LigaPro · Regular Season - 18 July 12, 2026 19:00 Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito

LDU de Quito

#5 · 46 pts

0 – 0

Final score

Libertad

#7 · 41 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction LDU de Quito, result Draw

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave LDU de Quito a 66% win probability (draw 22%, Libertad 11%). The final result was LDU de Quito 0–0 Libertad. In 1 previous meetings, LDU de Quito have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Libertad.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

3

2.00

Actual xG

0.31

66%

Possession

34%

7

Corners

4

Match Events

26'

J. Estacio

L. Segovia

30'

39'

R. Redes

45'+3

46'

C. Valencia / J. Estacio ↕

↕ L. Segovia / R. Ade

46'

46'

63'

D. Coronel / A. Chere ↕

68'

C. Orejuela / V. Branda ↕

69'

Y. Quinonez / J. Guisamano ↕

↕ J. Carabali / R. Mina

72'

↕ I. Zambrano / A. Alvarado

72'

77'

Y. Quinonez

82'

X. E. Pineda Arana / J. Bravo ↕

↕ R. Redes / C. Luna Tobar

85'

↕ J. Pretell / A. Gomez

85'

90'+8

Pre-match prediction

66.31%

LDU

22.05%

X ←

11.63%

Libertad

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.05% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

LDU

1.60

2.00

+0.4

Libertad

0.44

0.31

-0.13

LDU de Quito dominated by xG (2.00 vs 0.31). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	34	81
1	Independiente del Valle	30	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	51
2	Macara	35	66
3	Aucas	35	54
3	Macara	30	51
4	Aucas	30	50
4	Universidad Catolica	35	53
5	LDU de Quito	30	46
5	LDU de Quito	35	53
6	Barcelona SC	30	44
6	Barcelona SC	34	48
7	Libertad	30	41
7	Libertad	35	51
8	Guayaquil City FC	35	47
8	Leones del Norte	30	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	39
9	Leones del Norte	35	46
10	Emelec	35	42
10	Mushuc Runa SC	30	38
11	Emelec	30	36
11	Deportivo Cuenca	35	44
12	Mushuc Runa SC	35	40
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	36
13	Orense SC	35	39
13	Orense SC	30	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	32
14	Delfin SC	35	38
15	Delfin SC	30	28
15	Tecnico Universitario	35	37
16	Manta FC	30	21
16	Manta FC	35	30