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Serie A · Regular Season - 6 October 11, 2026 15:00 Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce
Lecce
#12 · 9 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Bologna
#13 · 8 pts
Amar Fatah (ast. Danilo Veiga) 64'
17' (ast. Nicolo Cambiaghi) Riccardo Orsolini
75' (ast. Nicolo Cambiaghi) Jay Enem
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bologna a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Lecce 29%). The final result was Lecce 1–2 Bologna. In 2 previous meetings, Lecce have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Bologna.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
5
1.01
Actual xG
1.55
3
Saves
4
57%
Possession
43%
10
Corners
3
12
Tackles
23
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Ivan Ilić
10'
17'
ast. Nicolo Cambiaghi · Riccardo Orsolini⚽
Paco Esteban
31'
↕ Ivan Ilić / Oumar Ngom
36'
44'
Torbjørn Heggem
Youssef Maleh
45'+2
55'
Eivind Helland / Torbjørn Heggem ↕
↕ Paco Esteban / Willem Geubbels
62'
62'
Jay Enem / Roberto Piccoli ↕
↕ Santiago Pierotti / Konan N'Dri
62'
62'
Oussama El Azzouzi / Tommaso Pobega ↕
⚽Amar Fatah · ast. Danilo Veiga
64'
75'
ast. Nicolo Cambiaghi · Jay Enem⚽
↕ Amar Fatah / Joel Almada Monteiro
79'
↕ Youssef Maleh / Omri Gandelman
79'
81'
Federico Bernardeschi / Nicolo Cambiaghi ↕
81'
Rahim Alhassane / Juan Miranda ↕
90'+4
Oussama El Azzouzi
Pre-match prediction
29.74%
Lecce
32.55%
X
37.71%
Bologna ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bologna) 37.71% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lecce
0.64
1.01
+0.37
Bologna
0.98
1.55
+0.57
Bologna dominated by xG (1.55 vs 1.01). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Lineups
Lecce Lecce 4-3-3
30 W. Falcone W. Falcone G 6.83
25 A. Gallo A. Gallo D 7.00
44 Tiago Gabriel Tiago Gabriel D 6.77
5 J. Siebert J. Siebert D 6.53
17 Danilo Veiga Danilo Veiga 1 👟 D 7.13
14 Y. Maleh Y. Maleh 79' M 5.81
20 I. Ilić I. Ilić 36' M 5.72
29 L. Coulibaly L. Coulibaly M 6.38
7 A. Ahmed Fatah A. Ahmed Fatah 1 ⚽ 79' F 8.20
22 Paco Esteban Paco Esteban 62' F 5.99
50 S. Pierotti S. Pierotti 62' F 6.20
Bench
32 A. Borbei A. Borbei G 0.00
2 A. Dembélé A. Dembélé D 0.00
3 C. Ndaba C. Ndaba D 0.00
18 G. Jean G. Jean D 0.00
99 Joël Monteiro Joël Monteiro 11' F 6.45
4 Kialonda Gaspar Kialonda Gaspar D 0.00
11 K. N’Dri K. N’Dri 28' F 6.67
1 M. Bleve M. Bleve G 0.00
77 M. Kaba M. Kaba M 0.00
16 O. Gandelman O. Gandelman 11' M 6.38
28 Olaf Gorter Olaf Gorter M 0.00
79 O. Ngom O. Ngom 54' M 6.89
8 S. Fofana S. Fofana M 0.00
69 W. Geubbels W. Geubbels 28' F 6.09
Bologna Bologna 3-4-2-1
25 M. Pessina M. Pessina G 6.25
14 T. Heggem T. Heggem 55' D 6.41
16 N. Casale N. Casale D 6.76
36 M. Darmian M. Darmian D 6.88
33 Juan Miranda Juan Miranda 81' M 6.09
