LigaPro · Regular Season - 18 July 12, 2026 19:00 Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito

LDU de Quito

#6 · 32 pts

0 – 0

Final score

Libertad

#10 · 27 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction LDU de Quito, result Draw

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave LDU de Quito a 66% win probability (draw 22%, Libertad 11%). The final result was LDU de Quito 0–0 Libertad. In 1 previous meetings, LDU de Quito have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Libertad.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

3

2.00

Actual xG

0.31

66%

Possession

34%

7

Corners

4

Match Events

26'

J. Estacio

L. Segovia

30'

39'

R. Redes

45'+3

46'

C. Valencia / J. Estacio ↕

↕ L. Segovia / R. Ade

46'

46'

63'

D. Coronel / A. Chere ↕

68'

C. Orejuela / V. Branda ↕

69'

Y. Quinonez / J. Guisamano ↕

↕ J. Carabali / R. Mina

72'

↕ I. Zambrano / A. Alvarado

72'

77'

Y. Quinonez

82'

X. E. Pineda Arana / J. Bravo ↕

↕ R. Redes / C. Luna Tobar

85'

↕ J. Pretell / A. Gomez

85'

90'+8

Pre-match prediction

66.31%

LDU

22.05%

X ←

11.63%

Libertad

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.05% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

LDU

1.60

2.00

+0.4

Libertad

0.44

0.31

-0.13

LDU de Quito dominated by xG (2.00 vs 0.31). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	22	55
2	Universidad Catolica	22	36
3	Macara	22	35
4	Aucas	22	35
5	Barcelona SC	22	34
6	LDU de Quito	22	32
7	Leones del Norte	22	31
8	Deportivo Cuenca	22	31
9	Guayaquil City FC	22	28
10	Libertad	22	27
11	Tecnico Universitario	22	26
12	Orense SC	22	26
13	Mushuc Runa SC	22	25
14	Emelec	22	25
15	Delfin SC	22	23
16	Manta FC	22	14