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← Serie A

Lazio - Cagliari

Serie A November 01, 2026 15:00
Lazio
#1 · 25 pts
vs
Cagliari
#9 · 13 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
55.91%
Win
Lazio
24.11%
Draw
19.99%
Win
Cagliari
2.05
Expected xG
0.69
Most likely outcome
Lazio
55.91%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 1 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (10.93%)
1X2 Result
1 56%
X 24%
2 20%
Double Chance
1X 80%
X2 44%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
✓ 85.5% hit rate (83 picks)
Over 2.5 54%
✓ 60.3% hit rate (73 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lazio a 55% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Cagliari. Expected goals are 2.0 for Lazio and 0.7 for Cagliari (total 2.7), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 10.93% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Lazio have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cagliari.

Season Stats

Lazio
11W 2D 2L
Cagliari
7W 2D 6L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
1.0
1.1
Conceded
1.5
4.9
Shots OT
4.1
4.3
Corners
4.6
50%
Poss.
43%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
67%
67%
O 2.5
47%
53%
BTTS
40%
33%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Serie A. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Lazio
6W 3D 1L · at home
Cagliari
4W 1D 5L · away
1.7
gls/g
1.0
1.3
Conceded
1.8
60%
Win %
40%
90%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
70%
70%
O 2.5
70%
30%
O 3.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
30%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Lazio Cagliari →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% —
1 13.3% 9.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% —
2 13.6% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% —
3 9.3% 6.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 4.8% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% — —
5 2.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Lazio Lazio
W Sassuolo 2–6
W Parma 2–1
W Juventus 0–3
W Monza 3–1
W Venezia 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 35%
Cagliari Cagliari
L AS Roma 4–2
L Bologna 0–2
L Monza 4–0
D Juventus 1–1
W Udinese 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Lazio Lazio
Attack
54
Defence
66
Form
76
Cagliari Cagliari
Attack
34
Defence
44
Form
41
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Lazio
1
Draw
0
Cagliari
21 Feb 2026 Serie A 0–0
3 Nov 2025 Serie A 2–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lazio vs Cagliari?
The model gives Lazio a 55% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 19% for an Cagliari win.
How many goals are expected in Lazio vs Cagliari?
Expected goals: Lazio 2.0, Cagliari 0.7 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Lazio vs Cagliari?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.93%.