Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 5
May 21, 2026 02:30
F. Pena Biafore
74'
(og)
F. Cornejo
(ast. J. Medina)
90'+1
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave LDU de Quito a 47% win probability (draw 38%, Lanus 14%). The final result was LDU de Quito 2–0 Lanus. In 1 previous meetings, LDU de Quito have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lanus.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
0
1.24
Actual xG
0.11
0
Saves
2
61%
Possession
39%
5
Corners
1
8
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
26'
M. Pellegrino
37'
A. Cardozo
46'
M. Sepulveda
/
R. Carrera
G. Villamil
/ C. Luna Tobar
46'
59'
B. Cabrera
/
Y. Valois
Deyverson
/ R. Redes
63'
⚽F. Pena Biafore
(og)
74'
77'
N. Losada
J. Quintero
77'
78'
J. Canale Dominguez
79'
W. Bou
/
E. Salvio
80'
D. Aquino
/
S. Marcich
83'
L. Besozzi
/
A. Cardozo
Y. Quinonez
/ L. Segovia
83'
M. Estrada
/ J. Medina
84'
J. Pretell
/ K. Minda
88'
⚽F. Cornejo
· ast. J. Medina
90'+1
F. Cornejo
90'+3
L. Segovia
90'
Pre-match prediction
47.71%
LDU ←
38.12%
X
14.17%
Lanus
we assigned to the actual result (LDU de Quito)
47.71%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.86
1.24
+0.38
0.30
0.11
-0.19
LDU de Quito dominated by xG (1.24 vs 0.11).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G. Valle
G
G. Valle
G
33
Leonel Quiñónez
D
Leonel Quiñónez
D
4
Ricardo Ade
D
Ricardo Ade
D
30
G. Allala
D
G. Allala
D
8
J. Pretell
88'
M
J. Pretell
88'
M
23
Yerlin Quinonez
83'
M
Yerlin Quinonez
83'
M
15
G. Villamíl
45'
M
G. Villamíl
45'
M
20
F. Cornejo
1 ⚽
M
F. Cornejo
1 ⚽
M
14
José Quintero
M
José Quintero
M
16
Deyverson
63'
F
Deyverson
63'
F
11
M. Estrada
84'
F
M. Estrada
84'
F
Bench
10
Alexander Alvarado
M
Alexander Alvarado
M
22
Alexander Domínguez
G
Alexander Domínguez
G
99
C. Tobar
48'
M
C. Tobar
48'
M
21
Ederson Castillo
M
Ederson Castillo
M
28
J. Cuero
D
J. Cuero
D
9
Jeison Medina
1 👟
9'
F
Jeison Medina
1 👟
9'
F
26
Josue Caicedo
D
Josue Caicedo
D
5
Kevin Minda
5'
M
Kevin Minda
5'
M
44
L. Segovia
10'
D
L. Segovia
10'
D
3
Richard Mina
D
Richard Mina
D
7
R. Redes
30'
F
R. Redes
30'
F
27
Ruddy Mina
M
Ruddy Mina
M
26
Nahuel Losada
G
Nahuel Losada
G
6
Sasha Marcich
80'
D
Sasha Marcich
80'
D
13
José Canale
D
José Canale
D
24
Carlos Izquierdoz
D
Carlos Izquierdoz
D
33
Tomás Guidara
D
Tomás Guidara
D
30
Agustín Cardozo
83'
M
Agustín Cardozo
83'
M
5
Felipe Peña Biafore
1 ⚽
M
Felipe Peña Biafore
1 ⚽
M
23
Ramiro Carrera
45'
M
Ramiro Carrera
45'
M
10
Marcelino Moreno
M
Marcelino Moreno
M
11
Eduardo Salvio
79'
M
Eduardo Salvio
79'
M
19
Yoshan Valois
59'
F
Yoshan Valois
59'
F
Bench
17
Agustín Medina
M
Agustín Medina
M
20
Bruno Cabrera
34'
F
Bruno Cabrera
34'
F
25
Dylan Aquino
13'
F
Dylan Aquino
13'
F
1
Franco Petroli
G
Franco Petroli
G
8
Franco Watson
M
Franco Watson
M
4
Gonzalo Perez
D
Gonzalo Perez
D
77
Lucas Besozzi
10'
F
Lucas Besozzi
10'
F
16
Matías Sepúlveda
48'
M
Matías Sepúlveda
48'
M
3
Nicolás Morgantini
D
Nicolás Morgantini
D
35
Ronaldo De Jesus
D
Ronaldo De Jesus
D
37
Thomas de Martis
F
Thomas de Martis
F
9
Walter Bou
14'
F
Walter Bou
14'
F
Best on the pitch
F. Cornejo
M · LDU
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 44 pass
Leonel Quiñónez
D · LDU
7.50
1 shots
· 71 pass
G. Allala
D · LDU
7.30
· 53 pass
José Quintero
M · LDU
7.30
· 47 pass
Ricardo Ade
D · LDU
7.20
· 47 pass
Tomás Guidara
D · Lanus
7.00
· 33 pass
LDU de Quito — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Valle | G | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Leonel Quiñónez | D | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Ricardo Ade | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Allala | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Pretell | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Yerlin Quinonez | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| G. Villamíl | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| F. Cornejo | M | 93 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 44 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| José Quintero | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| Deyverson | F | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Estrada | F | 84 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| C. Tobar | M | 48 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Jeison Medina | F | 9 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Minda | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Segovia | D | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Redes | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Lanus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahuel Losada | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Sasha Marcich | D | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| José Canale | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Carlos Izquierdoz | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomás Guidara | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Agustín Cardozo | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Felipe Peña Biafore | M | 93 | 6.70 | 1 | — | — | 33 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Ramiro Carrera | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcelino Moreno | M | 93 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Salvio | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Yoshan Valois | F | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Cabrera | F | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Dylan Aquino | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Besozzi | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Matías Sepúlveda | M | 48 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Walter Bou | F | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of LDU de Quito vs Lanus?
The final score was LDU de Quito 2–0 Lanus.
What did the model predict before LDU de Quito vs Lanus?
The model assigned 47% probability to a LDU de Quito win, 38% to a draw, and 14% to an Lanus win.