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Serie A · Regular Season - 2 August 30, 2026 20:45
Lazio
#1 · 25 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Genoa
#16 · 7 pts
D. Frattesi (ast. N. Tavares) 25'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lazio a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Genoa 31%). The final result was Lazio 1–0 Genoa. In 2 previous meetings, Lazio have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Genoa.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
1
1.55
Actual xG
0.57
1
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
4
Corners
2
13
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
14'
L. Ostigard
⚽D. Frattesi · ast. N. Tavares
25'
35'
D. De Rossi
↕ N. Rovella / R. Belahyane
37'
58'
Junior Messias / D. Sow ↕
↕ N. Tavares / A. Pedraza
63'
↕ M. Cancellieri / G. Isaksen
63'
63'
M. Osmajic / Vitinha ↕
78'
Amorim / J. Vasquez ↕
78'
F. Meichtry / T. Baldanzi ↕
↕ B. Dia / A. Pinamonti
80'
↕ R. Floriani / M. Lazzari
80'
M. Zaccagni
90'+5
90'+5
Amorim
Pre-match prediction
35.8%
Lazio ←
32.31%
X
31.88%
Genoa
we assigned to the actual result (Lazio) 35.8% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lazio
2.09
1.55
-0.54
Genoa
1.29
0.57
-0.72
Lazio dominated by xG (1.55 vs 0.57). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Lineups
Lazio Lazio 4-3-3
35 C. Mandas C. Mandas G 6.90
17 Nuno Tavares Nuno Tavares 1 👟 63' D 7.20
25 O. Provstgaard O. Provstgaard D 7.20
5 D. Doekhi D. Doekhi D 6.90
15 R. Floriani Mussolini R. Floriani Mussolini 80' D 6.90
24 K. Taylor K. Taylor M 6.90
6 Nicolò Rovella Nicolò Rovella 37' M 6.90
16 D. Frattesi D. Frattesi 1 ⚽ M 7.50
10 M. Zaccagni M. Zaccagni F 7.30
19 B. Dia B. Dia 80' F 6.70
22 M. Cancellieri M. Cancellieri 63' F 7.20
Bench
9 A. Pinamonti A. Pinamonti 14' F 6.20
28 A. Przyborek A. Przyborek M
13 A. Romagnoli A. Romagnoli D
47 Davide Renzetti Davide Renzetti G
40 E. Motta E. Motta G
63 F. Serra F. Serra F
11 G. Isaksen G. Isaksen 31' F 6.20
37 J. Šutalo J. Šutalo D
29 M. Lazzari M. Lazzari 14' M 6.50
23 Pedraza Pedraza 31' D 6.50
21 R. Belahyane R. Belahyane 57' M 6.90
33 Ricardo Bordon Ricardo Bordon D
14 T. Noslin T. Noslin F
71 V. Farcomeni V. Farcomeni M
Genoa Genoa 3-4-2-1
1 J. Bijlow J. Bijlow G 6.70
22 J. Vásquez J. Vásquez 78' D 7.00
5 L. Østigård L. Østigård D 7.00
27 A. Marcandalli A. Marcandalli D 6.30
15 B. Norton-Cuffy B. Norton-Cuffy M 6.70
97 D. Sow D. Sow 58' M 7.20
32 M. Frendrup M. Frendrup M 6.60
77 M. Ellertsson M. Ellertsson M 6.30
9 Vítinha Vítinha 63' F 6.90
8 T. Baldanzi T. Baldanzi 78' F 6.60
29 L. Colombo L. Colombo F 5.90
Bench
3 Aarón Martín Aarón Martín D
4 Alexsandro Amorim Alexsandro Amorim 16' M 6.70
31 D. Puczka D. Puczka D
39 D. Sommariva D. Sommariva G
17 E. Havel E. Havel F
11 E. Meichtry E. Meichtry 16' M 6.70
99 F. Stolz F. Stolz G
10 Junior Messias Junior Messias 36' F 7.70
74 Mamedi Doucoure Mamedi Doucoure D
2 M. Mitaj M. Mitaj D
18 M. Osmajić M. Osmajić 31' F 6.90
85 M. Vaz M. Vaz D
34 S. Otoa S. Otoa D
20 S. Sabelli S. Sabelli D
71 S. Wiafe S. Wiafe M
Best on the pitch
Junior Messias
Junior Messias
F · Genoa
7.70
· 15 pass
D. Frattesi
D. Frattesi
M · Lazio
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
M. Zaccagni
M. Zaccagni
F · Lazio
7.30
1 shots · 43 pass
Nuno Tavares
Nuno Tavares
D · Lazio
7.20
1 👟
4 shots · 52 pass
O. Provstgaard
O. Provstgaard
D · Lazio
7.20
· 50 pass
D. Sow
D. Sow
M · Genoa
7.20
· 51 pass
Lazio Lazio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Mandas G 94 6.90 — — — 43 33% — — —
Nuno Tavares D 63 7.20 — 1 4 52 45% — — —
O. Provstgaard D 94 7.20 — — — 50 44% 2 — —
D. Doekhi D 94 6.90 — — 2 37 34% 2 — —
R. Floriani Mussolini D 80 6.90 — — — 49 43% 2 — —
K. Taylor M 94 6.90 — — — 56 49% 1 — —
Nicolò Rovella M 37 6.90 — — — 36 36% 1 — —
D. Frattesi M 94 7.50 1 — 1 23 17% 2 — —
M. Zaccagni F 94 7.30 — — 1 43 35% 1 — —
B. Dia F 80 6.70 — — — 22 18% — — —
M. Cancellieri F 63 7.20 — — 1 23 18% 1 — —
A. Pinamonti F 14 6.20 — — 1 3 2% — — —
G. Isaksen F 31 6.20 — — — 11 7% — — —
M. Lazzari M 14 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
Pedraza D 31 6.50 — — — 6 6% — — —
R. Belahyane M 57 6.90 — — — 28 27% 1 — —
Genoa Genoa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Bijlow G 94 6.70 — — — 78 64% 1 — —
J. Vásquez D 78 7.00 — — — 70 62% 1 — —
L. Østigård D 94 7.00 — — — 92 84% 1 1 —
A. Marcandalli D 94 6.30 — — — 52 46% 2 — —
B. Norton-Cuffy M 94 6.70 — — 1 32 26% — — —
D. Sow M 58 7.20 — — — 51 47% 1 — —
M. Frendrup M 94 6.60 — — 1 70 64% 3 — —
M. Ellertsson M 94 6.30 — — — 22 17% 2 — —
Vítinha F 63 6.90 — — — 14 9% 1 — —
T. Baldanzi F 78 6.60 — — — 30 26% 2 — —
L. Colombo F 94 5.90 — — 1 18 12% — — —
Alexsandro Amorim M 16 6.70 — — — 9 9% — — —
E. Meichtry M 16 6.70 — — 1 8 7% — — —
Junior Messias F 36 7.70 — — — 15 13% 3 — —
M. Osmajić F 31 6.90 — — 1 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lazio vs Genoa?
The final score was Lazio 1–0 Genoa.
What did the model predict before Lazio vs Genoa?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Lazio win, 32% to a draw, and 31% to an Genoa win.