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Serie A · Regular Season - 6 October 11, 2026 15:00 Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Lazio
#1 · 25 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Monza
#15 · 7 pts
Nuno Tavares (ast. Tijjani Noslin) 3'
Gustav Isaksen (ast. Tijjani Noslin) 23'
Andrea Pinamonti (ast. Alfonso Pedraza) 88'
46' (ast. Dany Mota) Saba Goglichidze
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lazio a 37% win probability (draw 29%, Monza 32%). The final result was Lazio 3–1 Monza.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
14
7
Shots on target
6
1.59
Actual xG
1.91
5
Saves
4
66%
Possession
34%
7
Corners
6
14
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Nuno Tavares · ast. Tijjani Noslin
3'
13'
Andrea Carboni
⚽Gustav Isaksen · ast. Tijjani Noslin
23'
35'
Lorenzo Lucchesi
36'
Saba Goglichidze / Cyril Ngonge ↕
Danilho Doekhi
45'+2
45'
Yvan Maye / Andrea Carboni ↕
45'
Dany Mota / Exequiel Zeballos ↕
45'
Foe Ondoa / Michael Folorunsho ↕
46'
ast. Dany Mota · Saba Goglichidze⚽
↕ Danilho Doekhi / Diogo Leite
53'
Oliver Provstgaard
55'
↕ Davide Frattesi / Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
60'
↕ Oliver Provstgaard / Josip Šutalo
60'
Diogo Leite
68'
70'
Adam Bakoune / Ricardo Mangas ↕
↕ Nuno Tavares / Alfonso Pedraza
75'
↕ Tijjani Noslin / Andrea Pinamonti
75'
79'
Ivan Juric
⚽Andrea Pinamonti · ast. Alfonso Pedraza
88'
Pre-match prediction
37.69%
Lazio ←
29.57%
X
32.74%
Monza
we assigned to the actual result (Lazio) 37.69% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lazio
1.09
1.59
+0.5
Monza
1.42
1.91
+0.49
Monza dominated by xG (1.91 vs 1.59). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Lineups
Lazio Lazio 4-3-3
35 C. Mandas C. Mandas G 7.89
17 Nuno Tavares Nuno Tavares 1 ⚽ 75' D 7.42
25 O. Provstgaard O. Provstgaard 60' D 6.39
5 D. Doekhi D. Doekhi 53' D 6.72
15 R. Floriani Mussolini R. Floriani Mussolini D 7.15
24 K. Taylor K. Taylor M 6.58
21 R. Belahyane R. Belahyane M 7.20
16 D. Frattesi D. Frattesi 60' M 6.67
10 M. Zaccagni M. Zaccagni F 6.29
14 T. Noslin T. Noslin 2 👟 75' F 8.08
11 G. Isaksen G. Isaksen 1 ⚽ F 7.56
Bench
9 A. Pinamonti A. Pinamonti 1 ⚽ 15' F 7.35
28 A. Przyborek A. Przyborek M 0.00
32 D. Cataldi D. Cataldi M 0.00
2 Diogo Leite Diogo Leite 37' D 6.55
47 D. Renzetti D. Renzetti G 0.00
40 E. Motta E. Motta G 0.00
7 F. Dele-Bashiru F. Dele-Bashiru 30' M 6.50
63 F. Serra F. Serra F 0.00
37 J. Šutalo J. Šutalo 30' D 6.94
29 M. Lazzari M. Lazzari M 0.00
23 Pedraza Pedraza 1 👟 15' D 6.86
71 V. Farcomeni V. Farcomeni M 0.00
Monza Monza 3-4-2-1
1 N. Törnqvist N. Törnqvist G 6.04
44 A. Carboni A. Carboni 45' D 5.36
3 L. Lucchesi L. Lucchesi 35' D 4.98
60 E. Kouadio E. Kouadio D 6.24
7 Ricardo Mangas Ricardo Mangas 70' M 5.73
