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LDU de Quito - Mirassol

Copa Libertadores August 18, 2026 22:00
LDU de Quito
#1 · 12 pts
vs
Mirassol
#2 · 12 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
45.1%
Win
LDU de Quito
26.26%
Draw
28.64%
Win
Mirassol
1.6
Expected xG
1.14

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (11.53%)
1X2 Result ✓ 70.6% hit rate (17 picks)
1 45%
X 26%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 55%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives LDU de Quito a 45% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Mirassol. Expected goals are 1.6 for LDU de Quito and 1.1 for Mirassol (total 2.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.53% probability. In 2 previous meetings, LDU de Quito have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mirassol.

Season Stats

LDU de Quito
4W 0D 2L
Mirassol
4W 0D 2L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.2
0.8
Conceded
0.7
3.3
Shots OT
3.7
3.5
Corners
4.2
47%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
17%
O 2.5
17%
17%
BTTS
17%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
33%
BTTS
LDU de Quito
3W 0D 0L · at home
Mirassol
1W 0D 2L · away
2.3
gls/g
0.7
0.7
Conceded
1.3
100%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
33%
100%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
33%
33%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
33%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
67%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ LDU de Quito Mirassol →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5% 7.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.4% 11.8% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.4% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.4% 5.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% — —

Recent form

LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
W Always Ready 3–2
W Lanus 2–0
L Mirassol 2–0
L Lanus 1–0
W Mirassol 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 48%
Mirassol Mirassol
L Lanus 1–0
W Always Ready 1–2
W LDU de Quito 2–0
W Always Ready 2–0
L LDU de Quito 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
Attack
28
Defence
77
Form
51
Mirassol Mirassol
Attack
31
Defence
68
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
LDU de Quito
0
Draw
1
Mirassol
8 May 2026 Copa Libertadores 0–2
15 Apr 2026 Copa Libertadores 2–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Mirassol?
The model gives LDU de Quito a 45% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 28% for an Mirassol win.
How many goals are expected in LDU de Quito vs Mirassol?
Expected goals: LDU de Quito 1.6, Mirassol 1.1 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in LDU de Quito vs Mirassol?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.53%.