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Lazio - Mantova

Coppa Italia August 16, 2026 21:15
Lazio
vs
Mantova
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.82%
Win
Lazio
33.36%
Draw
32.82%
Win
Mantova
1.36
Expected xG
1.29

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (16.51%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 66%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lazio a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Mantova. Expected goals are 1.4 for Lazio and 1.3 for Mantova (total 2.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 16.51% probability.

Season Stats

Lazio
1W 3D 1L
Mantova
0W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.0
1.2
Conceded
4.0
2.4
Shots OT
2.0
3.2
Corners
4.0
44%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
100%
20%
O 2.5
100%
60%
BTTS
0%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Coppa Italia. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
67%
O 3.5
17%
BTTS
Lazio
1W 1D 1L · at home
Mantova
0W 0D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
0.0
1.3
Conceded
4.0
33%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
0%
67%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
100%
33%
O 3.5
100%
33%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
100%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Lazio Mantova →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1% 9.2% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.6% 12.4% 8.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.4% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.9% 3.8% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Lazio Lazio
L Inter 0–2
D Atalanta 1–1
D Atalanta 2–2
D Bologna 1–1
W AC Milan 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Mantova Mantova
L Venezia 4–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Lazio Lazio
Attack
38
Defence
57
Form
48
Mantova Mantova
Attack
41
Defence
63
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lazio vs Mantova?
The model gives Lazio a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 32% for an Mantova win.
How many goals are expected in Lazio vs Mantova?
Expected goals: Lazio 1.4, Mantova 1.3 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Lazio vs Mantova?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.51%.