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Model wrong — prediction Le Mans, result Draw
S. Yohou (ast. A. Lauray) 36'
20' (ast. T. Leoni) M. Gbane
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Le Mans a 57% win probability (draw 21%, Reims 20%). The final result was Le Mans 1–1 Reims. In 2 previous meetings, Le Mans have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Reims.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
7
46%
Possession
54%
3
Corners
2
19
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
20'
ast. T. Leoni · M. Gbane
S. Yohou · ast. A. Lauray
36'
55'
S. Akieme
D. Gueye / A. Rabillard
64'
E. Quarshie / A. Bourabaa
65'
65'
Y. Benhattab / Zabi
65'
J. Patrick / T. Diarra
A. Lauray / M. Rossignol
79'
E. Colas / W. Harhouz
79'
83'
A. Tia / T. Leoni
84'
H. Sekine / M. Busi
84'
A. Bojang / M. Daramy
H. Voyer / I. Cossier
90'
Pre-match prediction
57.85%
Le
21.53%
X ←
20.61%
Reims
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 21.53% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Le
2.15
Reims
1.10
Lineups
Le Mans Le Mans 3-1-4-2
1
G 6.30
5
H. Voyer 89' D 7.00
17 S. Yohou S. Yohou 1 ⚽ D 7.70
31
N. Boisse D 6.70
29
M 6.90
22
L. Calodat M 6.90
6
E. Quarshie 65' M 6.30
8 A. Lauray A. Lauray 1 👟 79' M 6.90
18
M 7.20
25 D. Guèye D. Guèye 64' F 6.30
28
E. Colas 79' F 6.30
Bench
11
A. Bourabaa 25' F 6.70
9 A. Rabillard A. Rabillard 26' F 7.20
3
I. Cossier 1' D
Reims Reims 4-2-3-1
29
G 8.30
18 Sergio Akieme Sergio Akieme D 6.70
22
D 7.00
92 A. Koné A. Koné D 6.30
4
M. Busi 84' D 7.00
6 T. Leoni T. Leoni 1 👟 83' M 7.50
24 M. Gbane M. Gbane 1 ⚽ M 7.30
9
M. Daramy 84' M 6.90
86
Zabi 65' M 6.00
7
T. Diarra 65' M 6.50
17 Keito Nakamura Keito Nakamura F 6.50
Bench
27
Adama Bojang 13' F 6.70
87 A. Tia A. Tia 14' M 6.30
30
J. Patrick 25' M 6.30
28
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon D
90
Y. Benhattab 25' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
G · Reims
8.30
· 45 pass
S. Yohou
S. Yohou
D · Le
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 39 pass
T. Leoni
T. Leoni
M · Reims
7.50
1 👟
· 40 pass
M. Gbane
M. Gbane
M · Reims
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 50 pass
M · Le
7.20
1 shots · 35 pass
A. Rabillard
A. Rabillard
F · Le
7.20
1 shots · 11 pass
Le Mans Le Mans — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 38 27%
H. Voyer D 89 7.00 50 35% 2
S. Yohou D 90 7.70 1 1 39 34% 1
N. Boisse D 90 6.70 2 54 48% 1
M 90 6.90 1 38 30% 4
L. Calodat M 90 6.90 21 17% 1
E. Quarshie M 65 6.30 1 16 12% 2
A. Lauray M 79 6.90 1 34 26% 1
M 90 7.20 1 35 26% 3
D. Guèye F 64 6.30 2 15 10% 1
E. Colas F 79 6.30 2 10 7% 1
A. Bourabaa F 25 6.70 1 6 5%
A. Rabillard F 26 7.20 1 11 8% 2
I. Cossier D 1 6 4%
Reims Reims — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.30 45 30%
Sergio Akieme D 90 6.70 37 30% 3 1
D 90 7.00 60 51%
A. Koné D 90 6.30 66 56%
M. Busi D 84 7.00 49 45% 1
T. Leoni M 83 7.50 1 40 34% 1
M. Gbane M 90 7.30 1 1 50 41% 1
M. Daramy M 84 6.90 23 16%
Zabi M 65 6.00 1 16 14% 1
T. Diarra M 65 6.50 16 14%
Keito Nakamura F 90 6.50 2 27 20% 1
Adama Bojang F 13 6.70 3 2%
A. Tia M 14 6.30 4 1% 1
J. Patrick M 25 6.30 1 10 5%
Y. Benhattab F 25 6.50 14 10%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Le Mans vs Reims?
The final score was Le Mans 1–1 Reims.
What did the model predict before Le Mans vs Reims?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Le Mans win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an Reims win.