LD Alajuelense - Municipal Liberia
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
22.1°C
💨 2 km/h
· Alajuela
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.06%
Win
LD Alajuelense
26.25%
Draw
25.7%
Win
Municipal Liberia
1.67
1.2
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.41%)
1X2 Result
1
48%
X
26%
2
26%
Double Chance
1X
74%
X2
52%
12
74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
✓ 90.9% hit rate (11 picks)
Over 2.5
49%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives LD Alajuelense a 48% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Municipal Liberia. Expected goals are 1.7 for LD Alajuelense and 1.2 for Municipal Liberia (total 2.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.41% probability. In 6 previous meetings, LD Alajuelense have won 3 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Municipal Liberia.
Season Stats
6W
4D
5L
9W
2D
4L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.3
1.1
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
60%
47%
O 2.5
40%
67%
BTTS
53%
27%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Primera División. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
5W
4D
1L
· at home
4W
2D
4L
· away
1.9
gls/g
1.1
1.0
Conceded
1.2
50%
Win %
40%
90%
Win or Draw
60%
90%
O 1.5
70%
50%
O 2.5
50%
20%
O 3.5
10%
70%
BTTS
60%
30%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ LD Alajuelense
Municipal Liberia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
LD Alajuelense
Attack
42
Defence
72
Form
55
Municipal Liberia
Attack
36
Defence
80
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Apertura - Final
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
LD Alajuelense
|
2 | 4 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Saprissa
|
2 | 1 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win LD Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia?
The model gives LD Alajuelense a 48% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 25% for an Municipal Liberia win.
How many goals are expected in LD Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia?
Expected goals: LD Alajuelense 1.7, Municipal Liberia 1.2 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in LD Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.41%.