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#5 · 45 pts
0 – 0
Final score
#7 · 41 pts
Model wrong — prediction LDU de Quito, result Draw
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave LDU de Quito a 66% win probability (draw 22%, Libertad 11%). The final result was LDU de Quito 0–0 Libertad. In 1 previous meetings, LDU de Quito have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Libertad.

Match statistics
3
Shots on target
3
2.00
Actual xG
0.31
66%
Possession
34%
7
Corners
4
Match Events
26'
J. Estacio
L. Segovia
30'
39'
R. Redes
45'+3
46'
C. Valencia / J. Estacio
L. Segovia / R. Ade
46'
46'
63'
D. Coronel / A. Chere
68'
C. Orejuela / V. Branda
69'
Y. Quinonez / J. Guisamano
J. Carabali / R. Mina
72'
I. Zambrano / A. Alvarado
72'
77'
Y. Quinonez
82'
X. E. Pineda Arana / J. Bravo
R. Redes / C. Luna Tobar
85'
J. Pretell / A. Gomez
85'
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
66.31%
LDU
22.05%
X ←
11.63%
Libertad
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.05% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
LDU
1.60
2.00
+0.4
Libertad
0.44
0.31
-0.13
LDU de Quito dominated by xG (2.00 vs 0.31). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 29 71
2 Aucas Aucas 30 50
3 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 29 48
4 Macara Macara 29 48
5 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 29 45
6 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 29 43
7 Libertad Libertad 29 41
8 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 29 39
9 Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 30 39
10 Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 30 38
11 Emelec Emelec 29 36
12 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 29 35
13 Orense SC Orense SC 29 33
14 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 29 29
15 Delfin SC Delfin SC 29 27
16 Manta FC Manta FC 30 21
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of LDU de Quito vs Libertad?
The final score was LDU de Quito 0–0 Libertad.
What did the model predict before LDU de Quito vs Libertad?
The model assigned 66% probability to a LDU de Quito win, 22% to a draw, and 11% to an Libertad win.