(pen.)
55'
M. Greenwood
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Marseille a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Le Havre 32%). The final result was Le Havre 0–1 Marseille. In 1 previous meetings, Le Havre have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Marseille.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
3
1.06
Actual xG
1.12
2
Saves
2
50%
Possession
50%
3
Corners
0
21
Tackles
22
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
S. Boufal
41'
A. Seko
47'
55'
(pen.)
M. Greenwood⚽
Y. Zouaoui
57'
59'
T. Nnadi
66'
A. Vermeeren
/
T. Nnadi
⚽S. Boufal
(missed pen.)
71'
F. Doucoure
/ T. Pembele
72'
S. Boufal
/ S. Ebonog
72'
Y. Zouaoui
/ E. K. Vinette
80'
81'
Q. Timber
87'
N. Kamissoko
/
Q. Timber
87'
E. Lago
/
M. Greenwood
S. Ebonog
88'
L. Gourna-Douath
/ Y. Kechta
89'
90'+7
90'
U. Lamare El Kadmiri
/
A. Gouiri
Pre-match prediction
32.11%
Le
27.64%
X
40.25%
Marseille ←
we assigned to the actual result (Marseille)
40.25%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.55
1.06
-0.49
1.74
1.12
-0.62
xG dominance was balanced (1.06 – 1.12).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
99
Mory Diaw
G
Mory Diaw
G
18
Yanis Zouaoui
80'
D
Yanis Zouaoui
80'
D
4
Gautier Lloris
D
Gautier Lloris
D
15
A. Seko
D
A. Seko
D
93
A. Sangante
D
A. Sangante
D
14
Rassoul Ndiaye
M
Rassoul Ndiaye
M
19
Lucas Gourna-Douath
89'
M
Lucas Gourna-Douath
89'
M
45
Issa Soumaré
M
Issa Soumaré
M
17
Sofiane Boufal
72'
M
Sofiane Boufal
72'
M
13
Fodé Doucouré
72'
M
Fodé Doucouré
72'
M
25
Ally Samatta
F
Ally Samatta
F
Bench
27
Enzo Koffi
10'
F
Enzo Koffi
10'
F
6
Étienne Youte Kinkoue
D
Étienne Youte Kinkoue
D
10
Felix Mambimbi
F
Felix Mambimbi
F
11
Godson Kyeremeh
F
Godson Kyeremeh
F
77
Lionel Mpasi Nzau
G
Lionel Mpasi Nzau
G
7
Loic Négo
D
Loic Négo
D
26
S. Ebonog
18'
M
S. Ebonog
18'
M
32
Timothee Pembele
18'
D
Timothee Pembele
18'
D
8
Yassine Kechta
11'
M
Yassine Kechta
11'
M
1
Gerónimo Rulli
G
Gerónimo Rulli
G
33
Emerson
D
Emerson
D
32
Facundo Medina
D
Facundo Medina
D
5
Leonardo Balerdi
D
Leonardo Balerdi
D
28
Benjamin Pavard
D
Benjamin Pavard
D
23
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
M
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
M
6
T. Nnadi
66'
M
T. Nnadi
66'
M
14
Igor Paixão
M
Igor Paixão
M
27
Q. Timber
87'
M
Q. Timber
87'
M
10
M. Greenwood
1 ⚽
87'
M
M. Greenwood
1 ⚽
87'
M
9
Amine Gouiri
89'
F
Amine Gouiri
89'
F
Bench
78
Ange Lago
13'
F
Ange Lago
13'
F
18
Arthur Vermeeren
24'
M
Arthur Vermeeren
24'
M
11
Ethan Nwaneri
M
Ethan Nwaneri
M
72
Hilan Hamzaoui Slimani
D
Hilan Hamzaoui Slimani
D
12
Jeffrey De Lange
G
Jeffrey De Lange
G
35
Kelyann Bezahaf
D
Kelyann Bezahaf
D
71
Nouhoum Kamissoko
13'
M
Nouhoum Kamissoko
13'
M
76
Tadjidine Mmadi
M
Tadjidine Mmadi
M
70
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri
10'
F
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri
10'
F
Best on the pitch
Emerson
D · Marseille
7.90
1 shots
· 35 pass
M. Greenwood
M · Marseille
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
Issa Soumaré
M · Le
7.30
1 shots
· 18 pass
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
M · Marseille
7.20
· 62 pass
Rassoul Ndiaye
M · Le
7.20
· 33 pass
Igor Paixão
M · Marseille
7.00
2 shots
· 24 pass
Le Havre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mory Diaw | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Yanis Zouaoui | D | 80 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gautier Lloris | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 58 | 50% | — | — | — |
| A. Seko | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 43% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Sangante | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Rassoul Ndiaye | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 5 | — | — |
| Lucas Gourna-Douath | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Issa Soumaré | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Sofiane Boufal | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Fodé Doucouré | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Ally Samatta | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Enzo Koffi | F | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Ebonog | M | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Timothee Pembele | D | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Yassine Kechta | M | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
Marseille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerónimo Rulli | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Emerson | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 6 | — | — |
| Facundo Medina | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonardo Balerdi | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Benjamin Pavard | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Pierre-Emile Højbjerg | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Nnadi | M | 66 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Igor Paixão | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Q. Timber | M | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Greenwood | M | 87 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Amine Gouiri | F | 89 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Ange Lago | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Arthur Vermeeren | M | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 4 | — | — |
| Nouhoum Kamissoko | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Le Havre vs Marseille?
The final score was Le Havre 0–1 Marseille.
What did the model predict before Le Havre vs Marseille?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Le Havre win, 27% to a draw, and 40% to an Marseille win.