Serie A
· Regular Season - 31
April 04, 2026 20:45
✗Model wrong — prediction Lazio, result Draw
T. Noslin
(ast. K. Taylor)
77'
15'
E. Delprato
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lazio a 54% win probability (draw 27%, Parma 17%). The final result was Lazio 1–1 Parma. In 1 previous meetings, Lazio have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Parma.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
4
0.40
Actual xG
0.44
3
Saves
2
61%
Possession
39%
7
Corners
2
9
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
15'
E. Delprato⚽
27'
Gabriel Strefezza
32'
Mateo Pellegrino
A. Marusic
/ M. Lazzari
57'
G. Isaksen
/ M. Cancellieri
58'
Pedro
/ T. Noslin
58'
D. Maldini
/ B. Dia
65'
71'
N. Estevez
/
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
⚽T. Noslin
· ast. K. Taylor
77'
80'
C. Ordonez
/
A. Bernabe
81'
G. Oristanio
/
G. Strefezza
85'
Tijjani Noslin
87'
90'+2
O. Sorensen
/
M. Keita
90'+2
F. Carboni
/
S. Britschgi
Pre-match prediction
54.85%
Lazio
27.22%
X ←
17.93%
Parma
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.22%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.42
0.40
-1.02
0.69
0.44
-0.25
xG dominance was balanced (0.40 – 0.44).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
G
17
Nuno Tavares
D
Nuno Tavares
D
25
Oliver Provstgaard
D
Oliver Provstgaard
D
13
Alessio Romagnoli
D
Alessio Romagnoli
D
77
Adam Marušić
57'
D
24
Kenneth Taylor
1 👟
M
Kenneth Taylor
1 👟
M
32
Danilo Cataldi
M
Danilo Cataldi
M
7
M
9
Pedro
58'
F
Pedro
58'
F
27
Daniel Maldini
65'
F
Daniel Maldini
65'
F
18
Gustav Isaksen
58'
F
Gustav Isaksen
58'
F
Bench
19
Boulaye Dia
25'
F
Boulaye Dia
25'
F
23
Elseid Hysaj
D
29
Manuel Lazzari
33'
M
Manuel Lazzari
33'
M
22
M. Cancellieri
32'
F
M. Cancellieri
32'
F
14
Tijjani Noslin
1 ⚽
32'
F
Tijjani Noslin
1 ⚽
32'
F
26
Toma Bašić
M
Toma Bašić
M
31
Zion Suzuki
G
Zion Suzuki
G
5
D
39
Alessandro Circati
D
Alessandro Circati
D
15
Enrico Delprato
1 ⚽
D
Enrico Delprato
1 ⚽
D
14
E. Valeri
M
E. Valeri
M
16
Mandela Keita
89'
M
Mandela Keita
89'
M
41
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
71'
M
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
71'
M
10
A. Bernabe
80'
M
27
Sascha Britschgi
89'
M
Sascha Britschgi
89'
M
7
Gabriel Strefezza
81'
F
Gabriel Strefezza
81'
F
9
Mateo Pellegrino
F
Mateo Pellegrino
F
Bench
3
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
D
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
D
29
Franco Carboni
1'
D
Franco Carboni
1'
D
23
Nesta Elphege
F
Nesta Elphege
F
Best on the pitch
Tijjani Noslin
F · Lazio
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Alessandro Circati
D · Parma
7.30
· 56 pass
Gabriel Strefezza
F · Parma
7.20
1 shots
· 28 pass
Enrico Delprato
D · Parma
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
Kenneth Taylor
M · Lazio
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 58 pass
Oliver Provstgaard
D · Lazio
7.20
· 91 pass
Lazio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Nuno Tavares | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 70 | 60% | 3 | — | — |
| Oliver Provstgaard | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 91 | 88% | 1 | — | — |
| Alessio Romagnoli | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 86 | 84% | — | — | — |
| Adam Marušić | D | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Kenneth Taylor | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 58 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Danilo Cataldi | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 38% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 43% | 1 | — | — | |
| Pedro | F | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Maldini | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Gustav Isaksen | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Boulaye Dia | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Manuel Lazzari | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M. Cancellieri | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Tijjani Noslin | F | 32 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
Parma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Suzuki | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 28% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | 1 | — | — | |
| Alessandro Circati | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Enrico Delprato | D | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| E. Valeri | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Mandela Keita | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Hans Nicolussi Caviglia | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Bernabe | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Sascha Britschgi | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Strefezza | F | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Mateo Pellegrino | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Franco Carboni | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lazio vs Parma?
The final score was Lazio 1–1 Parma.
What did the model predict before Lazio vs Parma?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Lazio win, 27% to a draw, and 17% to an Parma win.