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Serie A · Regular Season - 2 August 30, 2026 20:45
Lazio
#1 · 10 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Genoa
#19 · 1 pts
D. Frattesi (ast. N. Tavares) 25'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lazio a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Genoa 31%). The final result was Lazio 1–0 Genoa. In 2 previous meetings, Lazio have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Genoa.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
1
1.55
Actual xG
0.57
1
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
4
Corners
2
13
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
14'
L. Ostigard
⚽D. Frattesi · ast. N. Tavares
25'
35'
D. De Rossi
↕ N. Rovella / R. Belahyane
37'
58'
Junior Messias / D. Sow ↕
↕ N. Tavares / A. Pedraza
63'
↕ M. Cancellieri / G. Isaksen
63'
63'
M. Osmajic / Vitinha ↕
78'
Amorim / J. Vasquez ↕
78'
F. Meichtry / T. Baldanzi ↕
↕ B. Dia / A. Pinamonti
80'
↕ R. Floriani / M. Lazzari
80'
M. Zaccagni
90'+5
90'+5
Amorim
Pre-match prediction
35.8%
Lazio ←
32.31%
X
31.88%
Genoa
we assigned to the actual result (Lazio) 35.8% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lazio
2.09
1.55
-0.54
Genoa
1.29
0.57
-0.72
Lazio dominated by xG (1.55 vs 0.57). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 4 10
2 AS Roma AS Roma 3 9
3 Inter Inter 3 9
4 AC Milan AC Milan 4 8
5 Como Como 3 7
6 Juventus Juventus 3 7
7 Frosinone Frosinone 4 7
8 Atalanta Atalanta 3 6
9 Cagliari Cagliari 3 6
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 3 4
11 Udinese Udinese 3 4
12 Napoli Napoli 3 3
13 Torino Torino 3 3
14 Lecce Lecce 3 3
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 4 3
16 Bologna Bologna 3 1
17 Parma Parma 3 1
18 Monza Monza 3 1
19 Genoa Genoa 4 1
20 Venezia Venezia 4 0
Lineups
Lazio Lazio 4-3-3
35 Christos Mandas Christos Mandas G 6.90
17 Nuno Tavares Nuno Tavares 1 👟 63' D 7.20
25 Oliver Provstgaard Oliver Provstgaard D 7.20
5 D. Doekhi D. Doekhi D 6.90
15 Romano Floriani Mussolini Romano Floriani Mussolini 80' D 6.90
24 Kenneth Taylor Kenneth Taylor M 6.90
6 Nicolò Rovella Nicolò Rovella 37' M 6.90
16 Davide Frattesi Davide Frattesi 1 ⚽ M 7.50
10 Mattia Zaccagni Mattia Zaccagni F 7.30
19 B. Dia B. Dia 80' F 6.70
22 Matteo Cancellieri Matteo Cancellieri 63' F 7.20
Bench
28 Adrian Przyborek Adrian Przyborek M
23 Alfonso Pedraza Alfonso Pedraza 31' D 6.50
9 Andrea Pinamonti Andrea Pinamonti 14' F 6.20
13 A. Romagnoli A. Romagnoli D
47 Davide Renzetti Davide Renzetti G
40 Edoardo Motta Edoardo Motta G
63 Federico Serra Federico Serra F
11 Gustav Isaksen Gustav Isaksen 31' F 6.20
37 Josip Šutalo Josip Šutalo D
29 Manuel Lazzari Manuel Lazzari 14' M 6.50
21 Reda Belahyane Reda Belahyane 57' M 6.90
33 Ricardo Bordon Ricardo Bordon D
14 Tijjani Noslin Tijjani Noslin F
71 Valerio Farcomeni Valerio Farcomeni M
Genoa Genoa 3-4-2-1
1 Justin Bijlow Justin Bijlow G 6.70
22 Johan Vásquez Johan Vásquez 78' D 7.00
5 Leo Østigård Leo Østigård D 7.00
27 Alessandro Marcandalli Alessandro Marcandalli D 6.30
