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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 17:15 Stade Océane, Le Havre
Le Havre
#14 · 35 pts
4 – 4
Final score
Metz
#18 · 17 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Le Havre, result Draw
A. Samatta 5'
Y. Kechta 13'
Y. Zouaoui 52' (pen.)
F. Doucoure (ast. I. Soumare) 61'
9' (ast. G. Hein) G. Kvilitaia
(pen.) 45'+5 G. Hein
54' (ast. N. Mbala) J. Pandore
85' (ast. N. Mbala) G. Hein
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Le Havre a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Metz 17%). The final result was Le Havre 4–4 Metz. In 1 previous meetings, Le Havre have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Metz.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
5
2.33
Actual xG
1.50
1
Saves
1
47%
Possession
53%
6
Corners
4
26
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Samatta
5'
9'
ast. G. Hein · G. Kvilitaia⚽
⚽Y. Kechta
13'
18'
N. Mbala / J. Gbamin ↕
45'+5
(pen.) G. Hein⚽
46'
B. Stambouli / A. Toure ↕
↕ R. Ndiaye / L. Gourna-Douath
46'
46'
J. Pandore / U. Mboula ↕
47'
G. Kvilitaia
⚽Y. Zouaoui (pen.)
52'
54'
ast. N. Mbala · J. Pandore⚽
⚽F. Doucoure · ast. I. Soumare
61'
↕ F. Doucoure / G. Kyeremeh
69'
↕ Y. Zouaoui / T. Pembele
79'
↕ Y. Kechta / S. Boufal
79'
L. Gourna-Douath
80'
82'
G. Abuashvili / J. Deminguet ↕
82'
L. Michal / G. Kvilitaia ↕
85'
ast. N. Mbala · G. Hein⚽
S. Ebonog
90'+2
↕ S. Ebonog / D. N. Mosengo
90'+4
T. Pembele
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
58.68%
Le
23.9%
X ←
17.42%
Metz
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.9% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Le
1.66
2.33
+0.67
Metz
0.79
1.50
+0.71
Le Havre dominated by xG (2.33 vs 1.50). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 34 76
2 Lens Lens 34 70
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 34 61
4 Lyon Lyon 34 60
5 Marseille Marseille 34 59
6 Rennes Rennes 34 59
7 Monaco Monaco 34 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 34 53
9 Lorient Lorient 34 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 34 44
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 34 39
13 Angers Angers 34 36
14 Le Havre Le Havre 34 35
15 Auxerre Auxerre 34 34
16 Nice Nice 34 32
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 34 17
Lineups
Le Havre Le Havre 4-2-3-1
99 Mory Diaw Mory Diaw G 5.70
18 Yanis Zouaoui Yanis Zouaoui 1 ⚽ 79' D 6.90
4 Gautier Lloris Gautier Lloris D 6.70
15 A. Seko A. Seko D 6.20
7 Loic Négo Loic Négo D 6.20
26 S. Ebonog S. Ebonog 89' M 6.50
14 Rassoul Ndiaye Rassoul Ndiaye 45' M 7.20
45 Issa Soumaré Issa Soumaré 1 👟 M 6.20
8 Yassine Kechta Yassine Kechta 1 ⚽ 79' M 7.60
13 Fodé Doucouré Fodé Doucouré 1 ⚽ 69' M 7.20
25 Ally Samatta Ally Samatta 1 ⚽ F 8.50
Bench
10 Felix Mambimbi Felix Mambimbi F
77 Lionel Mpasi Nzau Lionel Mpasi Nzau G
19 Lucas Gourna-Douath Lucas Gourna-Douath 45' M 6.50
17 Sofiane Boufal Sofiane Boufal 11' M 6.90
32 Timothee Pembele Timothee Pembele 11' D 6.50
