45'+3
M. Luque
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave LDU de Quito a 46% win probability (draw 34%, Leones del Norte 19%). The final result was LDU de Quito 0–1 Leones del Norte. In 1 previous meetings, LDU de Quito have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Leones del Norte.
Match statistics
7
Shots on target
6
1.21
Actual xG
1.74
60%
Possession
40%
9
Corners
4
Match Events
C. Luna Tobar
3'
A. Alvarado
/ S. Gonzalez Baquero
17'
45'+3
M. Luque⚽
Y. Quinonez
/ Deyverson
46'
C. Luna Tobar
/ J. W. Cuero Mercado
46'
62'
T. Coppo
/
M. Luque
62'
M. Caramuto
/
E. Pepinos
62'
C. Solano
A. Gomez
/ E. Castillo
63'
R. Redes
/ J. Corozo
64'
70'
S. Portocarrero
/
M. De La Cruz
70'
P. Madero
/
C. Solano
L. Quinonez
75'
81'
R. Borja
/
A. Aguas
S. Gonzalez Baquero
81'
90'+4
J. Moran
Pre-match prediction
46.42%
LDU
34.05%
X
19.52%
Leones ←
we assigned to the actual result (Leones del Norte)
19.52%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.93
1.21
+0.28
0.52
1.74
+1.22
Leones del Norte dominated by xG (1.74 vs 1.21).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte?
The final score was LDU de Quito 0–1 Leones del Norte.
What did the model predict before LDU de Quito vs Leones del Norte?
The model assigned 46% probability to a LDU de Quito win, 34% to a draw, and 19% to an Leones del Norte win.