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Serie A · Regular Season - 2 August 31, 2026 18:30
#14 · 3 pts
0 – 4
Final score
#2 · 9 pts
4' D. Malen
23' (ast. Wesley Franca) D. Malen
25' M. Soule
65' (ast. G. Mancini) R. Mora
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 41% win probability (draw 30%, Lecce 27%). The final result was Lecce 0–4 AS Roma. In 2 previous meetings, Lecce have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for AS Roma.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
8
0.74
Actual xG
3.25
4
Saves
2
35%
Possession
65%
2
Corners
1
16
Tackles
30
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
4'
D. Malen
9'
D. Malen
23'
ast. Wesley Franca · D. Malen
25'
M. Soule
Tiago Gabriel / K. Ndri
46'
O. Gorter / Y. Maleh
46'
W. Geubbels / N. Stulic
54'
60'
N. Molina / Wesley Franca
60'
R. Mora / M. Soule
65'
ast. G. Mancini · R. Mora
67'
N. Pisilli / M. Kone
67'
S. Castro / D. Malen
S. Pierotti / A. Fatah
72'
O. Ngom / I. Ilic
72'
84'
M. De Roon / P. Dybala
I. Ilic
90'
Pre-match prediction
27.99%
Lecce
30.08%
X
41.92%
AS ←
we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma) 41.92% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lecce
1.10
0.74
-0.36
AS
3.11
3.25
+0.14
AS Roma dominated by xG (3.25 vs 0.74). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 4 10
2 AS Roma AS Roma 3 9
3 Inter Inter 3 9
4 Cagliari Cagliari 4 9
5 AC Milan AC Milan 4 8
6 Como Como 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Frosinone Frosinone 4 7
9 Atalanta Atalanta 4 6
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 3 4
11 Udinese Udinese 3 4
12 Napoli Napoli 3 3
13 Torino Torino 3 3
14 Lecce Lecce 3 3
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 4 3
16 Bologna Bologna 3 1
17 Parma Parma 3 1
18 Monza Monza 3 1
19 Genoa Genoa 4 1
20 Venezia Venezia 4 0
Lineups
Lecce Lecce 3-5-2
30 W. Falcone W. Falcone G 6.30
44 Tiago Gabriel Tiago Gabriel 45' D 6.30
4 Kialonda Gaspar Kialonda Gaspar D 5.90
5 J. Siebert J. Siebert D 6.00
3 C. Ndaba C. Ndaba M 6.30
28 Olaf Gorter Olaf Gorter 45' M 6.20
79 O. Ngom O. Ngom 72' M 6.30
29 L. Coulibaly L. Coulibaly M 7.30
17 Danilo Veiga Danilo Veiga M 5.60
69 Willem Geubbels Willem Geubbels 54' F 6.30
50 S. Pierotti S. Pierotti 72' F 6.50
Bench
7 A. Ahmed Fatah A. Ahmed Fatah 21' F 6.60
2 A. Dembélé A. Dembélé D
25 A. Gallo A. Gallo D
31 E. Scott E. Scott D
34 Hjalte Lærke Hjalte Lærke F
20 I. Ilić I. Ilić 21' M 6.30
11 K. N’Dri K. N’Dri 48' F 6.20
10 M. Berisha M. Berisha M
1 M. Bleve M. Bleve G
9 N. Štulić N. Štulić 39' F 6.50
16 O. Gandelman O. Gandelman M
22 Paco Esteban Paco Esteban F
33 P. Penev P. Penev G
8 S. Fofana S. Fofana M
14 Y. Maleh Y. Maleh 48' M 6.30
AS Roma AS Roma 3-4-2-1
99 M. Svilar M. Svilar G 6.90
22 Hermoso Hermoso D 8.20
23 G. Mancini G. Mancini 1 👟 D 7.90
87 D. Ghilardi D. Ghilardi D 7.30
43 Wesley Wesley 1 👟 60' M 7.30
4 B. Cristante B. Cristante M 6.90
17 M. Koné M. Koné 67' M 7.00
77 E. Lulli E. Lulli M 6.90
18 M. Soulé M. Soulé 1 ⚽ 60' F 6.90
21 P. Dybala P. Dybala 84' F 8.20
14 D. Malen D. Malen 2 ⚽ 67' F 7.50
Bench
5 E. Ndicka E. Ndicka D
70 G. De Marzi G. De Marzi G
3 K. Koulierakis K. Koulierakis D
26 L. Balerdi L. Balerdi D
15 M. de Roon M. de Roon 9' M 6.30
20 N. Molina N. Molina 33' D 6.90
61 N. Pisilli N. Pisilli 26' M 6.60
95 P. Gollini P. Gollini G
86 Rodrigo Mora Rodrigo Mora 1 ⚽ 33' M 7.30
9 S. Castro S. Castro 26' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
P. Dybala
P. Dybala
F · AS
8.20
3 shots · 73 pass
Hermoso
Hermoso
D · AS
8.20
· 91 pass
G. Mancini
G. Mancini
D · AS
7.90
1 👟
· 67 pass
D. Malen
D. Malen
F · AS
7.50
2 ⚽
5 shots · 17 pass
Wesley
Wesley
M · AS
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 38 pass
D. Ghilardi
D. Ghilardi
D · AS
7.30
· 59 pass
Lecce Lecce — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
W. Falcone G 93 6.30 30 10%
Tiago Gabriel D 45 6.30 12 11% 2
Kialonda Gaspar D 93 5.90 1 43 36% 4
J. Siebert D 93 6.00 28 20% 3
C. Ndaba M 93 6.30 29 25% 1
Olaf Gorter M 45 6.20 12 8%
O. Ngom M 72 6.30 36 31% 1
L. Coulibaly M 93 7.30 40 34%
Danilo Veiga M 93 5.60 31 24% 1
Willem Geubbels F 54 6.30 2 9 7%
S. Pierotti F 72 6.50 1 26 21% 3
A. Ahmed Fatah F 21 6.60 3 2%
I. Ilić M 21 6.30 16 16% 1
K. N’Dri F 48 6.20 2 11 4% 1
N. Štulić F 39 6.50 10 9%
Y. Maleh M 48 6.30 1 22 18%
AS Roma AS Roma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Svilar G 93 6.90 34 28%
Hermoso D 93 8.20 91 83% 6
G. Mancini D 93 7.90 1 67 64% 2
D. Ghilardi D 93 7.30 59 52% 5
Wesley M 60 7.30 1 1 38 30% 4
B. Cristante M 93 6.90 67 59% 2
M. Koné M 67 7.00 55 50% 1
E. Lulli M 93 6.90 50 44% 2
M. Soulé F 60 6.90 1 4 41 34%
P. Dybala F 84 8.20 3 73 63% 1
D. Malen F 67 7.50 2 5 17 13% 1 1
M. de Roon M 9 6.30 7 5% 1
N. Molina D 33 6.90 22 20% 2
N. Pisilli M 26 6.60 24 23% 1
Rodrigo Mora M 33 7.30 1 1 20 16% 1
S. Castro F 26 6.20 1 3 3% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lecce vs AS Roma?
The final score was Lecce 0–4 AS Roma.
What did the model predict before Lecce vs AS Roma?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Lecce win, 30% to a draw, and 41% to an AS Roma win.