Metz Metz 3-5-2
61
G 5.60
4 Urie-Michel Mboula Urie-Michel Mboula 45' D 7.00
15 Terry Yegbe Terry Yegbe D 5.70
38 Sadibou Sané Sadibou Sané D 6.60
7 Giorgi Tsitaishvili Giorgi Tsitaishvili M 6.20
12 Alpha Touré Alpha Touré 45' M 6.20
5 Jean-Philippe Gbamin Jean-Philippe Gbamin 18' M 6.20
20 Jessy Deminguet Jessy Deminguet 82' M 6.90
70 Bouna Sarr Bouna Sarr M 6.60
11
Giorgi Kvilitaia 1 ⚽ 82' F 6.90
10 G. Hein G. Hein 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.30
Bench
21 Benjamin Stambouli Benjamin Stambouli 45' M 7.20
9 Giorgi Abuashvili Giorgi Abuashvili 8' F 6.50
35 Jahyann Pandore Jahyann Pandore 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.20
39 K. Kouao K. Kouao D
19
L. Michal 8' F 6.30
34 Nathan Mbala Nathan Mbala 2 👟 72' F 7.30
Best on the pitch
G. Hein
G. Hein
F · Metz
9.30
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 58 pass
Ally Samatta
Ally Samatta
F · Le
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 18 pass
Yassine Kechta
Yassine Kechta
M · Le
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 20 pass
Nathan Mbala
Nathan Mbala
F · Metz
7.30
2 👟
1 shots · 16 pass
Jahyann Pandore
Jahyann Pandore
F · Metz
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
Rassoul Ndiaye
Rassoul Ndiaye
M · Le
7.20
· 13 pass
Le Havre Le Havre — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mory Diaw G 90 5.70 — — — 29 24% — — —
Yanis Zouaoui D 79 6.90 1 — 2 32 28% 4 — —
Gautier Lloris D 90 6.70 — — — 61 55% 2 — —
A. Seko D 90 6.20 — — — 54 47% — — —
Loic Négo D 90 6.20 — — — 37 32% 4 — —
S. Ebonog M 89 6.50 — — — 13 12% 2 1 —
Rassoul Ndiaye M 45 7.20 — — — 13 11% 3 — —
Issa Soumaré M 90 6.20 — 1 1 18 11% 4 — —
Yassine Kechta M 79 7.60 1 — 2 20 15% 1 — —
Fodé Doucouré M 69 7.20 1 — 1 18 14% 1 — —
Ally Samatta F 90 8.50 1 — 1 18 13% 2 — —
Lucas Gourna-Douath M 45 6.50 — — — 23 15% 1 1 —
Sofiane Boufal M 11 6.90 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
Timothee Pembele D 11 6.50 — — — 5 3% 1 1 —
Metz Metz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.60 — — — 29 21% — — —
Urie-Michel Mboula D 45 7.00 — — — 22 18% — — —
Terry Yegbe D 90 5.70 — — — 32 30% — — —
Sadibou Sané D 90 6.60 — — — 46 40% 3 — —
Giorgi Tsitaishvili M 90 6.20 — — 1 33 26% 2 — —
Alpha Touré M 45 6.20 — — — 13 12% — — —
Jean-Philippe Gbamin M 18 6.20 — — — 4 3% — — —
Jessy Deminguet M 82 6.90 — — 1 38 37% 2 — —
Bouna Sarr M 90 6.60 — — 1 32 32% 5 — —
Giorgi Kvilitaia F 82 6.90 1 — 1 15 10% — 1 —
G. Hein F 90 9.30 2 1 3 58 52% 2 — —
Benjamin Stambouli M 45 7.20 — — — 34 30% — — —
Giorgi Abuashvili F 8 6.50 — — 1 2 2% — — —
Jahyann Pandore F 45 7.20 1 — 1 15 11% 1 — —
L. Michal F 8 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Nathan Mbala F 72 7.30 — 2 1 16 12% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Le Havre vs Metz?
The final score was Le Havre 4–4 Metz.
What did the model predict before Le Havre vs Metz?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Le Havre win, 23% to a draw, and 17% to an Metz win.