15 B. Norton-Cuffy B. Norton-Cuffy M 6.70
97 Djibril Sow Djibril Sow 58' M 7.20
32 Morten Frendrup Morten Frendrup M 6.60
77 Mikael Ellertsson Mikael Ellertsson M 6.30
9 Vitinha Vitinha 63' F 6.90
8 Tommaso Baldanzi Tommaso Baldanzi 78' F 6.60
29 Lorenzo Colombo Lorenzo Colombo F 5.90
Bench
3 Aarón Martín Aarón Martín D
4 Alexsandro Amorim Alexsandro Amorim 16' M 6.70
39 Daniele Sommariva Daniele Sommariva G
31 David Puczka David Puczka D
17 E. Havel E. Havel F
11 Franz-Ethan Meichtry Franz-Ethan Meichtry 16' M 6.70
99 Franz Stolz Franz Stolz G
10 Junior Messias Junior Messias 36' F 7.70
74 Mamedi Doucoure Mamedi Doucoure D
85 Marcelo Vaz Marcelo Vaz D
2 Mario Mitaj Mario Mitaj D
18 Milutin Osmajić Milutin Osmajić 31' F 6.90
71 Samuel Wiafe Samuel Wiafe M
34 Sebastian Otoa Sebastian Otoa D
20 Stefano Sabelli Stefano Sabelli D
Best on the pitch
Junior Messias
Junior Messias
F · Genoa
7.70
· 15 pass
Davide Frattesi
Davide Frattesi
M · Lazio
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
Mattia Zaccagni
Mattia Zaccagni
F · Lazio
7.30
1 shots · 43 pass
Nuno Tavares
Nuno Tavares
D · Lazio
7.20
1 👟
4 shots · 52 pass
Oliver Provstgaard
Oliver Provstgaard
D · Lazio
7.20
· 50 pass
Djibril Sow
Djibril Sow
M · Genoa
7.20
· 51 pass
Lazio Lazio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Christos Mandas G 94 6.90 — — — 43 33% — — —
Nuno Tavares D 63 7.20 — 1 4 52 45% — — —
Oliver Provstgaard D 94 7.20 — — — 50 44% 2 — —
D. Doekhi D 94 6.90 — — 2 37 34% 2 — —
Romano Floriani Mussolini D 80 6.90 — — — 49 43% 2 — —
Kenneth Taylor M 94 6.90 — — — 56 49% 1 — —
Nicolò Rovella M 37 6.90 — — — 36 36% 1 — —
Davide Frattesi M 94 7.50 1 — 1 23 17% 2 — —
Mattia Zaccagni F 94 7.30 — — 1 43 35% 1 — —
B. Dia F 80 6.70 — — — 22 18% — — —
Matteo Cancellieri F 63 7.20 — — 1 23 18% 1 — —
Alfonso Pedraza D 31 6.50 — — — 6 6% — — —
Andrea Pinamonti F 14 6.20 — — 1 3 2% — — —
Gustav Isaksen F 31 6.20 — — — 11 7% — — —
Manuel Lazzari M 14 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
Reda Belahyane M 57 6.90 — — — 28 27% 1 — —
Genoa Genoa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Justin Bijlow G 94 6.70 — — — 78 64% 1 — —
Johan Vásquez D 78 7.00 — — — 70 62% 1 — —
Leo Østigård D 94 7.00 — — — 92 84% 1 1 —
Alessandro Marcandalli D 94 6.30 — — — 52 46% 2 — —
B. Norton-Cuffy M 94 6.70 — — 1 32 26% — — —
Djibril Sow M 58 7.20 — — — 51 47% 1 — —
Morten Frendrup M 94 6.60 — — 1 70 64% 3 — —
Mikael Ellertsson M 94 6.30 — — — 22 17% 2 — —
Vitinha F 63 6.90 — — — 14 9% 1 — —
Tommaso Baldanzi F 78 6.60 — — — 30 26% 2 — —
Lorenzo Colombo F 94 5.90 — — 1 18 12% — — —
Alexsandro Amorim M 16 6.70 — — — 9 9% — — —
Franz-Ethan Meichtry M 16 6.70 — — 1 8 7% — — —
Junior Messias F 36 7.70 — — — 15 13% 3 — —
Milutin Osmajić F 31 6.90 — — 1 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lazio vs Genoa?
The final score was Lazio 1–0 Genoa.
What did the model predict before Lazio vs Genoa?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Lazio win, 32% to a draw, and 31% to an Genoa win.