4 T. Pobega T. Pobega 62' M 6.27
19 L. Ferguson L. Ferguson M 6.62
20 N. Zortea N. Zortea M 6.59
28 N. Cambiaghi N. Cambiaghi 2 👟 81' M 8.28
7 R. Orsolini R. Orsolini 1 ⚽ M 7.41
91 R. Piccoli R. Piccoli 62' F 6.35
Bench
9 A. Dovbyk A. Dovbyk F 0.00
5 E. Helland E. Helland 35' D 6.55
10 F. Bernardeschi F. Bernardeschi 9' F 6.67
22 J. Enem J. Enem 1 ⚽ 28' F 7.45
29 L. De Silvestri L. De Silvestri D 0.00
1 Ł. Skorupski Ł. Skorupski G 0.00
8 M. Amondarain M. Amondarain M 0.00
18 M. Libra M. Libra M 0.00
41 M. Vitík M. Vitík D 0.00
6 N. Moro N. Moro M 0.00
17 O. El Azzouzi O. El Azzouzi 28' M 5.99
23 R. Alhassane R. Alhassane 9' D 6.36
72 U. Happonen U. Happonen G 0.00
Best on the pitch
N. Cambiaghi
N. Cambiaghi
M · Bologna
8.28
2 👟
1 shots · 18 pass
A. Ahmed Fatah
A. Ahmed Fatah
F · Lecce
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 18 pass
J. Enem
J. Enem
F · Bologna
7.45
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
R. Orsolini
R. Orsolini
M · Bologna
7.41
1 ⚽
1 shots · 24 pass
Danilo Veiga
Danilo Veiga
D · Lecce
7.13
1 👟
· 33 pass
A. Gallo
A. Gallo
D · Lecce
7.00
· 56 pass
Lecce Lecce — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
W. Falcone G 90 6.83 — — 0 28 21% 1 — —
A. Gallo D 90 7.00 — — 0 56 45% 0 — —
Tiago Gabriel D 90 6.77 — — 1 50 49% 2 — —
J. Siebert D 90 6.53 — — 1 35 33% 2 — —
Danilo Veiga D 90 7.13 — 1 0 33 23% 3 — —
Y. Maleh M 79 5.81 — — 1 24 19% 0 1 —
I. Ilić M 36 5.72 — — 0 35 27% 0 1 —
L. Coulibaly M 90 6.38 — — 3 31 25% 1 — —
A. Ahmed Fatah F 79 8.20 1 — 1 18 17% 1 — —
Paco Esteban F 62 5.99 — — 1 9 7% 0 1 —
S. Pierotti F 62 6.20 — — 0 20 17% 0 — —
Joël Monteiro F 11 6.45 — — 1 4 3% 0 — —
K. N’Dri F 28 6.67 — — 3 11 7% 0 — —
O. Gandelman M 11 6.38 — — 2 3 1% 1 — —
O. Ngom M 54 6.89 — — 2 44 40% 0 — —
W. Geubbels F 28 6.09 — — 3 7 6% 1 — —
Bologna Bologna — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Pessina G 90 6.25 — — 0 29 15% 0 — —
T. Heggem D 55 6.41 — — 0 29 25% 0 1 —
N. Casale D 90 6.76 — — 0 28 23% 2 — —
M. Darmian D 90 6.88 — — 1 24 18% 1 — —
Juan Miranda M 81 6.09 — — 2 29 23% 2 — —
T. Pobega M 62 6.27 — — 1 28 22% 3 — —
L. Ferguson M 90 6.62 — — 0 37 34% 3 — —
N. Zortea M 90 6.59 — — 2 19 16% 4 — —
N. Cambiaghi M 81 8.28 — 2 1 18 16% 1 — —
R. Orsolini M 90 7.41 1 — 1 24 18% 1 — —
R. Piccoli F 62 6.35 — — 0 15 10% 0 — —
E. Helland D 35 6.55 — — 0 14 11% 1 — —
F. Bernardeschi F 9 6.67 — — 0 0 0% 2 — —
J. Enem F 28 7.45 1 — 1 6 5% 0 — —
O. El Azzouzi M 28 5.99 — — 1 13 11% 2 1 —
R. Alhassane D 9 6.36 — — 0 2 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lecce vs Bologna?
The final score was Lecce 1–2 Bologna.
What did the model predict before Lecce vs Bologna?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Lecce win, 32% to a draw, and 37% to an Bologna win.