Serie A
· Regular Season - 33
April 20, 2026 20:45
Tiago Gabriel
(ast. A. Gallo)
71'
30'
(ast. R. Mandragora)
J. Harrison
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fiorentina a 47% win probability (draw 31%, Lecce 21%). The final result was Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina. In 1 previous meetings, Lecce have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Fiorentina.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
3
1.46
Actual xG
1.25
2
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
5
Corners
2
18
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
11'
L. Balbo
/
R. Gosens
30'
ast. R. Mandragora ·
J. Harrison⚽
K. Ndri
/ L. Banda
56'
O. Ngom
/ O. Gandelman
57'
W. Cheddira
/ N. Stulic
57'
60'
M. Solomon
/
A. Gudmundsson
Santiago Pierotti
62'
⚽Tiago Gabriel
· ast. A. Gallo
71'
Tiago Gabriel
72'
76'
David De Gea
80'
Marin Pongračić
80'
J. Fazzini
/
J. Harrison
80'
G. Fabbian
/
N. Fagioli
80'
M. Brescianini
/
C. Ndour
82'
Jacopo Fazzini
A. Gallo
/ C. Ndaba
85'
90'+1
Manor Solomon
Pre-match prediction
21.04%
Lecce
31.11%
X ←
47.85%
Fiorentina
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.55
1.46
+0.91
1.17
1.25
+0.08
xG dominance was balanced (1.46 – 1.25).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
G
25
A. Gallo
1 👟
85'
D
A. Gallo
1 👟
85'
D
44
Tiago Gabriel
1 ⚽
D
Tiago Gabriel
1 ⚽
D
5
J. Siebert
D
J. Siebert
D
17
Danilo Veiga
D
Danilo Veiga
D
79
O. Ngom
57'
M
O. Ngom
57'
M
20
Ylber Ramadani
M
Ylber Ramadani
M
11
K. N’Dri
56'
M
K. N’Dri
56'
M
29
L. Coulibaly
M
L. Coulibaly
M
50
S. Pierotti
M
S. Pierotti
M
99
W. Cheddira
57'
F
W. Cheddira
57'
F
Bench
3
C. Ndaba
10'
D
C. Ndaba
10'
D
19
L. Banda
39'
M
L. Banda
39'
M
9
N. Štulić
38'
F
N. Štulić
38'
F
16
O. Gandelman
38'
M
O. Gandelman
38'
M
43
David de Gea
G
David de Gea
G
21
R. Gosens
11'
D
R. Gosens
11'
D
6
L. Ranieri
D
L. Ranieri
D
5
M. Pongračić
D
M. Pongračić
D
2
Dodô
D
Dodô
D
27
C. Ndour
80'
M
C. Ndour
80'
M
44
N. Fagioli
80'
M
N. Fagioli
80'
M
8
R. Mandragora
1 👟
M
R. Mandragora
1 👟
M
10
A. Guðmundsson
60'
F
A. Guðmundsson
60'
F
91
R. Piccoli
F
R. Piccoli
F
17
J. Harrison
1 ⚽
80'
F
J. Harrison
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
3
D. Rugani
D
D. Rugani
D
80
G. Fabbian
15'
M
G. Fabbian
15'
M
22
J. Fazzini
15'
M
J. Fazzini
15'
M
62
Luís Balbo
84'
D
Luís Balbo
84'
D
4
M. Brescianini
15'
M
M. Brescianini
15'
M
19
M. Solomon
35'
F
M. Solomon
35'
F
15
P. Comuzzo
D
P. Comuzzo
D
Best on the pitch
N. Fagioli
M · Fiorentina
8.20
· 32 pass
Ylber Ramadani
M · Lecce
7.90
1 shots
· 54 pass
Dodô
D · Fiorentina
7.50
· 27 pass
L. Banda
M · Lecce
7.30
1 shots
· 9 pass
Danilo Veiga
D · Lecce
7.30
· 31 pass
J. Harrison
F · Fiorentina
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Lecce — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| A. Gallo | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Gabriel | D | 95 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Siebert | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Danilo Veiga | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Ngom | M | 57 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Ylber Ramadani | M | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| K. N’Dri | M | 56 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Coulibaly | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Pierotti | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 28% | 4 | 1 | — |
| W. Cheddira | F | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| C. Ndaba | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Banda | M | 39 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Štulić | F | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| O. Gandelman | M | 38 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
Fiorentina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David de Gea | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Gosens | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Ranieri | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Pongračić | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 48% | — | 1 | — |
| Dodô | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Ndour | M | 80 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Fagioli | M | 80 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Mandragora | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Guðmundsson | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| R. Piccoli | F | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Harrison | F | 80 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Fabbian | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Fazzini | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luís Balbo | D | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Brescianini | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Solomon | F | 35 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lecce vs Fiorentina?
The final score was Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina.
What did the model predict before Lecce vs Fiorentina?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Lecce win, 31% to a draw, and 47% to an Fiorentina win.