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Serie A · Regular Season - 36 May 09, 2026 18:00
Lazio
#1 · 10 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Inter
#3 · 9 pts
6' (ast. M. Thuram) L. Martinez
39' (ast. L. Martinez) P. Sucic
76' (ast. A. Bonny) H. Mkhitaryan
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 38% win probability (draw 27%, Lazio 34%). The final result was Lazio 0–3 Inter. In 2 previous meetings, Lazio have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Inter.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
5
0.55
Actual xG
1.09
2
Saves
4
42%
Possession
58%
5
Corners
1
6
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
6'
ast. M. Thuram · L. Martinez⚽
39'
ast. L. Martinez · P. Sucic⚽
46'
A. Bonny / M. Thuram ↕
46'
D. Frattesi / N. Barella ↕
L. Pellegrini
48'
↕ M. Gila / O. Provstgaard
56'
↕ N. Rovella / Patric
56'
↕ M. Cancellieri / G. Isaksen
56'
A. Romagnoli
59'
↕ Pedro / B. Dia
62'
63'
Luis Henrique / A. Bastoni ↕
63'
D. Dumfries / L. Martinez ↕
T. Noslin
74'
76'
ast. A. Bonny · H. Mkhitaryan⚽
↕ A. Marusic / M. Lazzari
77'
80'
M. Mosconi / P. Sucic ↕
85'
H. Mkhitaryan
Pre-match prediction
34.0%
Lazio
27.95%
X
38.05%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter) 38.05% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lazio
1.44
0.55
-0.89
Inter
1.40
1.09
-0.31
Inter dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.55). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 4 10
2 AS Roma AS Roma 3 9
3 Inter Inter 3 9
4 AC Milan AC Milan 4 8
5 Como Como 3 7
6 Juventus Juventus 3 7
7 Frosinone Frosinone 4 7
8 Atalanta Atalanta 3 6
9 Cagliari Cagliari 3 6
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 3 4
11 Udinese Udinese 3 4
12 Napoli Napoli 3 3
13 Torino Torino 3 3
14 Lecce Lecce 3 3
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 4 3
16 Bologna Bologna 3 1
17 Parma Parma 3 1
18 Monza Monza 3 1
19 Genoa Genoa 4 1
20 Venezia Venezia 4 0
Lineups
Lazio Lazio 4-3-3
40
89' G 6.20
3 Luca Pellegrini Luca Pellegrini 89' D 6.20
13 A. Romagnoli A. Romagnoli 59' D 5.60
34 Mario Gila Mario Gila 56' D 6.70
77 Adam Marušić Adam Marušić 77' D 5.60
26 Toma Bašić Toma Bašić 89' M 6.50
6 Nicolò Rovella Nicolò Rovella 56' M 6.60
7
89' M 6.20
9 Pedro Pedro 62' F 6.30
14 Tijjani Noslin Tijjani Noslin 89' F 7.50
22 Matteo Cancellieri Matteo Cancellieri 56' F 6.30
Bench
19 B. Dia B. Dia 27' F 6.70
27 D. Maldini D. Maldini F
23
Elseid Hysaj D
18 Gustav Isaksen Gustav Isaksen 33' F 6.30
24 Kenneth Taylor Kenneth Taylor M
29 Manuel Lazzari Manuel Lazzari 12' M 6.70
17 Nuno Tavares Nuno Tavares D
25 Oliver Provstgaard Oliver Provstgaard 33' D 6.20
4 Patric Patric 33' D 6.20
Inter Inter 3-5-2
13
89' G 7.30
95 A. Bastoni A. Bastoni 63' D 6.90
15
Francesco Acerbi 89' D 6.90
31 Y. Bisseck Y. Bisseck 89' D 6.90
30 Carlos Augusto Carlos Augusto 89' M 7.20
22 H. Mkhitaryan H. Mkhitaryan 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.00
8 P. Sučić P. Sučić 1 ⚽ 80' M 8.30
23 N. Barella N. Barella 45' M 6.50
17 A. Diouf A. Diouf 89' M 6.60
10 Lautaro Martínez Lautaro Martínez 1 ⚽ 1 👟 63' F 8.00
9 M. Thuram M. Thuram 1 👟 45' F 6.90
Bench
14 A. Bonny A. Bonny 1 👟 44' F 6.70
16 Davide Frattesi Davide Frattesi 44' M 6.20
2 D. Dumfries D. Dumfries 26' D 6.30
32 F. Dimarco F. Dimarco D
11 Luis Henrique Luis Henrique 26' F 6.30
25 M. Akanji M. Akanji D
36
Matteo Darmian D
43 M. Cocchi M. Cocchi D
7 P. Zieliński P. Zieliński M
Best on the pitch
P. Sučić
P. Sučić
M · Inter
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 83 pass
Lautaro Martínez
Lautaro Martínez
F · Inter
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 21 pass
H. Mkhitaryan
H. Mkhitaryan
M · Inter
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 60 pass
Tijjani Noslin
Tijjani Noslin
F · Lazio
7.50
2 shots · 27 pass
G · Inter
7.30
· 41 pass
Carlos Augusto
Carlos Augusto
M · Inter
7.20
1 shots · 57 pass
Lazio Lazio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 89 6.20 — — — 30 24% — — —
Luca Pellegrini D 89 6.20 — — — 41 36% 1 1 —
A. Romagnoli D 59 5.60 — — — 30 29% — — 1
Mario Gila D 56 6.70 — — — 46 43% — — —
Adam Marušić D 77 5.60 — — — 46 42% — — —
Toma Bašić M 89 6.50 — — 1 41 33% — — —
Nicolò Rovella M 56 6.60 — — — 57 54% 2 — —
M 89 6.20 — — — 30 29% — — —
Pedro F 62 6.30 — — 1 26 21% 1 — —
Tijjani Noslin F 89 7.50 — — 2 27 24% 1 1 —
Matteo Cancellieri F 56 6.30 — — — 10 8% — — —
B. Dia F 27 6.70 — — 1 7 5% — — —
Gustav Isaksen F 33 6.30 — — 3 5 5% — — —
Manuel Lazzari M 12 6.70 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
Oliver Provstgaard D 33 6.20 — — — 18 17% — — —
Patric D 33 6.20 — — — 19 18% — — —
Inter Inter — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 89 7.30 — — — 41 41% — — —
A. Bastoni D 63 6.90 — — — 80 73% — — —
Francesco Acerbi D 89 6.90 — — — 98 95% — — —
Y. Bisseck D 89 6.90 — — 1 50 46% — — —
Carlos Augusto M 89 7.20 — — 1 57 54% 1 — —
H. Mkhitaryan M 89 8.00 1 — 1 60 51% 2 1 —
P. Sučić M 80 8.30 1 — 1 83 82% 4 — —
N. Barella M 45 6.50 — — 2 38 32% 1 — —
A. Diouf M 89 6.60 — — — 28 24% 2 — —
Lautaro Martínez F 63 8.00 1 1 1 21 16% 1 — —
M. Thuram F 45 6.90 — 1 1 10 10% — — —
A. Bonny F 44 6.70 — 1 — 4 4% — — —
Davide Frattesi M 44 6.20 — — 2 6 6% — — —
D. Dumfries D 26 6.30 — — — 9 6% — — —
Luis Henrique F 26 6.30 — — — 17 16% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lazio vs Inter?
The final score was Lazio 0–3 Inter.
What did the model predict before Lazio vs Inter?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Lazio win, 27% to a draw, and 38% to an Inter win.