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Serie A · Regular Season - 38 May 24, 2026 20:45
Lecce
#12 · 6 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Genoa
#19 · 1 pts
L. Banda (ast. S. Pierotti) 6'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lecce a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Genoa 29%). The final result was Lecce 1–0 Genoa. In 1 previous meetings, Lecce have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Genoa.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
1
1.76
Actual xG
0.77
1
Saves
3
32%
Possession
68%
1
Corners
6
9
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽L. Banda · ast. S. Pierotti
6'
Y. Ramadani
45'
↕ O. Ngom / O. Gandelman
46'
60'
B. Norton-Cuffy / A. Martin ↕
60'
W. L. Ouedraogo / S. Sabelli ↕
↕ L. Banda / K. Ndri
65'
69'
J. Grossi / Amorim ↕
Tiago Gabriel
76'
↕ W. Cheddira / N. Stulic
80'
↕ S. Pierotti / G. Jean
80'
83'
G. Lafont / A. Marcandalli ↕
83'
F. Carbone / P. Masini ↕
↕ Y. Ramadani / K. Gaspar
89'
Pre-match prediction
37.77%
Lecce ←
32.97%
X
29.27%
Genoa
we assigned to the actual result (Lecce) 37.77% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lecce
0.77
1.76
+0.99
Genoa
0.80
0.77
-0.03
Lecce dominated by xG (1.76 vs 0.77). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AS Roma AS Roma 5 13
2 Inter Inter 5 13
3 Lazio Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Cagliari 5 12
5 AC Milan AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Frosinone 5 10
7 Juventus Juventus 5 10
8 Como Como 5 10
9 Napoli Napoli 5 7
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 5 7
11 Atalanta Atalanta 5 6
12 Lecce Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Udinese 5 4
14 Torino Torino 5 4
15 Parma Parma 5 4
16 Monza Monza 5 4
17 Fiorentina Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna Bologna 5 2
19 Genoa Genoa 5 1
20 Venezia Venezia 5 0
Lineups
Lecce Lecce 4-2-3-1
30 Wladimiro Falcone Wladimiro Falcone G 7.20
25 Antonino Gallo Antonino Gallo D 7.50
44 Tiago Gabriel Tiago Gabriel D 6.90
5 Jamil Siebert Jamil Siebert D 7.30
17 Danilo Veiga Danilo Veiga D 6.90
79 Oumar Ngom Oumar Ngom 45' M 6.50
20 Y. Ramadani Y. Ramadani 89' M 7.00
19 L. Banda L. Banda 1 ⚽ 65' M 7.20
29 L. Coulibaly L. Coulibaly M 6.30
50 Santiago Pierotti Santiago Pierotti 1 👟 80' M 6.50
99 W. Cheddira W. Cheddira 80' F 6.60
Bench
6 Álex Sala Álex Sala M
1 C. Früchtl C. Früchtl G
3 Corrie Ndaba Corrie Ndaba D
36 F. Marchwiński F. Marchwiński M
22 Francesco Camarda Francesco Camarda F
18 Gaby Jean Gaby Jean 13' D 6.30
32 J. Samooja J. Samooja G
4 Kialonda Gaspar Kialonda Gaspar 4' D
11 Konan N'Dri Konan N'Dri 28' F 6.30
13 M. Pérez M. Pérez D
9 Nikola Štulić Nikola Štulić 13' F 6.70
16 O. Gandelman O. Gandelman 48' M 6.20
28 Olaf Gorter Olaf Gorter M
8 S. Fofana S. Fofana M
14 Þ. Helgason Þ. Helgason M
Genoa Genoa 3-5-1-1
1 N. Leali N. Leali G 7.20
13 N. Zätterström N. Zätterström D 6.20
34 Sebastian Otoa Sebastian Otoa D 6.60
