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Serie A · Regular Season - 8 October 24, 2026 20:45 Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Lazio
#1 · 25 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Parma
#19 · 4 pts
Kenneth Taylor 50'
Diego Carlos 58' (og)
90'+5 (ast. Giovanni Fabbian) Simone Lontani
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lazio a 49% win probability (draw 28%, Parma 21%). The final result was Lazio 2–1 Parma. In 2 previous meetings, Lazio have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Parma.

Match statistics
21
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
4
1.82
Actual xG
0.87
3
Saves
4
68%
Possession
32%
8
Corners
3
13
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Oliver Provstgaard
30'
38'
Vincent Sierro
↕ Oliver Provstgaard / Diogo Leite
45'
45'
Adrián Bernabé García / Vincent Sierro ↕
⚽Kenneth Taylor
50'
⚽Diego Carlos (og)
58'
63'
Simone Lontani / Christian Ordóñez ↕
↕ Kenneth Taylor / Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
71'
72'
Matija Frigan / Diego Carlos ↕
↕ Gustav Isaksen / Manuel Lazzari
77'
↕ Mattia Zaccagni / Alfonso Pedraza
77'
78'
Giovanni Fabbian / José David Romero ↕
90'+5
ast. Giovanni Fabbian · Simone Lontani⚽
Pre-match prediction
49.77%
Lazio ←
28.7%
X
21.53%
Parma
we assigned to the actual result (Lazio) 49.77% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lazio
1.33
1.82
+0.49
Parma
0.45
0.87
+0.42
Lazio dominated by xG (1.82 vs 0.87). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Lineups
Lazio Lazio 4-3-3
35 C. Mandas C. Mandas G 7.70
17 Nuno Tavares Nuno Tavares D 6.95
25 O. Provstgaard O. Provstgaard 45' D 5.86
37 J. Šutalo J. Šutalo D 6.97
15 R. Floriani Mussolini R. Floriani Mussolini D 6.32
24 K. Taylor K. Taylor 1 ⚽ 71' M 8.18
21 R. Belahyane R. Belahyane M 7.20
16 D. Frattesi D. Frattesi M 6.52
10 M. Zaccagni M. Zaccagni 77' F 6.67
14 T. Noslin T. Noslin F 6.11
11 G. Isaksen G. Isaksen 77' F 6.33
Bench
28 A. Przyborek A. Przyborek M 0.00
32 D. Cataldi D. Cataldi M 0.00
5 D. Doekhi D. Doekhi D 0.00
2 Diogo Leite Diogo Leite 45' D 6.86
47 D. Renzetti D. Renzetti G 0.00
40 E. Motta E. Motta G 0.00
7 F. Dele-Bashiru F. Dele-Bashiru 19' M 6.41
76 Filipe Bordon Filipe Bordon D 0.00
63 F. Serra F. Serra F 0.00
3 L. Pellegrini L. Pellegrini D 0.00
22 M. Cancellieri M. Cancellieri F 0.00
29 M. Lazzari M. Lazzari 13' M 6.49
23 Pedraza Pedraza 13' D 6.63
71 V. Farcomeni V. Farcomeni M 0.00
Parma Parma 5-3-2
40 E. Corvi E. Corvi G 5.78
14 E. Valeri E. Valeri D 6.87
72 D. Drobnic D. Drobnic D 6.08
37 M. Troilo M. Troilo D 6.50
34 Diego Carlos Diego Carlos 1 ⚽ 72' D 5.24
15 E. Del Prato E. Del Prato D 6.28
32 C. Ordoñez C. Ordoñez 63' M 6.06
4 V. Sierro V. Sierro 45' M 5.83
16 M. Keita M. Keita M 6.47
9 D. Romero D. Romero 78' F 6.25
19 E. Touré E. Touré F 6.32
Bench
47 Abdou Konate Abdou Konate M 0.00
10 Adrián Bernabé Adrián Bernabé 45' M 6.01
3 A. N'Diaye A. N'Diaye D 0.00
8 B. Cremaschi B. Cremaschi M 0.00
29 F. Carboni F. Carboni D 0.00
30 G. Daffara G. Daffara G 0.00
80 G. Fabbian G. Fabbian 1 👟 12' M 6.39
20 M. Frigan M. Frigan 18' F 6.64
7 Ousmane Diallo Ousmane Diallo F 0.00
27 S. Britschgi S. Britschgi D 0.00
22 S. Ghidotti S. Ghidotti G 0.00
76 S. Lontani S. Lontani 1 ⚽ 27' F 7.51
25 T. De Martis T. De Martis F 0.00
Best on the pitch
K. Taylor
K. Taylor
M · Lazio
8.18
1 ⚽
2 shots · 68 pass
C. Mandas
C. Mandas
G · Lazio
7.70
· 38 pass
S. Lontani
S. Lontani
F · Parma
7.51
1 ⚽
3 shots · 7 pass
R. Belahyane
R. Belahyane
M · Lazio
7.20
1 shots · 89 pass
J. Šutalo
J. Šutalo
D · Lazio
6.97
· 66 pass
Nuno Tavares
Nuno Tavares
D · Lazio
6.95
1 shots · 88 pass
Lazio Lazio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Mandas G 90 7.70 — — 0 38 30% 0 — —
Nuno Tavares D 90 6.95 — — 1 88 76% 1 — —
O. Provstgaard D 45 5.86 — — 0 37 35% 0 1 —
J. Šutalo D 90 6.97 — — 0 66 61% 2 — —
R. Floriani Mussolini D 90 6.32 — — 2 33 28% 1 — —
K. Taylor M 71 8.18 1 — 2 68 58% 1 — —
R. Belahyane M 90 7.20 — — 1 89 83% 0 — —
D. Frattesi M 90 6.52 — — 3 35 31% 4 — —
M. Zaccagni F 77 6.67 — — 3 53 50% 0 — —
T. Noslin F 90 6.11 — — 2 26 20% 0 — —
G. Isaksen F 77 6.33 — — 5 37 34% 1 — —
Diogo Leite D 45 6.86 — — 1 37 35% 3 — —
F. Dele-Bashiru M 19 6.41 — — 1 16 14% 0 — —
M. Lazzari M 13 6.49 — — 0 10 10% 0 — —
Pedraza D 13 6.63 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
Parma Parma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Corvi G 90 5.78 — — 0 35 19% 0 — —
E. Valeri D 90 6.87 — — 0 17 14% 0 — —
D. Drobnic D 90 6.08 — — 0 26 20% 2 — —
M. Troilo D 90 6.50 — — 1 38 32% 2 — —
Diego Carlos D 72 5.24 1 — 0 25 20% 2 — —
E. Del Prato D 90 6.28 — — 2 22 16% 2 — —
C. Ordoñez M 63 6.06 — — 0 13 11% 0 — —
V. Sierro M 45 5.83 — — 0 16 12% 2 1 —
M. Keita M 90 6.47 — — 0 23 20% 4 — —
D. Romero F 78 6.25 — — 2 9 4% 0 — —
E. Touré F 90 6.32 — — 2 23 14% 3 — —
Adrián Bernabé M 45 6.01 — — 0 24 18% 0 — —
G. Fabbian M 12 6.39 — 1 0 8 4% 0 — —
M. Frigan F 18 6.64 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
S. Lontani F 27 7.51 1 — 3 7 4% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lazio vs Parma?
The final score was Lazio 2–1 Parma.
What did the model predict before Lazio vs Parma?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Lazio win, 28% to a draw, and 21% to an Parma win.