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Serie A · Regular Season - 31 April 06, 2026 15:00
Lecce
#12 · 6 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Atalanta
#11 · 6 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Atalanta
29' (ast. C. De Ketelaere) G. Scalvini
59' (ast. C. De Ketelaere) N. Krstovic
73' (ast. M. Pasalic) G. Raspadori
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 51% win probability (draw 25%, Lecce 22%). The final result was Lecce 0–3 Atalanta. In 1 previous meetings, Lecce have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atalanta.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
12
0
Shots on target
6
0.33
Actual xG
2.20
3
Saves
0
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
5
13
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
29'
ast. C. De Ketelaere · G. Scalvini⚽
↕ S. Fofana / O. Gandelman
46'
47'
B. Djimsiti
59'
ast. C. De Ketelaere · N. Krstovic⚽
63'
G. Raspadori / N. Zalewski ↕
63'
M. Pasalic / M. De Roon ↕
↕ D. Veiga / K. Ndri
67'
↕ Y. Ramadani / L. Coulibaly
68'
70'
D. Zappacosta
70'
R. Bellanova / D. Zappacosta ↕
70'
O. Kossounou / B. Djimsiti ↕
73'
ast. M. Pasalic · G. Raspadori⚽
↕ W. Cheddira / N. Stulic
78'
80'
K. Sulemana / N. Krstovic ↕
Pre-match prediction
22.66%
Lecce
25.67%
X
51.67%
Atalanta ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atalanta) 51.67% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lecce
0.85
0.33
-0.52
Atalanta
1.54
2.20
+0.66
Atalanta dominated by xG (2.20 vs 0.33). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AS Roma AS Roma 5 13
2 Inter Inter 5 13
3 Lazio Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Cagliari 5 12
5 AC Milan AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Frosinone 5 10
7 Juventus Juventus 5 10
8 Como Como 5 10
9 Napoli Napoli 5 7
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 5 7
11 Atalanta Atalanta 5 6
12 Lecce Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Udinese 5 4
14 Torino Torino 5 4
15 Parma Parma 5 4
16 Monza Monza 5 4
17 Fiorentina Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna Bologna 5 2
19 Genoa Genoa 5 1
20 Venezia Venezia 5 0
Lineups
Lecce Lecce 4-2-3-1
30
G 6.90
3 Corrie Ndaba Corrie Ndaba D 6.30
44 Tiago Gabriel Tiago Gabriel D 6.50
5 Jamil Siebert Jamil Siebert D 6.20
17 Danilo Veiga Danilo Veiga 67' D 6.70
79 Oumar Ngom Oumar Ngom M 6.50
20 Y. Ramadani Y. Ramadani 68' M 7.00
19 L. Banda L. Banda M 6.90
8 S. Fofana S. Fofana 45' M 6.50
50 Santiago Pierotti Santiago Pierotti M 6.90
99 W. Cheddira W. Cheddira 78' F 6.70
Bench
11 Konan N'Dri Konan N'Dri 23' F 6.30
29 L. Coulibaly L. Coulibaly 22' M 6.90
9 Nikola Štulić Nikola Štulić 12' F 6.30
16 O. Gandelman O. Gandelman 45' M 6.70
Atalanta Atalanta 3-4-2-1
29 M. Carnesecchi M. Carnesecchi G 6.70
23 S. Kolašinac S. Kolašinac D 6.50
19 B. Djimsiti B. Djimsiti 70' D 7.20
42 G. Scalvini G. Scalvini 1 ⚽ D 8.70
47 Lorenzo Bernasconi Lorenzo Bernasconi M 6.90
13 Éderson Éderson M 6.60
15 Marten de Roon Marten de Roon 63' M 6.90
77 Davide Zappacosta Davide Zappacosta 70' M 6.60
59 N. Zalewski N. Zalewski 63' F 6.90
17 C. De Ketelaere C. De Ketelaere 2 👟 F 8.00
90 N. Krstović N. Krstović 1 ⚽ 80' F 6.20
Bench
18 G. Raspadori G. Raspadori 1 ⚽ 27' F 7.30
10 L. Samardžić L. Samardžić M
8 Mario Pasalic Mario Pasalic 1 👟 27' M 7.20
16 Raoul Bellanova Raoul Bellanova 20' D 7.00
Best on the pitch
G. Scalvini
G. Scalvini
D · Atalanta
8.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 51 pass
C. De Ketelaere
C. De Ketelaere
F · Atalanta
8.00
2 👟
2 shots · 47 pass
G. Raspadori
G. Raspadori
F · Atalanta
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
Mario Pasalic
Mario Pasalic
M · Atalanta
7.20
1 👟
· 14 pass
B. Djimsiti
B. Djimsiti
D · Atalanta
7.20
· 37 pass
Raoul Bellanova
Raoul Bellanova
D · Atalanta
7.00
· 8 pass
Lecce Lecce — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 28 19% — — —
Corrie Ndaba D 90 6.30 — — — 37 33% — — —
Tiago Gabriel D 90 6.50 — — — 29 23% 1 — —
Jamil Siebert D 90 6.20 — — 1 21 19% 1 — —
Danilo Veiga D 67 6.70 — — — 17 10% 1 — —
Oumar Ngom M 90 6.50 — — — 36 34% 2 — —
Y. Ramadani M 68 7.00 — — 1 31 28% 2 — —
L. Banda M 90 6.90 — — 1 24 18% 1 — —
S. Fofana M 45 6.50 — — 1 16 6% 2 — —
Santiago Pierotti M 90 6.90 — — 1 30 24% 3 — —
W. Cheddira F 78 6.70 — — — 15 13% — — —
Konan N'Dri F 23 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
L. Coulibaly M 22 6.90 — — — 16 16% — — —
Nikola Štulić F 12 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
O. Gandelman M 45 6.70 — — 1 14 13% — — —
Atalanta Atalanta — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Carnesecchi G 90 6.70 — — — 24 13% — — —
S. Kolašinac D 90 6.50 — — — 52 41% 2 — —
B. Djimsiti D 70 7.20 — — — 37 36% 2 1 —
G. Scalvini D 90 8.70 1 — 1 51 48% 2 — —
Lorenzo Bernasconi M 90 6.90 — — — 38 31% 1 — —
Éderson M 90 6.60 — — 2 46 43% 3 — —
Marten de Roon M 63 6.90 — — — 45 33% 1 — —
Davide Zappacosta M 70 6.60 — — — 18 13% — 1 —
N. Zalewski F 63 6.90 — — — 29 20% 1 — —
C. De Ketelaere F 90 8.00 — 2 2 47 41% — — —
N. Krstović F 80 6.20 1 — 5 27 22% 1 — —
G. Raspadori F 27 7.30 1 — 2 12 9% — — —
Mario Pasalic M 27 7.20 — 1 — 14 9% — — —
Raoul Bellanova D 20 7.00 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lecce vs Atalanta?
The final score was Lecce 0–3 Atalanta.
What did the model predict before Lecce vs Atalanta?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Lecce win, 25% to a draw, and 51% to an Atalanta win.