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LDU de Quito - Orense SC

LigaPro July 02, 2026 00:00 Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
LDU de Quito
#6 · 24 pts
vs
Orense SC
#7 · 22 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 11.7°C 💨 5 km/h · Quito
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.04%
Win
LDU de Quito
22.1%
Draw
36.85%
Win
Orense SC
1.38
Expected xG
1.75
Most likely result 1–1 (10.6%)
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
60%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives LDU de Quito a 41% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Orense SC. Expected goals are 1.4 for LDU de Quito and 1.7 for Orense SC (total 3.1), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.6% probability. In 1 previous meetings, LDU de Quito have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Orense SC.

Season Stats

LDU de Quito
7W 3D 5L
Orense SC
6W 4D 5L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.4
0.9
Conceded
1.3
3.6
Shots OT
5.9
6.2
Corners
4.1
53%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
87%
27%
O 2.5
53%
40%
BTTS
73%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in LigaPro. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
72%
O 1.5
36%
O 2.5
15%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
LDU de Quito
3W 2D 2L · at home
Orense SC
3W 1D 3L · away
0.7
gls/g
1.4
0.9
Conceded
1.4
43%
Win %
43%
71%
Win or Draw
57%
57%
O 1.5
86%
14%
O 2.5
57%
0%
O 3.5
29%
29%
BTTS
71%
43%
Clean Sht
14%
43%
Failed to Score
14%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ LDU de Quito Orense SC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4% 7.7% 6.7% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
1 6.1% 10.6% 9.2% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.2% 7.3% 6.4% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.9% 3.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
D Deportivo Cuenca 1–1
W Tecnico Universitario 2–1
W Mushuc Runa SC 1–3
W Guayaquil City FC 1–0
L Emelec 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 48%
Orense SC Orense SC
L Universidad Catolica 1–2
W Guayaquil City FC 0–1
W Leones del Norte 2–0
W Macara 1–2
D Barcelona SC 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
Attack
34
Defence
72
Form
60
Orense SC Orense SC
Attack
53
Defence
73
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
LDU de Quito
0
Draw
0
Orense SC
21 Feb 2026 LigaPro 2–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 16 37
2 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 16 27
3 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 16 26
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 16 26
5 Aucas Aucas 16 26
6 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 15 24
7 Orense SC Orense SC 15 22
8 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 16 20
9 Macara Macara 16 20
10 Emelec Emelec 16 19
11 Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 16 19
12 Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 16 18
13 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 16 17
14 Libertad Libertad 16 17
15 Delfin SC Delfin SC 16 16
16 Manta FC Manta FC 16 12
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Orense SC?
The model gives LDU de Quito a 41% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 36% for an Orense SC win.
How many goals are expected in LDU de Quito vs Orense SC?
Expected goals: LDU de Quito 1.4, Orense SC 1.7 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in LDU de Quito vs Orense SC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.6%.