Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 5
May 21, 2026 02:30
F. Pena Biafore
74'
(og)
F. Cornejo
(ast. J. Medina)
90'+1
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave LDU de Quito a 47% win probability (draw 38%, Lanus 14%). The final result was LDU de Quito 2–0 Lanus. In 1 previous meetings, LDU de Quito have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lanus.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
0
1.24
Actual xG
0.11
0
Saves
2
61%
Possession
39%
5
Corners
1
8
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
26'
M. Pellegrino
37'
A. Cardozo
46'
M. Sepulveda
/
R. Carrera
G. Villamil
/ C. Luna Tobar
46'
59'
B. Cabrera
/
Y. Valois
Deyverson
/ R. Redes
63'
⚽F. Pena Biafore
(og)
74'
77'
N. Losada
J. Quintero
77'
78'
J. Canale Dominguez
79'
W. Bou
/
E. Salvio
80'
D. Aquino
/
S. Marcich
83'
L. Besozzi
/
A. Cardozo
Y. Quinonez
/ L. Segovia
83'
M. Estrada
/ J. Medina
84'
J. Pretell
/ K. Minda
88'
⚽F. Cornejo
· ast. J. Medina
90'+1
F. Cornejo
90'+3
L. Segovia
90'
Pre-match prediction
47.71%
LDU ←
38.12%
X
14.17%
Lanus
we assigned to the actual result (LDU de Quito)
47.71%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.86
1.24
+0.38
0.30
0.11
-0.19
LDU de Quito dominated by xG (1.24 vs 0.11).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G. Valle
G
G. Valle
G
33
Leonel Enrique Quiñónez Padilla
D
Leonel Enrique Quiñónez Padilla
D
4
Ricardo Ade
D
Ricardo Ade
D
30
G. Allala
D
G. Allala
D
8
J. Pretell
88'
M
J. Pretell
88'
M
23
Yerlin Quinonez
83'
M
Yerlin Quinonez
83'
M
15
G. Villamíl
45'
M
G. Villamíl
45'
M
20
F. Cornejo
1 ⚽
M
F. Cornejo
1 ⚽
M
14
José Quintero
M
José Quintero
M
16
Deyverson
63'
F
Deyverson
63'
F
11
M. Estrada
84'
F
M. Estrada
84'
F
Bench
99
Alejandro Tobar
48'
M
Alejandro Tobar
48'
M
10
Alexander Antonio Alvarado Carriel
M
Alexander Antonio Alvarado Carriel
M
22
Alexander Domínguez Carabalí
G
Alexander Domínguez Carabalí
G
21
Ederson Castillo
M
Ederson Castillo
M
28
J. Cuero
D
J. Cuero
D
9
J. Medina
1 👟
9'
F
J. Medina
1 👟
9'
F
26
Josue Caicedo
D
Josue Caicedo
D
5
K. Minda
5'
M
K. Minda
5'
M
44
L. Segovia
10'
D
L. Segovia
10'
D
3
Richard Alexander Mina Caicedo
D
Richard Alexander Mina Caicedo
D
7
Rodney Redes
30'
F
27
Ruddy Mina
M
Ruddy Mina
M
26
N. Losada
G
N. Losada
G
6
S. Marcich
80'
D
S. Marcich
80'
D
13
J. Canale
D
J. Canale
D
24
C. Izquierdoz
D
C. Izquierdoz
D
33
T. Guidara
D
T. Guidara
D
30
A. Cardozo
83'
M
A. Cardozo
83'
M
5
F. Peña
1 ⚽
M
F. Peña
1 ⚽
M
23
R. Carrera
45'
M
R. Carrera
45'
M
10
Marcelino Moreno
M
Marcelino Moreno
M
11
E. Salvio
79'
M
E. Salvio
79'
M
19
Y. Valois
59'
F
Y. Valois
59'
F
Bench
17
A. Medina
M
A. Medina
M
20
Bruno Cabrera
34'
F
Bruno Cabrera
34'
F
25
D. Aquino
13'
F
D. Aquino
13'
F
1
F. Petroli
G
F. Petroli
G
8
F. Watson
M
F. Watson
M
4
G. Pérez
D
G. Pérez
D
77
L. Besozzi
10'
F
L. Besozzi
10'
F
16
M. Sepúlveda
48'
M
M. Sepúlveda
48'
M
3
N. Morgantini
D
N. Morgantini
D
35
R. De Jesús
D
R. De Jesús
D
37
T. De Martis
F
T. De Martis
F
9
W. Bou
14'
F
W. Bou
14'
F
Best on the pitch
F. Cornejo
M · LDU
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 44 pass
Leonel Enrique Quiñónez Padilla
D · LDU
7.50
1 shots
· 71 pass
G. Allala
D · LDU
7.30
· 53 pass
José Quintero
M · LDU
7.30
· 47 pass
Ricardo Ade
D · LDU
7.20
· 47 pass
T. Guidara
D · Lanus
7.00
· 33 pass
LDU de Quito — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Valle | G | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Leonel Enrique Quiñónez Padilla | D | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Ricardo Ade | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Allala | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Pretell | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Yerlin Quinonez | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| G. Villamíl | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| F. Cornejo | M | 93 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 44 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| José Quintero | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| Deyverson | F | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Estrada | F | 84 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Tobar | M | 48 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Medina | F | 9 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| K. Minda | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Segovia | D | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Rodney Redes | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Lanus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Losada | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Marcich | D | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Canale | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Izquierdoz | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Guidara | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Cardozo | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Peña | M | 93 | 6.70 | 1 | — | — | 33 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Carrera | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcelino Moreno | M | 93 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| E. Salvio | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Y. Valois | F | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Cabrera | F | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| D. Aquino | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Besozzi | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Sepúlveda | M | 48 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Bou | F | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of LDU de Quito vs Lanus?
The final score was LDU de Quito 2–0 Lanus.
What did the model predict before LDU de Quito vs Lanus?
The model assigned 47% probability to a LDU de Quito win, 38% to a draw, and 14% to an Lanus win.