Serie A
· Regular Season - 2
August 31, 2026 18:30
4'
D. Malen
23'
(ast. Wesley Franca)
D. Malen
25'
M. Soule
65'
(ast. G. Mancini)
R. Mora
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 41% win probability (draw 30%, Lecce 27%). The final result was Lecce 0–4 AS Roma. In 2 previous meetings, Lecce have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for AS Roma.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
8
0.74
Actual xG
3.25
4
Saves
2
35%
Possession
65%
2
Corners
1
16
Tackles
30
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
4'
D. Malen⚽
9'
D. Malen
23'
ast. Wesley Franca ·
D. Malen⚽
25'
M. Soule⚽
Tiago Gabriel
/ K. Ndri
46'
O. Gorter
/ Y. Maleh
46'
W. Geubbels
/ N. Stulic
54'
60'
N. Molina
/
Wesley Franca
60'
R. Mora
/
M. Soule
65'
ast. G. Mancini ·
R. Mora⚽
67'
N. Pisilli
/
M. Kone
67'
S. Castro
/
D. Malen
S. Pierotti
/ A. Fatah
72'
O. Ngom
/ I. Ilic
72'
84'
M. De Roon
/
P. Dybala
I. Ilic
90'
Pre-match prediction
27.99%
Lecce
30.08%
X
41.92%
AS ←
we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma)
41.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.10
0.74
-0.36
3.11
3.25
+0.14
AS Roma dominated by xG (3.25 vs 0.74).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
30
W. Falcone
G
W. Falcone
G
44
Tiago Gabriel
45'
D
Tiago Gabriel
45'
D
4
Kialonda Gaspar
D
Kialonda Gaspar
D
5
J. Siebert
D
J. Siebert
D
3
C. Ndaba
M
C. Ndaba
M
28
Olaf Gorter
45'
M
Olaf Gorter
45'
M
79
O. Ngom
72'
M
O. Ngom
72'
M
29
L. Coulibaly
M
L. Coulibaly
M
17
Danilo Veiga
M
Danilo Veiga
M
69
Willem Geubbels
54'
F
Willem Geubbels
54'
F
50
S. Pierotti
72'
F
S. Pierotti
72'
F
Bench
7
A. Ahmed Fatah
21'
F
A. Ahmed Fatah
21'
F
2
A. Dembélé
D
A. Dembélé
D
25
A. Gallo
D
A. Gallo
D
31
E. Scott
D
E. Scott
D
34
Hjalte Lærke
F
Hjalte Lærke
F
20
I. Ilić
21'
M
I. Ilić
21'
M
11
K. N’Dri
48'
F
K. N’Dri
48'
F
10
M. Berisha
M
M. Berisha
M
1
M. Bleve
G
M. Bleve
G
9
N. Štulić
39'
F
N. Štulić
39'
F
16
O. Gandelman
M
O. Gandelman
M
22
Paco Esteban
F
Paco Esteban
F
33
P. Penev
G
P. Penev
G
8
S. Fofana
M
S. Fofana
M
14
Y. Maleh
48'
M
Y. Maleh
48'
M
99
M. Svilar
G
M. Svilar
G
22
Hermoso
D
Hermoso
D
23
G. Mancini
1 👟
D
G. Mancini
1 👟
D
87
D. Ghilardi
D
D. Ghilardi
D
43
Wesley
1 👟
60'
M
Wesley
1 👟
60'
M
4
B. Cristante
M
B. Cristante
M
17
M. Koné
67'
M
M. Koné
67'
M
77
E. Lulli
M
E. Lulli
M
18
M. Soulé
1 ⚽
60'
F
M. Soulé
1 ⚽
60'
F
21
P. Dybala
84'
F
P. Dybala
84'
F
14
D. Malen
2 ⚽
67'
F
D. Malen
2 ⚽
67'
F
Bench
5
E. Ndicka
D
E. Ndicka
D
70
G. De Marzi
G
G. De Marzi
G
3
K. Koulierakis
D
K. Koulierakis
D
26
L. Balerdi
D
L. Balerdi
D
15
M. de Roon
9'
M
M. de Roon
9'
M
20
N. Molina
33'
D
N. Molina
33'
D
61
N. Pisilli
26'
M
N. Pisilli
26'
M
95
P. Gollini
G
P. Gollini
G
86
Rodrigo Mora
1 ⚽
33'
M
Rodrigo Mora
1 ⚽
33'
M
9
S. Castro
26'
F
S. Castro
26'
F
Best on the pitch
P. Dybala
F · AS
8.20
3 shots
· 73 pass
Hermoso
D · AS
8.20
· 91 pass
G. Mancini
D · AS
7.90
1 👟
· 67 pass
D. Malen
F · AS
7.50
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 17 pass
Wesley
M · AS
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 38 pass
D. Ghilardi
D · AS
7.30
· 59 pass
Lecce — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Falcone | G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Gabriel | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Kialonda Gaspar | D | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Siebert | D | 93 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Ndaba | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Olaf Gorter | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| O. Ngom | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Coulibaly | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Danilo Veiga | M | 93 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Willem Geubbels | F | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| S. Pierotti | F | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Ahmed Fatah | F | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| I. Ilić | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| K. N’Dri | F | 48 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Štulić | F | 39 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Y. Maleh | M | 48 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
AS Roma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Svilar | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Hermoso | D | 93 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 91 | 83% | 6 | — | — |
| G. Mancini | D | 93 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 67 | 64% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Ghilardi | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | 5 | — | — |
| Wesley | M | 60 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 38 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| B. Cristante | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 67 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Koné | M | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Lulli | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Soulé | F | 60 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 41 | 34% | — | — | — |
| P. Dybala | F | 84 | 8.20 | — | — | 3 | 73 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Malen | F | 67 | 7.50 | 2 | — | 5 | 17 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. de Roon | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Molina | D | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Pisilli | M | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mora | M | 33 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Castro | F | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lecce vs AS Roma?
The final score was Lecce 0–4 AS Roma.
What did the model predict before Lecce vs AS Roma?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Lecce win, 30% to a draw, and 41% to an AS Roma win.