← Serie A
Serie A · Regular Season - 31 April 06, 2026 17:00
Lecce
#17 · 32 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Atalanta
#7 · 58 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Atalanta
29' (ast. C. De Ketelaere) G. Scalvini
59' (ast. C. De Ketelaere) N. Krstovic
73' (ast. M. Pasalic) G. Raspadori

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 51% win probability (draw 25%, Lecce 22%). The final result was Lecce 0–3 Atalanta. In 1 previous meetings, Lecce have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atalanta.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
12
0
Shots on target
6
0.33
Actual xG
2.20
3
Saves
0
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
5
13
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
29'
ast. C. De Ketelaere · G. Scalvini⚽
↕ S. Fofana / O. Gandelman
46'
47'
B. Djimsiti
59'
ast. C. De Ketelaere · N. Krstovic⚽
63'
G. Raspadori / N. Zalewski ↕
63'
M. Pasalic / M. De Roon ↕
↕ D. Veiga / K. Ndri
67'
↕ Y. Ramadani / L. Coulibaly
68'
70'
D. Zappacosta
70'
R. Bellanova / D. Zappacosta ↕
70'
O. Kossounou / B. Djimsiti ↕
73'
ast. M. Pasalic · G. Raspadori⚽
↕ W. Cheddira / N. Stulic
78'
80'
K. Sulemana / N. Krstovic ↕
Pre-match prediction
22.66%
Lecce
25.67%
X
51.67%
Atalanta ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atalanta) 51.67% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lecce
0.85
0.33
-0.52
Atalanta
1.54
2.20
+0.66
Atalanta dominated by xG (2.20 vs 0.33). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Inter Inter 36 85
2 Napoli Napoli 36 70
3 Juventus Juventus 36 68
4 AC Milan AC Milan 36 67
5 AS Roma AS Roma 36 67
6 Como Como 36 65
7 Atalanta Atalanta 36 58
8 Bologna Bologna 36 52
9 Lazio Lazio 36 51
10 Udinese Udinese 36 50
11 Sassuolo Sassuolo 36 49
12 Torino Torino 36 44
13 Parma Parma 36 42
14 Genoa Genoa 36 41
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 36 38
16 Cagliari Cagliari 36 37
17 Lecce Lecce 36 32
18 Cremonese Cremonese 36 31
19 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 36 20
20 Pisa Pisa 36 18
Lineups
Lecce Lecce 4-2-3-1
30
G 6.90
3 Corrie Ndaba Corrie Ndaba D 6.30
44 Tiago Gabriel Tiago Gabriel D 6.50
5 Jamil Siebert Jamil Siebert D 6.20
17 Danilo Veiga Danilo Veiga 67' D 6.70
79 Oumar Ngom Oumar Ngom M 6.50
20 Y. Ramadani Y. Ramadani 68' M 7.00
19 Lameck Banda Lameck Banda M 6.90
8
S. Fofana 45' M 6.50
50 Santiago Pierotti Santiago Pierotti M 6.90
99 Walid Cheddira Walid Cheddira 78' F 6.70
Bench
29 Lassana Coulibaly Lassana Coulibaly 22' M 6.90
11 N'Dri Konan N'Dri Konan 23' F 6.30
9 Nikola Štulić Nikola Štulić 12' F 6.30
16 Omri Gandelman Omri Gandelman 45' M 6.70
Atalanta Atalanta 3-4-2-1
29 Marco Carnesecchi Marco Carnesecchi G 6.70
23 Sead Kolašinac Sead Kolašinac D 6.50
19
B. Djimsiti 70' D 7.20
42 Giorgio Scalvini Giorgio Scalvini 1 ⚽ D 8.70
47
L. Bernasconi M 6.90
13 Éderson Éderson M 6.60
15 Marten de Roon Marten de Roon 63' M 6.90
77 Davide Zappacosta Davide Zappacosta 70' M 6.60
59 Nicola Zalewski Nicola Zalewski 63' F 6.90
17 C. De Ketelaere C. De Ketelaere 2 👟 F 8.00
90 N. Krstović N. Krstović 1 ⚽ 80' F 6.20
Bench
18 Giacomo Raspadori Giacomo Raspadori 1 ⚽ 27' F 7.30
10 Lazar Samardžić Lazar Samardžić M
8 M. Pašalić M. Pašalić 1 👟 27' M 7.20
16 Raoul Bellanova Raoul Bellanova 20' D 7.00
Best on the pitch
Giorgio Scalvini
Giorgio Scalvini
D · Atalanta
8.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 51 pass
C. De Ketelaere
C. De Ketelaere
F · Atalanta
8.00
2 👟
2 shots · 47 pass
Giacomo Raspadori
Giacomo Raspadori
F · Atalanta
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
M. Pašalić
M. Pašalić
M · Atalanta
7.20
1 👟
· 14 pass
B. Djimsiti
D · Atalanta
7.20
· 37 pass
Raoul Bellanova
Raoul Bellanova
D · Atalanta
7.00
· 8 pass
Lecce Lecce — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 28 19% — — —
Corrie Ndaba D 90 6.30 — — — 37 33% — — —
Tiago Gabriel D 90 6.50 — — — 29 23% 1 — —
Jamil Siebert D 90 6.20 — — 1 21 19% 1 — —
Danilo Veiga D 67 6.70 — — — 17 10% 1 — —
Oumar Ngom M 90 6.50 — — — 36 34% 2 — —
Y. Ramadani M 68 7.00 — — 1 31 28% 2 — —
Lameck Banda M 90 6.90 — — 1 24 18% 1 — —
S. Fofana M 45 6.50 — — 1 16 6% 2 — —
Santiago Pierotti M 90 6.90 — — 1 30 24% 3 — —
Walid Cheddira F 78 6.70 — — — 15 13% — — —
Lassana Coulibaly M 22 6.90 — — — 16 16% — — —
N'Dri Konan F 23 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
Nikola Štulić F 12 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Omri Gandelman M 45 6.70 — — 1 14 13% — — —
Atalanta Atalanta — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Marco Carnesecchi G 90 6.70 — — — 24 13% — — —
Sead Kolašinac D 90 6.50 — — — 52 41% 2 — —
B. Djimsiti D 70 7.20 — — — 37 36% 2 1 —
Giorgio Scalvini D 90 8.70 1 — 1 51 48% 2 — —
L. Bernasconi M 90 6.90 — — — 38 31% 1 — —
Éderson M 90 6.60 — — 2 46 43% 3 — —
Marten de Roon M 63 6.90 — — — 45 33% 1 — —
Davide Zappacosta M 70 6.60 — — — 18 13% — 1 —
Nicola Zalewski F 63 6.90 — — — 29 20% 1 — —
C. De Ketelaere F 90 8.00 — 2 2 47 41% — — —
N. Krstović F 80 6.20 1 — 5 27 22% 1 — —
Giacomo Raspadori F 27 7.30 1 — 2 12 9% — — —
M. Pašalić M 27 7.20 — 1 — 14 9% — — —
Raoul Bellanova D 20 7.00 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lecce vs Atalanta?
The final score was Lecce 0–3 Atalanta.
What did the model predict before Lecce vs Atalanta?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Lecce win, 25% to a draw, and 51% to an Atalanta win.