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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 17:15 Stade Océane, Le Havre
Le Havre
#18 · 2 pts
4 – 4
Final score
Metz
✗Model wrong — prediction Le Havre, result Draw
A. Samatta 5'
Y. Kechta 13'
Y. Zouaoui 52' (pen.)
F. Doucoure (ast. I. Soumare) 61'
9' (ast. G. Hein) G. Kvilitaia
(pen.) 45'+5 G. Hein
54' (ast. N. Mbala) J. Pandore
85' (ast. N. Mbala) G. Hein
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Le Havre a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Metz 17%). The final result was Le Havre 4–4 Metz. In 1 previous meetings, Le Havre have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Metz.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
5
2.33
Actual xG
1.50
1
Saves
1
47%
Possession
53%
6
Corners
4
26
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Samatta
5'
9'
ast. G. Hein · G. Kvilitaia⚽
⚽Y. Kechta
13'
18'
N. Mbala / J. Gbamin ↕
45'+5
(pen.) G. Hein⚽
46'
B. Stambouli / A. Toure ↕
↕ R. Ndiaye / L. Gourna-Douath
46'
46'
J. Pandore / U. Mboula ↕
47'
G. Kvilitaia
⚽Y. Zouaoui (pen.)
52'
54'
ast. N. Mbala · J. Pandore⚽
⚽F. Doucoure · ast. I. Soumare
61'
↕ F. Doucoure / G. Kyeremeh
69'
↕ Y. Zouaoui / T. Pembele
79'
↕ Y. Kechta / S. Boufal
79'
L. Gourna-Douath
80'
82'
G. Abuashvili / J. Deminguet ↕
82'
L. Michal / G. Kvilitaia ↕
85'
ast. N. Mbala · G. Hein⚽
S. Ebonog
90'+2
↕ S. Ebonog / D. N. Mosengo
90'+4
T. Pembele
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
58.68%
Le
23.9%
X ←
17.42%
Metz
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.9% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Le
1.66
2.33
+0.67
Metz
0.79
1.50
+0.71
Le Havre dominated by xG (2.33 vs 1.50). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 17
2 Rennes Rennes 8 16
3 Lille Lille 8 15
4 Monaco Monaco 8 15
5 Lyon Lyon 8 14
6 Paris FC Paris FC 8 14
7 Lens Lens 8 13
8 Marseille Marseille 8 12
9 Lorient Lorient 8 12
10 Nice Nice 8 11
11 Toulouse Toulouse 8 10
12 Auxerre Auxerre 8 10
13 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 9
14 Angers Angers 8 8
15 Le Mans Le Mans 8 7
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 7
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 5
18 Le Havre Le Havre 8 2
Lineups
Le Havre Le Havre 4-2-3-1
99 M. Diaw M. Diaw G 5.70
18 Y. Zouaoui Y. Zouaoui 1 ⚽ 79' D 6.90
4 G. Lloris G. Lloris D 6.70
15 A. Seko A. Seko D 6.20
7
L. Négo D 6.20
26 S. Ebonog S. Ebonog 89' M 6.50
14 R. Ndiaye R. Ndiaye 45' M 7.20
45 I. Soumaré I. Soumaré 1 👟 M 6.20
8 Y. Kechta Y. Kechta 1 ⚽ 79' M 7.60
13 F. Doucouré F. Doucouré 1 ⚽ 69' M 7.20
25 M. Samatta M. Samatta 1 ⚽ F 8.50
Bench
10 Felix Mambimbi Felix Mambimbi F
19 L. Gourna-Douath L. Gourna-Douath 45' M 6.50
77 L. Mpasi L. Mpasi G
17 Sofiane Boufal Sofiane Boufal 11' M 6.90
32 T. Pembélé T. Pembélé 11' D 6.50
Metz Metz 3-5-2
61
G 5.60
4 U. Mboula U. Mboula 45' D 7.00
15 T. Yegbe T. Yegbe D 5.70
38 Sadibou Sané Sadibou Sané D 6.60
7 G. Tsitaishvili G. Tsitaishvili M 6.20
12 A. Touré A. Touré 45' M 6.20
5
J. Gbamin 18' M 6.20
20 J. Deminguet J. Deminguet 82' M 6.90
70 B. Sarr B. Sarr M 6.60
11 G. Kvilitaia G. Kvilitaia 1 ⚽ 82' F 6.90
10 G. Hein G. Hein 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.30
Bench
21 Benjamin Stambouli Benjamin Stambouli 45' M 7.20
9 G. Abuashvili G. Abuashvili 8' F 6.50
35 J. Pandore J. Pandore 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.20
39 K. Kouao K. Kouao D
19 Lucas Michal Lucas Michal 8' F 6.30
34 N. Mbala N. Mbala 2 👟 72' F 7.30
Best on the pitch
G. Hein
G. Hein
F · Metz
9.30
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 58 pass
M. Samatta
M. Samatta
F · Le
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 18 pass
Y. Kechta
Y. Kechta
M · Le
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 20 pass
N. Mbala
N. Mbala
F · Metz
7.30
2 👟
1 shots · 16 pass
J. Pandore
J. Pandore
F · Metz
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
R. Ndiaye
R. Ndiaye
M · Le
7.20
· 13 pass
Le Havre Le Havre — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Diaw G 90 5.70 — — — 29 24% — — —
Y. Zouaoui D 79 6.90 1 — 2 32 28% 4 — —
G. Lloris D 90 6.70 — — — 61 55% 2 — —
A. Seko D 90 6.20 — — — 54 47% — — —
L. Négo D 90 6.20 — — — 37 32% 4 — —
S. Ebonog M 89 6.50 — — — 13 12% 2 1 —
R. Ndiaye M 45 7.20 — — — 13 11% 3 — —
I. Soumaré M 90 6.20 — 1 1 18 11% 4 — —
Y. Kechta M 79 7.60 1 — 2 20 15% 1 — —
F. Doucouré M 69 7.20 1 — 1 18 14% 1 — —
M. Samatta F 90 8.50 1 — 1 18 13% 2 — —
L. Gourna-Douath M 45 6.50 — — — 23 15% 1 1 —
Sofiane Boufal M 11 6.90 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
T. Pembélé D 11 6.50 — — — 5 3% 1 1 —
Metz Metz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.60 — — — 29 21% — — —
U. Mboula D 45 7.00 — — — 22 18% — — —
T. Yegbe D 90 5.70 — — — 32 30% — — —
Sadibou Sané D 90 6.60 — — — 46 40% 3 — —
G. Tsitaishvili M 90 6.20 — — 1 33 26% 2 — —
A. Touré M 45 6.20 — — — 13 12% — — —
J. Gbamin M 18 6.20 — — — 4 3% — — —
J. Deminguet M 82 6.90 — — 1 38 37% 2 — —
B. Sarr M 90 6.60 — — 1 32 32% 5 — —
G. Kvilitaia F 82 6.90 1 — 1 15 10% — 1 —
G. Hein F 90 9.30 2 1 3 58 52% 2 — —
Benjamin Stambouli M 45 7.20 — — — 34 30% — — —
G. Abuashvili F 8 6.50 — — 1 2 2% — — —
J. Pandore F 45 7.20 1 — 1 15 11% 1 — —
Lucas Michal F 8 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
N. Mbala F 72 7.30 — 2 1 16 12% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Le Havre vs Metz?
The final score was Le Havre 4–4 Metz.
What did the model predict before Le Havre vs Metz?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Le Havre win, 23% to a draw, and 17% to an Metz win.