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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 17:15 Stade Océane, Le Havre
Le Havre
#16 · 1 pts
4 – 4
Final score
Metz
✗Model wrong — prediction Le Havre, result Draw
A. Samatta 5'
Y. Kechta 13'
Y. Zouaoui 52' (pen.)
F. Doucoure (ast. I. Soumare) 61'
9' (ast. G. Hein) G. Kvilitaia
(pen.) 45'+5 G. Hein
54' (ast. N. Mbala) J. Pandore
85' (ast. N. Mbala) G. Hein
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Le Havre a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Metz 17%). The final result was Le Havre 4–4 Metz. In 1 previous meetings, Le Havre have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Metz.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
5
2.33
Actual xG
1.50
1
Saves
1
47%
Possession
53%
6
Corners
4
26
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Samatta
5'
9'
ast. G. Hein · G. Kvilitaia⚽
⚽Y. Kechta
13'
18'
N. Mbala / J. Gbamin ↕
45'+5
(pen.) G. Hein⚽
46'
B. Stambouli / A. Toure ↕
↕ R. Ndiaye / L. Gourna-Douath
46'
46'
J. Pandore / U. Mboula ↕
47'
G. Kvilitaia
⚽Y. Zouaoui (pen.)
52'
54'
ast. N. Mbala · J. Pandore⚽
⚽F. Doucoure · ast. I. Soumare
61'
↕ F. Doucoure / G. Kyeremeh
69'
↕ Y. Zouaoui / T. Pembele
79'
↕ Y. Kechta / S. Boufal
79'
L. Gourna-Douath
80'
82'
G. Abuashvili / J. Deminguet ↕
82'
L. Michal / G. Kvilitaia ↕
85'
ast. N. Mbala · G. Hein⚽
S. Ebonog
90'+2
↕ S. Ebonog / D. N. Mosengo
90'+4
T. Pembele
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
58.68%
Le
23.9%
X ←
17.42%
Metz
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.9% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Le
1.66
2.33
+0.67
Metz
0.79
1.50
+0.71
Le Havre dominated by xG (2.33 vs 1.50). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 4 10
2 Rennes Rennes 4 10
3 Paris FC Paris FC 3 7
4 Lyon Lyon 3 7
5 Lille Lille 3 7
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3 5
8 Lorient Lorient 3 4
9 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 3 4
10 Lens Lens 3 3
11 Marseille Marseille 4 3
12 Angers Angers 3 3
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 2
14 Le Mans Le Mans 3 2
15 Nice Nice 3 2
16 Le Havre Le Havre 3 1
17 Toulouse Toulouse 3 1
18 Auxerre Auxerre 3 0
Lineups
Le Havre Le Havre 4-2-3-1
99 M. Diaw M. Diaw G 5.70
18 Yanis Zouaoui Yanis Zouaoui 1 ⚽ 79' D 6.90
4 G. Lloris G. Lloris D 6.70
15 A. Seko A. Seko D 6.20
7
Loic Négo D 6.20
26 S. Ebonog S. Ebonog 89' M 6.50
14 R. Ndiaye R. Ndiaye 45' M 7.20
45 I. Soumaré I. Soumaré 1 👟 M 6.20
8 Yassine Kechta Yassine Kechta 1 ⚽ 79' M 7.60
13 F. Doucouré F. Doucouré 1 ⚽ 69' M 7.20
25 M. Samatta M. Samatta 1 ⚽ F 8.50
Bench
10 Felix Mambimbi Felix Mambimbi F
19 L. Gourna-Douath L. Gourna-Douath 45' M 6.50
77 L. Mpasi L. Mpasi G
17 Sofiane Boufal Sofiane Boufal 11' M 6.90
32 T. Pembélé T. Pembélé 11' D 6.50
Metz Metz 3-5-2
61
G 5.60
4 U. Mboula U. Mboula 45' D 7.00
15 T. Yegbe T. Yegbe D 5.70
38 Sadibou Sané Sadibou Sané D 6.60
7 G. Tsitaishvili G. Tsitaishvili M 6.20
12 Alpha Touré Alpha Touré 45' M 6.20
5
J. Gbamin 18' M 6.20
20 J. Deminguet J. Deminguet 82' M 6.90
70 B. Sarr B. Sarr M 6.60
11
Giorgi Kvilitaia 1 ⚽ 82' F 6.90
10 G. Hein G. Hein 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.30
Bench
21 Benjamin Stambouli Benjamin Stambouli 45' M 7.20
9 G. Abuashvili G. Abuashvili 8' F 6.50
35 J. Pandore J. Pandore 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.20
39 K. Kouao K. Kouao D
19 L. Michal L. Michal 8' F 6.30
34 N. Mbala N. Mbala 2 👟 72' F 7.30
Best on the pitch
G. Hein
G. Hein
F · Metz
9.30
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 58 pass
M. Samatta
M. Samatta
F · Le
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 18 pass
Yassine Kechta
Yassine Kechta
M · Le
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 20 pass
N. Mbala
N. Mbala
F · Metz
7.30
2 👟
1 shots · 16 pass
J. Pandore
J. Pandore
F · Metz
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
R. Ndiaye
R. Ndiaye
M · Le
7.20
· 13 pass
Le Havre Le Havre — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Diaw G 90 5.70 — — — 29 24% — — —
Yanis Zouaoui D 79 6.90 1 — 2 32 28% 4 — —
G. Lloris D 90 6.70 — — — 61 55% 2 — —
A. Seko D 90 6.20 — — — 54 47% — — —
Loic Négo D 90 6.20 — — — 37 32% 4 — —
S. Ebonog M 89 6.50 — — — 13 12% 2 1 —
R. Ndiaye M 45 7.20 — — — 13 11% 3 — —
I. Soumaré M 90 6.20 — 1 1 18 11% 4 — —
Yassine Kechta M 79 7.60 1 — 2 20 15% 1 — —
F. Doucouré M 69 7.20 1 — 1 18 14% 1 — —
M. Samatta F 90 8.50 1 — 1 18 13% 2 — —
L. Gourna-Douath M 45 6.50 — — — 23 15% 1 1 —
Sofiane Boufal M 11 6.90 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
T. Pembélé D 11 6.50 — — — 5 3% 1 1 —
Metz Metz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.60 — — — 29 21% — — —
U. Mboula D 45 7.00 — — — 22 18% — — —
T. Yegbe D 90 5.70 — — — 32 30% — — —
Sadibou Sané D 90 6.60 — — — 46 40% 3 — —
G. Tsitaishvili M 90 6.20 — — 1 33 26% 2 — —
Alpha Touré M 45 6.20 — — — 13 12% — — —
J. Gbamin M 18 6.20 — — — 4 3% — — —
J. Deminguet M 82 6.90 — — 1 38 37% 2 — —
B. Sarr M 90 6.60 — — 1 32 32% 5 — —
Giorgi Kvilitaia F 82 6.90 1 — 1 15 10% — 1 —
G. Hein F 90 9.30 2 1 3 58 52% 2 — —
Benjamin Stambouli M 45 7.20 — — — 34 30% — — —
G. Abuashvili F 8 6.50 — — 1 2 2% — — —
J. Pandore F 45 7.20 1 — 1 15 11% 1 — —
L. Michal F 8 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
N. Mbala F 72 7.30 — 2 1 16 12% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Le Havre vs Metz?
The final score was Le Havre 4–4 Metz.
What did the model predict before Le Havre vs Metz?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Le Havre win, 23% to a draw, and 17% to an Metz win.