Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 28
April 05, 2026 17:15
S. Ebonog
(ast. I. Soumare)
23'
15'
(ast. D. Namaso)
L. Sinayoko
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Le Havre a 38% win probability (draw 32%, Auxerre 28%). The final result was Le Havre 1–1 Auxerre. In 1 previous meetings, Le Havre have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Auxerre.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
2
0.50
Actual xG
1.70
1
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
5
19
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
15'
ast. D. Namaso ·
L. Sinayoko⚽
Arouna Sangante
17'
⚽S. Ebonog
· ast. I. Soumare
23'
S. Boufal
/ A. Samatta
71'
S. Ebonog
/ G. Kyeremeh
77'
78'
J. Casimir
/
F. Oppegard
79'
Danny Namaso
Yanis Zouaoui
86'
86'
Elisha Owusu
90'+1
S. Mara
/
D. Namaso
Y. Zouaoui
/ T. Pembele
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
38.91%
Le
32.43%
X ←
28.66%
Auxerre
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.43%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.94
0.50
-0.44
0.91
1.70
+0.79
Auxerre dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.50).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
99
Mory Diaw
G
Mory Diaw
G
4
Gautier Lloris
D
Gautier Lloris
D
15
Ayumu Seko
D
Ayumu Seko
D
93
Arouna Sangante
D
Arouna Sangante
D
18
Yanis Zouaoui
M
Yanis Zouaoui
M
26
S. Ebonog
1 ⚽
77'
M
S. Ebonog
1 ⚽
77'
M
19
Lucas Gourna-Douath
M
Lucas Gourna-Douath
M
7
Loic Négo
M
Loic Négo
M
17
Sofiane Boufal
71'
F
Sofiane Boufal
71'
F
45
I. Soumaré
1 👟
F
I. Soumaré
1 👟
F
14
Rassoul Ndiaye
F
Rassoul Ndiaye
F
Bench
25
Ally Samatta
24'
F
Ally Samatta
24'
F
13
Fodé Doucouré
D
Fodé Doucouré
D
29
Stephan Zagadou
D
32
Timothee Pembele
1'
D
Timothee Pembele
1'
D
8
Yassine Kechta
M
Yassine Kechta
M
40
G
14
G. Mensah
D
G. Mensah
D
24
Bryan Okoh
D
Bryan Okoh
D
20
Sinaly Diomandé
D
Sinaly Diomandé
D
27
Lamine Sy
D
Lamine Sy
D
5
Kévin Danois
M
Kévin Danois
M
42
Elisha Owusu
M
Elisha Owusu
M
22
F. Oppegard
78'
M
19
D. Namaso
1 👟
M
D. Namaso
1 👟
M
28
R. Faivre
M
10
L. Sinayoko
1 ⚽
F
L. Sinayoko
1 ⚽
F
Bench
18
Assane Dioussé
M
Assane Dioussé
M
92
Clement Akpa
D
Clement Akpa
D
7
Josué Casimir
17'
F
Josué Casimir
17'
F
29
Marvin Senaya
D
Marvin Senaya
D
8
Naouirou Ahamada
M
Naouirou Ahamada
M
9
Sékou Mara
4'
F
Sékou Mara
4'
F
Best on the pitch
S. Ebonog
M · Le
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
Yanis Zouaoui
M · Le
7.70
· 30 pass
L. Sinayoko
F · Auxerre
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 29 pass
Kévin Danois
M · Auxerre
7.30
· 63 pass
I. Soumaré
F · Le
7.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 12 pass
G · Auxerre
7.20
· 20 pass
Le Havre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mory Diaw | G | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Gautier Lloris | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| Ayumu Seko | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Arouna Sangante | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 74 | 53% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Yanis Zouaoui | M | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Ebonog | M | 77 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Gourna-Douath | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Loic Négo | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Sofiane Boufal | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Soumaré | F | 95 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Rassoul Ndiaye | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Ally Samatta | F | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Timothee Pembele | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Auxerre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| G. Mensah | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Bryan Okoh | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Sinaly Diomandé | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Lamine Sy | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Kévin Danois | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 63 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| Elisha Owusu | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 6 | 1 | — |
| F. Oppegard | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| D. Namaso | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Faivre | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Sinayoko | F | 95 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Josué Casimir | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Sékou Mara | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Le Havre vs Auxerre?
The final score was Le Havre 1–1 Auxerre.
What did the model predict before Le Havre vs Auxerre?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Le Havre win, 32% to a draw, and 28% to an Auxerre win.