27 Alessandro Marcandalli Alessandro Marcandalli 83' D 7.00
3 A. Martin A. Martin 60' M 7.20
73 P. Masini P. Masini 83' M 6.90
4 Alexsandro Amorim Alexsandro Amorim 69' M 6.50
32 Morten Frendrup Morten Frendrup M 6.50
20 Stefano Sabelli Stefano Sabelli 60' M 6.30
77 M. Ellertsson M. Ellertsson F 6.60
29 L. Colombo L. Colombo F 6.30
Bench
15 B. Norton-Cuffy B. Norton-Cuffy 33' D 6.30
39 Daniele Sommariva Daniele Sommariva G
97 Elia Spicuglia Elia Spicuglia F
71 Filippo Carbone Filippo Carbone 10' M 7.20
75 Gael Lafont Gael Lafont 10' M 6.70
80 Jacopo Grossi Jacopo Grossi 24' M 6.30
16 Justin Bijlow Justin Bijlow G
22 J. Vásquez J. Vásquez D
74 Mamedi Doucoure Mamedi Doucoure D
19 Marco Romano Marco Romano M
99 W. L. Ouedraogo W. L. Ouedraogo 33' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
Antonino Gallo
Antonino Gallo
D · Lecce
7.50
1 shots · 23 pass
Jamil Siebert
Jamil Siebert
D · Lecce
7.30
· 27 pass
Filippo Carbone
Filippo Carbone
M · Genoa
7.20
· 6 pass
A. Martin
A. Martin
M · Genoa
7.20
· 22 pass
N. Leali
N. Leali
G · Genoa
7.20
· 42 pass
L. Banda
L. Banda
M · Lecce
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 4 pass
Lecce Lecce — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Wladimiro Falcone G 93 7.20 — — — 29 16% — — —
Antonino Gallo D 93 7.50 — — 1 23 17% — — —
Tiago Gabriel D 93 6.90 — — — 30 22% 1 1 —
Jamil Siebert D 93 7.30 — — — 27 26% 2 — —
Danilo Veiga D 93 6.90 — — — 29 23% 3 — —
Oumar Ngom M 45 6.50 — — — 6 3% — — —
Y. Ramadani M 89 7.00 — — — 33 26% 1 1 —
L. Banda M 65 7.20 1 — 3 4 3% — — —
L. Coulibaly M 93 6.30 — — 2 18 16% — — —
Santiago Pierotti M 80 6.50 — 1 1 19 11% 2 — —
W. Cheddira F 80 6.60 — — 2 6 4% — — —
Gaby Jean D 13 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Kialonda Gaspar D 4 — — — — — — — — —
Konan N'Dri F 28 6.30 — — — 4 1% — — —
Nikola Štulić F 13 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
O. Gandelman M 48 6.20 — — — 9 4% — — —
Genoa Genoa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Leali G 93 7.20 — — — 42 34% — — —
N. Zätterström D 93 6.20 — — — 71 61% 1 — —
Sebastian Otoa D 93 6.60 — — — 68 62% — — —
Alessandro Marcandalli D 83 7.00 — — 1 59 53% 2 — —
A. Martin M 60 7.20 — — — 22 17% 1 — —
P. Masini M 83 6.90 — — 2 35 29% 5 — —
Alexsandro Amorim M 69 6.50 — — — 33 28% 2 — —
Morten Frendrup M 93 6.50 — — — 57 47% 1 — —
Stefano Sabelli M 60 6.30 — — 2 23 14% — — —
M. Ellertsson F 93 6.60 — — — 20 17% — — —
L. Colombo F 93 6.30 — — 1 16 13% 2 — —
B. Norton-Cuffy D 33 6.30 — — — 13 12% 1 — —
Filippo Carbone M 10 7.20 — — — 6 6% 2 — —
Gael Lafont M 10 6.70 — — — 13 12% — — —
Jacopo Grossi M 24 6.30 — — — 12 12% — — —
W. L. Ouedraogo D 33 6.30 — — — 14 8% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lecce vs Genoa?
The final score was Lecce 1–0 Genoa.
What did the model predict before Lecce vs Genoa?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Lecce win, 32% to a draw, and 29% to an Genoa win.