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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 21:00 Stade Océane, Le Havre
Le Havre
#18 · 2 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Marseille
#8 · 12 pts
(pen.) 55' M. Greenwood
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Marseille a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Le Havre 32%). The final result was Le Havre 0–1 Marseille. In 2 previous meetings, Le Havre have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Marseille.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
3
1.06
Actual xG
1.12
2
Saves
2
50%
Possession
50%
3
Corners
0
21
Tackles
22
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
S. Boufal
41'
A. Seko
47'
55'
(pen.) M. Greenwood⚽
Y. Zouaoui
57'
59'
T. Nnadi
66'
A. Vermeeren / T. Nnadi ↕
⚽S. Boufal (missed pen.)
71'
↕ F. Doucoure / T. Pembele
72'
↕ S. Boufal / S. Ebonog
72'
↕ Y. Zouaoui / E. K. Vinette
80'
81'
Q. Timber
87'
N. Kamissoko / Q. Timber ↕
87'
E. Lago / M. Greenwood ↕
S. Ebonog
88'
↕ L. Gourna-Douath / Y. Kechta
89'
90'+7
90'
U. Lamare El Kadmiri / A. Gouiri ↕
Pre-match prediction
32.11%
Le
27.64%
X
40.25%
Marseille ←
we assigned to the actual result (Marseille) 40.25% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Le
1.55
1.06
-0.49
Marseille
1.74
1.12
-0.62
xG dominance was balanced (1.06 – 1.12). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 17
2 Rennes Rennes 8 16
3 Lille Lille 8 15
4 Monaco Monaco 8 15
5 Lyon Lyon 8 14
6 Paris FC Paris FC 8 14
7 Lens Lens 8 13
8 Marseille Marseille 8 12
9 Lorient Lorient 8 12
10 Nice Nice 8 11
11 Toulouse Toulouse 8 10
12 Auxerre Auxerre 8 10
13 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 9
14 Angers Angers 8 8
15 Le Mans Le Mans 8 7
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 7
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 5
18 Le Havre Le Havre 8 2
Lineups
Le Havre Le Havre 4-2-3-1
99 M. Diaw M. Diaw G 6.30
18 Y. Zouaoui Y. Zouaoui 80' D 5.90
4 G. Lloris G. Lloris D 6.70
15 A. Seko A. Seko D 6.20
93 A. Sangante A. Sangante D 6.70
14 R. Ndiaye R. Ndiaye M 7.20
19 L. Gourna-Douath L. Gourna-Douath 89' M 6.30
45 I. Soumaré I. Soumaré M 7.30
17 Sofiane Boufal Sofiane Boufal 72' M 6.90
13 F. Doucouré F. Doucouré 72' M 6.30
25 M. Samatta M. Samatta F 6.90
Bench
27 E. Koffi Vinette E. Koffi Vinette 10' F 6.20
6 É. Youté É. Youté D
10 Felix Mambimbi Felix Mambimbi F
11 G. Kyeremeh G. Kyeremeh F
77 L. Mpasi L. Mpasi G
7
L. Négo D
26 S. Ebonog S. Ebonog 18' M 6.60
32 T. Pembélé T. Pembélé 18' D 6.50
8 Y. Kechta Y. Kechta 11' M 6.90
Marseille Marseille 4-2-3-1
1 G. Rulli G. Rulli G 6.60
33 Emerson Emerson D 7.90
32 F. Medina F. Medina D 6.30
5 L. Balerdi L. Balerdi D 6.90
28 B. Pavard B. Pavard D 6.90
23 P. Højbjerg P. Højbjerg M 7.20
6 T. Nnadi T. Nnadi 66' M 6.00
14 Igor Paixão Igor Paixão M 7.00
27 Q. Timber Q. Timber 87' M 6.90
10 M. Greenwood M. Greenwood 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.30
9 A. Gouiri A. Gouiri 89' F 6.00
Bench
78 Ange Lago Ange Lago 13' F 6.30
18 A. Vermeeren A. Vermeeren 24' M 6.90
11 E. Nwaneri E. Nwaneri M
72 Hilan Hamzaoui Slimani Hilan Hamzaoui Slimani D
12 J. de Lange J. de Lange G
35 Kelyann Bezahaf Kelyann Bezahaf D
71 Nouhoum Kamissoko Nouhoum Kamissoko 13' M 6.60
76 Tadjidine Mmadi Tadjidine Mmadi M
70 Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri 10' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Emerson
Emerson
D · Marseille
7.90
1 shots · 35 pass
M. Greenwood
M. Greenwood
M · Marseille
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 32 pass
I. Soumaré
I. Soumaré
M · Le
7.30
1 shots · 18 pass
P. Højbjerg
P. Højbjerg
M · Marseille
7.20
· 62 pass
R. Ndiaye
R. Ndiaye
M · Le
7.20
· 33 pass
Igor Paixão
Igor Paixão
M · Marseille
7.00
2 shots · 24 pass
Le Havre Le Havre — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Diaw G 90 6.30 — — — 37 22% — — —
Y. Zouaoui D 80 5.90 — — — 26 16% 1 1 —
G. Lloris D 90 6.70 — — — 58 50% — — —
A. Seko D 90 6.20 — — — 46 43% — 1 —
A. Sangante D 90 6.70 — — — 55 46% 2 — —
R. Ndiaye M 90 7.20 — — — 33 29% 5 — —
L. Gourna-Douath M 89 6.30 — — — 36 32% 1 — —
I. Soumaré M 90 7.30 — — 1 18 12% 3 — —
Sofiane Boufal M 72 6.90 — — 2 17 15% 4 1 —
F. Doucouré M 72 6.30 — — — 21 14% 3 — —
M. Samatta F 90 6.90 — — 2 13 8% — — —
E. Koffi Vinette F 10 6.20 — — — 8 6% — — —
S. Ebonog M 18 6.60 — — 1 8 8% — 1 —
T. Pembélé D 18 6.50 — — — 6 4% — — —
Y. Kechta M 11 6.90 — — — 4 4% 2 — —
Marseille Marseille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Rulli G 90 6.60 — — — 28 19% — — —
Emerson D 90 7.90 — — 1 35 29% 6 — —
F. Medina D 90 6.30 — — — 38 32% 1 — —
L. Balerdi D 90 6.90 — — — 41 37% 3 — —
B. Pavard D 90 6.90 — — — 36 28% — — —
P. Højbjerg M 90 7.20 — — — 62 53% 3 — —
T. Nnadi M 66 6.00 — — 1 30 25% — 1 —
Igor Paixão M 90 7.00 — — 2 24 16% 3 — —
Q. Timber M 87 6.90 — — — 32 29% 1 1 —
M. Greenwood M 87 7.30 1 — 1 32 25% 1 — —
A. Gouiri F 89 6.00 — — 1 20 15% — — —
Ange Lago F 13 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
A. Vermeeren M 24 6.90 — — — 8 6% 4 — —
Nouhoum Kamissoko M 13 6.60 — — — 3 1% — — —
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri F 10 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Le Havre vs Marseille?
The final score was Le Havre 0–1 Marseille.
What did the model predict before Le Havre vs Marseille?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Le Havre win, 27% to a draw, and 40% to an Marseille win.