14 E. Akinsanmiro E. Akinsanmiro M 6.32
90 M. Folorunsho M. Folorunsho 45' M 6.36
19 S. Birindelli S. Birindelli M 6.50
22 E. Zeballos E. Zeballos 45' M 5.81
16 C. Ngonge C. Ngonge 36' M 5.87
9 Gustavo Varela Gustavo Varela F 6.22
Bench
24 A. Bakoune A. Bakoune 20' D 5.91
28 A. Colpani A. Colpani M 0.00
43 A. Strajnar A. Strajnar G 0.00
47 Dany Mota Dany Mota 1 👟 45' F 7.60
20 D. Thiam D. Thiam G 0.00
46 Jay Robinson Jay Robinson F 0.00
21 L. Colombo L. Colombo M 0.00
80 M. Mout M. Mout M 0.00
8 M. Ondoa M. Ondoa 45' M 5.80
10 P. Cutrone P. Cutrone F 0.00
2 S. Goglichidze S. Goglichidze 1 ⚽ 54' D 7.17
6 V. Antov V. Antov D 0.00
5 Y. Maye Y. Maye 45' D 6.58
Best on the pitch
T. Noslin
T. Noslin
F · Lazio
8.08
2 👟
1 shots · 32 pass
C. Mandas
C. Mandas
G · Lazio
7.89
· 37 pass
Dany Mota
Dany Mota
F · Monza
7.60
1 👟
5 shots · 11 pass
G. Isaksen
G. Isaksen
F · Lazio
7.56
1 ⚽
4 shots · 39 pass
Nuno Tavares
Nuno Tavares
D · Lazio
7.42
1 ⚽
2 shots · 71 pass
A. Pinamonti
A. Pinamonti
F · Lazio
7.35
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
Lazio Lazio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Mandas G 90 7.89 — — 0 37 28% 0 — —
Nuno Tavares D 75 7.42 1 — 2 71 57% 1 — —
O. Provstgaard D 60 6.39 — — 0 59 53% 1 1 —
D. Doekhi D 53 6.72 — — 0 29 25% 2 1 —
R. Floriani Mussolini D 90 7.15 — — 2 47 40% 3 — —
K. Taylor M 90 6.58 — — 2 67 58% 1 — —
R. Belahyane M 90 7.20 — — 1 62 59% 2 — —
D. Frattesi M 60 6.67 — — 2 16 11% 2 — —
M. Zaccagni F 90 6.29 — — 2 58 47% 1 — —
T. Noslin F 75 8.08 — 2 1 32 31% 0 — —
G. Isaksen F 90 7.56 1 — 4 39 35% 0 — —
A. Pinamonti F 15 7.35 1 — 1 4 3% 0 — —
Diogo Leite D 37 6.55 — — 0 31 28% 1 1 —
F. Dele-Bashiru M 30 6.50 — — 0 11 11% 0 — —
J. Šutalo D 30 6.94 — — 0 25 24% 0 — —
Pedraza D 15 6.86 — 1 0 8 6% 0 — —
Monza Monza — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Törnqvist G 90 6.04 — — 0 38 21% 0 — —
A. Carboni D 45 5.36 — — 0 23 17% 1 1 —
L. Lucchesi D 35 4.98 — — 0 12 11% 0 — 1
E. Kouadio D 90 6.24 — — 0 32 24% 4 — —
Ricardo Mangas M 70 5.73 — — 0 25 18% 0 — —
E. Akinsanmiro M 90 6.32 — — 1 27 21% 2 — —
M. Folorunsho M 45 6.36 — — 0 20 19% 0 — —
S. Birindelli M 90 6.50 — — 4 37 27% 1 — —
E. Zeballos M 45 5.81 — — 1 7 4% 0 — —
C. Ngonge M 36 5.87 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
Gustavo Varela F 90 6.22 — — 1 15 12% 1 — —
A. Bakoune D 20 5.91 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
Dany Mota F 45 7.60 — 1 5 11 3% 2 — —
M. Ondoa M 45 5.80 — — 0 13 11% 0 — —
S. Goglichidze D 54 7.17 1 — 1 21 20% 1 — —
Y. Maye D 45 6.58 — — 1 8 8% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lazio vs Monza?
The final score was Lazio 3–1 Monza.
What did the model predict before Lazio vs Monza?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Lazio win, 29% to a draw, and 32% to an Monza win.