 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
Omari Hutchinson F 17 6.30 — — 1 7 6% — — —
Yunus Musah M 49 6.90 — — — 32 29% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lazio vs AC Milan?
The final score was Lazio 2–2 AC Milan.
What did the model predict before Lazio vs AC Milan?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Lazio win, 30% to a draw, and 35% to an AC Milan win.