Serie A
· Regular Season - 31
April 06, 2026 15:00
✓Model correct — prediction Atalanta
29'
(ast. C. De Ketelaere)
G. Scalvini
59'
(ast. C. De Ketelaere)
N. Krstovic
73'
(ast. M. Pasalic)
G. Raspadori
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 51% win probability (draw 25%, Lecce 22%). The final result was Lecce 0–3 Atalanta. In 1 previous meetings, Lecce have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atalanta.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
12
0
Shots on target
6
0.33
Actual xG
2.20
3
Saves
0
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
5
13
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
29'
ast. C. De Ketelaere ·
G. Scalvini⚽
S. Fofana
/ O. Gandelman
46'
47'
B. Djimsiti
59'
ast. C. De Ketelaere ·
N. Krstovic⚽
63'
G. Raspadori
/
N. Zalewski
63'
M. Pasalic
/
M. De Roon
D. Veiga
/ K. Ndri
67'
Y. Ramadani
/ L. Coulibaly
68'
70'
D. Zappacosta
70'
R. Bellanova
/
D. Zappacosta
70'
O. Kossounou
/
B. Djimsiti
73'
ast. M. Pasalic ·
G. Raspadori⚽
W. Cheddira
/ N. Stulic
78'
80'
K. Sulemana
/
N. Krstovic
Pre-match prediction
22.66%
Lecce
25.67%
X
51.67%
Atalanta ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Atalanta)
51.67%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.85
0.33
-0.52
1.54
2.20
+0.66
Atalanta dominated by xG (2.20 vs 0.33).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
G
3
Corrie Ndaba
D
Corrie Ndaba
D
44
Tiago Gabriel
D
Tiago Gabriel
D
5
J. Siebert
D
J. Siebert
D
17
Danilo Veiga
67'
D
Danilo Veiga
67'
D
79
Oumar Ngom
M
Oumar Ngom
M
20
Ylber Ramadani
68'
M
19
L. Banda
M
L. Banda
M
8
Sadik Fofana
45'
M
Sadik Fofana
45'
M
50
Santiago Pierotti
M
Santiago Pierotti
M
99
Walid Cheddira
78'
F
Walid Cheddira
78'
F
Bench
29
Lassana Coulibaly
22'
M
Lassana Coulibaly
22'
M
11
N'Dri Konan
23'
F
9
Nikola Štulić
12'
F
Nikola Štulić
12'
F
16
Omri Gandelman
45'
M
Omri Gandelman
45'
M
29
Marco Carnesecchi
G
Marco Carnesecchi
G
23
Sead Kolašinac
D
Sead Kolašinac
D
19
Berat Djimsiti
70'
D
42
Giorgio Scalvini
1 ⚽
D
Giorgio Scalvini
1 ⚽
D
47
L. Bernasconi
M
13
Éderson
M
Éderson
M
15
M. de Roon
63'
M
M. de Roon
63'
M
77
Davide Zappacosta
70'
M
Davide Zappacosta
70'
M
59
Nicola Zalewski
63'
F
17
Charles De Ketelaere
2 👟
F
Charles De Ketelaere
2 👟
F
90
N. Krstović
1 ⚽
80'
F
N. Krstović
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
18
Giacomo Raspadori
1 ⚽
27'
F
Giacomo Raspadori
1 ⚽
27'
F
10
Lazar Samardžić
M
Lazar Samardžić
M
8
Mario Pašalić
1 👟
27'
M
Mario Pašalić
1 👟
27'
M
16
Raoul Bellanova
20'
D
Raoul Bellanova
20'
D
Best on the pitch
Giorgio Scalvini
D · Atalanta
8.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 51 pass
Charles De Ketelaere
F · Atalanta
8.00
2 👟
2 shots
· 47 pass
Giacomo Raspadori
F · Atalanta
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
Mario Pašalić
M · Atalanta
7.20
1 👟
· 14 pass
Berat Djimsiti
D · Atalanta
7.20
· 37 pass
Raoul Bellanova
D · Atalanta
7.00
· 8 pass
Lecce — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Corrie Ndaba | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Gabriel | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Siebert | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Danilo Veiga | D | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Oumar Ngom | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Ylber Ramadani | M | 68 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Banda | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Sadik Fofana | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Santiago Pierotti | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Walid Cheddira | F | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Lassana Coulibaly | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| N'Dri Konan | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Nikola Štulić | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Omri Gandelman | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
Atalanta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Carnesecchi | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Sead Kolašinac | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Berat Djimsiti | D | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 36% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Giorgio Scalvini | D | 90 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 51 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Bernasconi | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Éderson | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| M. de Roon | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Davide Zappacosta | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Nicola Zalewski | F | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Charles De Ketelaere | F | 90 | 8.00 | — | 2 | 2 | 47 | 41% | — | — | — |
| N. Krstović | F | 80 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 5 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Giacomo Raspadori | F | 27 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Mario Pašalić | M | 27 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Raoul Bellanova | D | 20 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lecce vs Atalanta?
The final score was Lecce 0–3 Atalanta.
What did the model predict before Lecce vs Atalanta?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Lecce win, 25% to a draw, and 51% to an Atalanta win.