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Leamington - Gainsborough Trinity

FA Cup September 19, 2026 16:00
Leamington
vs
Gainsborough Trinity
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.82%
Win
Leamington
27.57%
Draw
29.61%
Win
Gainsborough Trinity
3.0
Expected xG
1.77

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.05%)
1X2 Result
1 43%
X 28%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 57%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 63%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Leamington a 42% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Gainsborough Trinity. Expected goals are 3.0 for Leamington and 1.8 for Gainsborough Trinity (total 4.8), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.05% probability.

Season Stats

Leamington
1W 0D 1L
Gainsborough Trinity
5W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
2.1
2.0
Conceded
1.3
—
Shots OT
2.0
—
Corners
3.0
—
Poss.
37%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
86%
50%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
Leamington
1W 0D 0L · at home
Gainsborough Trinity
4W 0D 0L · away
3.0
gls/g
2.8
1.0
Conceded
1.2
100%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Leamington Gainsborough Trinity →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 2.6% 4.5% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
2 3.8% 6.8% 6.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.8% 6.8% 6.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5%
4 2.9% 5.1% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
5 1.7% 3.1% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%

Recent form

Leamington Leamington
W Ilkeston Town 3–1
L Alvechurch 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity
W Sherwood Colliery 2–4
L Accrington ST 1–2
W Hartlepool 1–3
D Hartlepool 1–1
W Dunston UTS 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Leamington Leamington
Attack
53
Defence
59
Form
59
Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity
Attack
39
Defence
60
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Leamington vs Gainsborough Trinity?
The model gives Leamington a 42% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 29% for an Gainsborough Trinity win.
How many goals are expected in Leamington vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Expected goals: Leamington 3.0, Gainsborough Trinity 1.8 (total 4.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Leamington vs Gainsborough Trinity?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.05%.