Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 2
April 15, 2026 04:00
Y. Quinonez
6'
J. Quintero
(ast. J. Corozo)
34'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave LDU de Quito a 41% win probability (draw 34%, Mirassol 23%). The final result was LDU de Quito 2–0 Mirassol. In 1 previous meetings, LDU de Quito have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mirassol.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
2
0.67
Actual xG
0.53
2
Saves
3
39%
Possession
61%
4
Corners
2
10
Tackles
7
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Y. Quinonez
6'
L. Segovia
20'
⚽J. Quintero
· ast. J. Corozo
34'
46'
Everton Galdino
/
Lucas Mugni
59'
Lucas Oliveira
62'
Tiquinho Soares
/
A. Galeano
62'
Alesson
/
Nathan Fogaca
67'
Edson Carioca
/
Negueba
Deyverson
/ M. Estrada
69'
J. Corozo
/ R. Redes
69'
Y. Quinonez
/ G. F. Allala Menendez
76'
76'
Denilson
/
Neto Moura
77'
Alesson
82'
Lucas Oliveira
82'
Lucas Oliveira
J. Pretell
/ A. Alvarado
85'
J. Quintero
/ J. W. Cuero Mercado
86'
Pre-match prediction
41.82%
LDU ←
34.53%
X
23.65%
Mirassol
we assigned to the actual result (LDU de Quito)
41.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.99
0.67
-0.32
0.48
0.53
+0.05
xG dominance was balanced (0.67 – 0.53).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G. Valle
G
G. Valle
G
23
Yerlin Quinonez
1 ⚽
76'
D
Yerlin Quinonez
1 ⚽
76'
D
33
Leonel Quiñónez
D
Leonel Quiñónez
D
44
L. Segovia
D
L. Segovia
D
3
Richard Mina
D
Richard Mina
D
14
José Quintero
1 ⚽
86'
D
José Quintero
1 ⚽
86'
D
15
G. Villamíl
M
G. Villamíl
M
8
J. Pretell
85'
M
J. Pretell
85'
M
20
F. Cornejo
M
F. Cornejo
M
16
Deyverson
69'
F
Deyverson
69'
F
13
J. Corozo
1 👟
69'
F
J. Corozo
1 👟
69'
F
Bench
10
Alexander Alvarado
11'
M
Alexander Alvarado
11'
M
99
C. Tobar
M
C. Tobar
M
30
G. Allala
20'
D
G. Allala
20'
D
28
J. Cuero
10'
D
J. Cuero
10'
D
9
Jeison Medina
F
Jeison Medina
F
26
Josue Caicedo
D
Josue Caicedo
D
5
Kevin Minda
M
Kevin Minda
M
11
M. Estrada
27'
F
M. Estrada
27'
F
25
Patrick Ortiz
M
Patrick Ortiz
M
7
R. Redes
27'
F
R. Redes
27'
F
22
Walter
G
Walter
G
12
Victor Luis
D
Victor Luis
D
2
Lucas Oliveira
82'
D
Lucas Oliveira
82'
D
34
João Victor
D
João Victor
D
20
D
26
Lucas Mugni
45'
M
Lucas Mugni
45'
M
25
Neto Moura
76'
M
Neto Moura
76'
M
11
Negueba
67'
M
33
Eduardo
M
Eduardo
M
27
Antonio Galeano
62'
M
Antonio Galeano
62'
M
9
Nathan Fogaça
62'
F
Nathan Fogaça
62'
F
Bench
77
Alesson
34'
F
Alesson
34'
F
23
Alex Muralha
G
Alex Muralha
G
96
Carlos Eduardo
F
Carlos Eduardo
F
8
Denilson
20'
M
Denilson
20'
M
95
Edson Carioca
29'
F
Edson Carioca
29'
F
17
Everton Galdino
51'
F
Everton Galdino
51'
F
29
Tiquinho Soares
34'
F
Tiquinho Soares
34'
F
Best on the pitch
José Quintero
D · LDU
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
Yerlin Quinonez
D · LDU
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
F. Cornejo
M · LDU
7.30
· 37 pass
Leonel Quiñónez
D · LDU
7.20
1 shots
· 38 pass
Eduardo
M · Mirassol
7.00
1 shots
· 57 pass
J. Cuero
D · LDU
7.00
· 7 pass
LDU de Quito — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Valle | G | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Yerlin Quinonez | D | 76 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Leonel Quiñónez | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Segovia | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| Richard Mina | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| José Quintero | D | 86 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Villamíl | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Pretell | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| F. Cornejo | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Deyverson | F | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 10 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Corozo | F | 69 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Alexander Alvarado | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| G. Allala | D | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Cuero | D | 10 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Estrada | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| R. Redes | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Mirassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Victor Luis | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 68 | 59% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Oliveira | D | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 72 | 66% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| João Victor | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 62% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 48 | 44% | — | — | — | |
| Lucas Mugni | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Neto Moura | M | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Negueba | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Antonio Galeano | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Fogaça | F | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Alesson | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Denilson | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Edson Carioca | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Everton Galdino | F | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Tiquinho Soares | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of LDU de Quito vs Mirassol?
The final score was LDU de Quito 2–0 Mirassol.
What did the model predict before LDU de Quito vs Mirassol?
The model assigned 41% probability to a LDU de Quito win, 34% to a draw, and 23% to an Mirassol win.