Serie A
· Regular Season - 36
May 09, 2026 18:00
6'
(ast. M. Thuram)
L. Martinez
39'
(ast. L. Martinez)
P. Sucic
76'
(ast. A. Bonny)
H. Mkhitaryan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 38% win probability (draw 27%, Lazio 34%). The final result was Lazio 0–3 Inter. In 2 previous meetings, Lazio have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Inter.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
5
0.55
Actual xG
1.09
2
Saves
4
42%
Possession
58%
5
Corners
1
6
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
6'
ast. M. Thuram ·
L. Martinez⚽
39'
ast. L. Martinez ·
P. Sucic⚽
46'
A. Bonny
/
M. Thuram
46'
D. Frattesi
/
N. Barella
L. Pellegrini
48'
M. Gila
/ O. Provstgaard
56'
N. Rovella
/ Patric
56'
M. Cancellieri
/ G. Isaksen
56'
A. Romagnoli
59'
Pedro
/ B. Dia
62'
63'
Luis Henrique
/
A. Bastoni
63'
D. Dumfries
/
L. Martinez
T. Noslin
74'
76'
ast. A. Bonny ·
H. Mkhitaryan⚽
A. Marusic
/ M. Lazzari
77'
80'
M. Mosconi
/
P. Sucic
85'
H. Mkhitaryan
Pre-match prediction
34.0%
Lazio
27.95%
X
38.05%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter)
38.05%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
0.55
-0.89
1.40
1.09
-0.31
Inter dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.55).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
89'
G
3
L. Pellegrini
89'
D
L. Pellegrini
89'
D
13
A. Romagnoli
59'
D
A. Romagnoli
59'
D
34
Mario Gila
56'
D
Mario Gila
56'
D
77
Adam Marušić
77'
D
Adam Marušić
77'
D
26
T. Bašić
89'
M
T. Bašić
89'
M
6
Nicolò Rovella
56'
M
Nicolò Rovella
56'
M
7
89'
M
9
Pedro
62'
F
Pedro
62'
F
14
T. Noslin
89'
F
T. Noslin
89'
F
22
M. Cancellieri
56'
F
M. Cancellieri
56'
F
Bench
19
B. Dia
27'
F
B. Dia
27'
F
27
D. Maldini
F
D. Maldini
F
23
E. Hysaj
D
E. Hysaj
D
18
G. Isaksen
33'
F
G. Isaksen
33'
F
24
K. Taylor
M
K. Taylor
M
29
M. Lazzari
12'
M
M. Lazzari
12'
M
17
Nuno Tavares
D
Nuno Tavares
D
25
O. Provstgaard
33'
D
O. Provstgaard
33'
D
4
Patric
33'
D
Patric
33'
D
13
89'
G
95
A. Bastoni
63'
D
A. Bastoni
63'
D
15
Francesco Acerbi
89'
D
31
Y. Bisseck
89'
D
Y. Bisseck
89'
D
30
Carlos Augusto
89'
M
Carlos Augusto
89'
M
22
H. Mkhitaryan
1 ⚽
89'
M
H. Mkhitaryan
1 ⚽
89'
M
8
P. Sučić
1 ⚽
80'
M
P. Sučić
1 ⚽
80'
M
23
N. Barella
45'
M
N. Barella
45'
M
17
A. Diouf
89'
M
A. Diouf
89'
M
10
Lautaro Martínez
1 ⚽
1 👟
63'
F
Lautaro Martínez
1 ⚽
1 👟
63'
F
9
M. Thuram
1 👟
45'
F
M. Thuram
1 👟
45'
F
Bench
14
A. Bonny
1 👟
44'
F
A. Bonny
1 👟
44'
F
2
D. Dumfries
26'
D
D. Dumfries
26'
D
16
D. Frattesi
44'
M
D. Frattesi
44'
M
32
F. Dimarco
D
F. Dimarco
D
11
Luis Henrique
26'
F
Luis Henrique
26'
F
25
M. Akanji
D
M. Akanji
D
43
M. Cocchi
D
M. Cocchi
D
36
M. Darmian
D
M. Darmian
D
7
P. Zieliński
M
P. Zieliński
M
Best on the pitch
P. Sučić
M · Inter
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 83 pass
Lautaro Martínez
F · Inter
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 21 pass
H. Mkhitaryan
M · Inter
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 60 pass
T. Noslin
F · Lazio
7.50
2 shots
· 27 pass
G · Inter
7.30
· 41 pass
Carlos Augusto
M · Inter
7.20
1 shots
· 57 pass
Lazio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| L. Pellegrini | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Romagnoli | D | 59 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 29% | — | — | 1 |
| Mario Gila | D | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Adam Marušić | D | 77 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | — | — | — |
| T. Bašić | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Rovella | M | 56 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 57 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| Pedro | F | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Noslin | F | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Cancellieri | F | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| B. Dia | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| G. Isaksen | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Lazzari | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Provstgaard | D | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Patric | D | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
Inter — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 41% | — | — | — | |
| A. Bastoni | D | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 80 | 73% | — | — | — |
| Francesco Acerbi | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 98 | 95% | — | — | — |
| Y. Bisseck | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Augusto | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Mkhitaryan | M | 89 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 60 | 51% | 2 | 1 | — |
| P. Sučić | M | 80 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 83 | 82% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Barella | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Diouf | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Lautaro Martínez | F | 63 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Thuram | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Bonny | F | 44 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Dumfries | D | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| D. Frattesi | M | 44 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Luis Henrique | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lazio vs Inter?
The final score was Lazio 0–3 Inter.
What did the model predict before Lazio vs Inter?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Lazio win, 27% to a draw, and 38% to an Inter win.