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Le Mans - Lens

Ligue 1 September 13, 2026 17:15 MMArena, Le Mans
Le Mans
#14 · 2 pts
vs
Lens
#10 · 3 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 27.1°C 💨 9 km/h · Le Mans
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.25%
Win
Le Mans
31.16%
Draw
33.59%
Win
Lens
1.81
Expected xG
1.2

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.71%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 31%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 65%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Le Mans a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Lens. Expected goals are 1.8 for Le Mans and 1.2 for Lens (total 3.0), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.71% probability.

Season Stats

Le Mans
0W 2D 1L
Lens
6W 3D 6L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
2.0
2.0
Conceded
1.5
4.3
Shots OT
6.7
2.7
Corners
7.3
43%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
87%
67%
O 2.5
67%
100%
BTTS
60%
0%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Ligue 1. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
70%
O 3.5
80%
BTTS
Le Mans
0W 1D 0L · at home
Lens
3W 3D 4L · away
2.0
gls/g
2.0
2.0
Conceded
1.5
0%
Win %
30%
100%
Win or Draw
60%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
80%
100%
O 3.5
40%
100%
BTTS
60%
0%
Clean Sht
30%
0%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Le Mans Lens →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9% 5.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.9% 10.7% 6.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.9% 5.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% —
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Le Mans Le Mans
D Nice 1–1
L Rennes 3–2
D Stade Brestois 29 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
Lens Lens
L Lorient 0–1
L Strasbourg 2–1
W Auxerre 5–2
W Lyon 0–4
L Paris Saint Germain 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Le Mans Le Mans
Attack
43
Defence
51
Form
34
Lens Lens
Attack
39
Defence
43
Form
32
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Monaco Monaco 4 10
2 Rennes Rennes 4 10
3 Paris FC Paris FC 3 7
4 Lyon Lyon 3 7
5 Lille Lille 3 7
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3 5
8 Lorient Lorient 3 4
9 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 3 4
10 Lens Lens 3 3
11 Marseille Marseille 4 3
12 Angers Angers 3 3
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 2
14 Le Mans Le Mans 3 2
15 Nice Nice 3 2
16 Le Havre Le Havre 3 1
17 Toulouse Toulouse 3 1
18 Auxerre Auxerre 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Le Mans vs Lens?
The model gives Le Mans a 35% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 33% for an Lens win.
How many goals are expected in Le Mans vs Lens?
Expected goals: Le Mans 1.8, Lens 1.2 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Le Mans vs Lens?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.71%.