Serie A
· Regular Season - 33
April 20, 2026 20:45
Tiago Gabriel
(ast. A. Gallo)
71'
30'
(ast. R. Mandragora)
J. Harrison
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fiorentina a 47% win probability (draw 31%, Lecce 21%). The final result was Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina. In 1 previous meetings, Lecce have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Fiorentina.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
3
1.46
Actual xG
1.25
2
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
5
Corners
2
18
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
11'
L. Balbo
/
R. Gosens
30'
ast. R. Mandragora ·
J. Harrison⚽
K. Ndri
/ L. Banda
56'
O. Ngom
/ O. Gandelman
57'
W. Cheddira
/ N. Stulic
57'
60'
M. Solomon
/
A. Gudmundsson
Santiago Pierotti
62'
⚽Tiago Gabriel
· ast. A. Gallo
71'
Tiago Gabriel
72'
76'
David De Gea
80'
Marin Pongračić
80'
J. Fazzini
/
J. Harrison
80'
G. Fabbian
/
N. Fagioli
80'
M. Brescianini
/
C. Ndour
82'
Jacopo Fazzini
A. Gallo
/ C. Ndaba
85'
90'+1
Manor Solomon
Pre-match prediction
21.04%
Lecce
31.11%
X ←
47.85%
Fiorentina
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.55
1.46
+0.91
1.17
1.25
+0.08
xG dominance was balanced (1.46 – 1.25).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
G
25
Antonino Gallo
1 👟
85'
D
Antonino Gallo
1 👟
85'
D
44
Tiago Gabriel
1 ⚽
D
Tiago Gabriel
1 ⚽
D
5
J. Siebert
D
J. Siebert
D
17
Danilo Veiga
D
Danilo Veiga
D
79
Oumar Ngom
57'
M
Oumar Ngom
57'
M
20
Ylber Ramadani
M
11
N'Dri Konan
56'
M
29
Lassana Coulibaly
M
Lassana Coulibaly
M
50
Santiago Pierotti
M
Santiago Pierotti
M
99
Walid Cheddira
57'
F
Walid Cheddira
57'
F
Bench
3
Corrie Ndaba
10'
D
Corrie Ndaba
10'
D
19
L. Banda
39'
M
L. Banda
39'
M
9
Nikola Štulić
38'
F
Nikola Štulić
38'
F
16
Omri Gandelman
38'
M
Omri Gandelman
38'
M
43
David De Gea
G
David De Gea
G
21
Robin Gosens
11'
D
Robin Gosens
11'
D
6
L. Ranieri
D
L. Ranieri
D
5
M. Pongračić
D
M. Pongračić
D
2
Dodô
D
Dodô
D
27
C. Ndour
80'
M
C. Ndour
80'
M
44
Nicolò Fagioli
80'
M
Nicolò Fagioli
80'
M
8
Rolando Mandragora
1 👟
M
Rolando Mandragora
1 👟
M
10
A. Guðmundsson
60'
F
A. Guðmundsson
60'
F
91
Roberto Piccoli
F
Roberto Piccoli
F
17
Jack Harrison
1 ⚽
80'
F
Jack Harrison
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
3
Daniele Rugani
D
Daniele Rugani
D
80
Giovanni Fabbian
15'
M
Giovanni Fabbian
15'
M
22
Jacopo Fazzini
15'
M
Jacopo Fazzini
15'
M
62
Luís Balbo
84'
D
4
Marco Brescianini
15'
M
Marco Brescianini
15'
M
19
M. Solomon
35'
F
M. Solomon
35'
F
15
Pietro Comuzzo
D
Pietro Comuzzo
D
Best on the pitch
Nicolò Fagioli
M · Fiorentina
8.20
· 32 pass
Ylber Ramadani
M · Lecce
7.90
1 shots
· 54 pass
Dodô
D · Fiorentina
7.50
· 27 pass
L. Banda
M · Lecce
7.30
1 shots
· 9 pass
Danilo Veiga
D · Lecce
7.30
· 31 pass
Jack Harrison
F · Fiorentina
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Lecce — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Antonino Gallo | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Gabriel | D | 95 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Siebert | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Danilo Veiga | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Oumar Ngom | M | 57 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Ylber Ramadani | M | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| N'Dri Konan | M | 56 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Lassana Coulibaly | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Santiago Pierotti | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 28% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Walid Cheddira | F | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Corrie Ndaba | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Banda | M | 39 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Nikola Štulić | F | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Omri Gandelman | M | 38 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
Fiorentina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David De Gea | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Robin Gosens | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Ranieri | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Pongračić | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 48% | — | 1 | — |
| Dodô | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Ndour | M | 80 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolò Fagioli | M | 80 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Rolando Mandragora | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Guðmundsson | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Roberto Piccoli | F | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jack Harrison | F | 80 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Giovanni Fabbian | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jacopo Fazzini | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luís Balbo | D | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Marco Brescianini | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Solomon | F | 35 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lecce vs Fiorentina?
The final score was Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina.
What did the model predict before Lecce vs Fiorentina?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Lecce win, 31% to a draw, and 47% to an Fiorentina win.