Serie A
· Regular Season - 38
May 24, 2026 20:45
L. Banda
(ast. S. Pierotti)
6'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lecce a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Genoa 29%). The final result was Lecce 1–0 Genoa. In 1 previous meetings, Lecce have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Genoa.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
1
1.76
Actual xG
0.77
1
Saves
3
32%
Possession
68%
1
Corners
6
9
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽L. Banda
· ast. S. Pierotti
6'
Y. Ramadani
45'
O. Ngom
/ O. Gandelman
46'
60'
B. Norton-Cuffy
/
A. Martin
60'
W. L. Ouedraogo
/
S. Sabelli
L. Banda
/ K. Ndri
65'
69'
J. Grossi
/
Amorim
Tiago Gabriel
76'
W. Cheddira
/ N. Stulic
80'
S. Pierotti
/ G. Jean
80'
83'
G. Lafont
/
A. Marcandalli
83'
F. Carbone
/
P. Masini
Y. Ramadani
/ K. Gaspar
89'
Pre-match prediction
37.77%
Lecce ←
32.97%
X
29.27%
Genoa
we assigned to the actual result (Lecce)
37.77%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.77
1.76
+0.99
0.80
0.77
-0.03
Lecce dominated by xG (1.76 vs 0.77).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
Wladimiro Falcone
G
Wladimiro Falcone
G
25
Antonino Gallo
D
Antonino Gallo
D
44
Tiago Gabriel
D
Tiago Gabriel
D
5
J. Siebert
D
J. Siebert
D
17
Danilo Veiga
D
Danilo Veiga
D
79
Oumar Ngom
45'
M
Oumar Ngom
45'
M
20
Ylber Ramadani
89'
M
19
L. Banda
1 ⚽
65'
M
L. Banda
1 ⚽
65'
M
29
Lassana Coulibaly
M
Lassana Coulibaly
M
50
Santiago Pierotti
1 👟
80'
M
Santiago Pierotti
1 👟
80'
M
99
Walid Cheddira
80'
F
Walid Cheddira
80'
F
Bench
6
Alex Sala
M
Alex Sala
M
1
Christian Früchtl
G
Christian Früchtl
G
3
Corrie Ndaba
D
Corrie Ndaba
D
36
Filip Marchwiński
M
Filip Marchwiński
M
22
Francesco Camarda
F
Francesco Camarda
F
18
Gaby Jean
13'
D
Gaby Jean
13'
D
32
Jasper Samooja
G
Jasper Samooja
G
4
Kialonda Gaspar
4'
D
Kialonda Gaspar
4'
D
13
Matías Pérez
D
Matías Pérez
D
11
N'Dri Konan
28'
F
9
Nikola Štulić
13'
F
Nikola Štulić
13'
F
28
Olaf Gorter
M
Olaf Gorter
M
16
Omri Gandelman
48'
M
Omri Gandelman
48'
M
8
Sadik Fofana
M
Sadik Fofana
M
14
Þórir Jóhann Helgason
M
Þórir Jóhann Helgason
M
1
Nicola Leali
G
Nicola Leali
G
13
Nils Zätterström
D
Nils Zätterström
D
34
Sebastian Otoa
D
Sebastian Otoa
D
27
Alessandro Marcandalli
83'
D
Alessandro Marcandalli
83'
D
3
Aarón Martín
60'
M
Aarón Martín
60'
M
73
Patrizio Masini
83'
M
Patrizio Masini
83'
M
4
Alexsandro Amorim
69'
M
Alexsandro Amorim
69'
M
32
Morten Frendrup
M
Morten Frendrup
M
20
Stefano Sabelli
60'
M
Stefano Sabelli
60'
M
77
Mikael Ellertsson
F
Mikael Ellertsson
F
29
Lorenzo Colombo
F
Lorenzo Colombo
F
Bench
15
Brooke Norton-Cuffy
33'
D
Brooke Norton-Cuffy
33'
D
39
Daniele Sommariva
G
Daniele Sommariva
G
97
Elia Spicuglia
F
Elia Spicuglia
F
71
Filippo Carbone
10'
M
Filippo Carbone
10'
M
75
Gael Lafont
10'
M
Gael Lafont
10'
M
80
Jacopo Grossi
24'
M
Jacopo Grossi
24'
M
22
Johan Vásquez
D
Johan Vásquez
D
16
Justin Bijlow
G
Justin Bijlow
G
74
Mamedi Doucoure
D
Mamedi Doucoure
D
19
Marco Romano
M
Marco Romano
M
99
Wedtoin Latif Ouedraogo
33'
D
Wedtoin Latif Ouedraogo
33'
D
Best on the pitch
Antonino Gallo
D · Lecce
7.50
1 shots
· 23 pass
J. Siebert
D · Lecce
7.30
· 27 pass
Filippo Carbone
M · Genoa
7.20
· 6 pass
Aarón Martín
M · Genoa
7.20
· 22 pass
Nicola Leali
G · Genoa
7.20
· 42 pass
L. Banda
M · Lecce
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 4 pass
Lecce — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wladimiro Falcone | G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Antonino Gallo | D | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Gabriel | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Siebert | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Danilo Veiga | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Oumar Ngom | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Ylber Ramadani | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Banda | M | 65 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Lassana Coulibaly | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Pierotti | M | 80 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Walid Cheddira | F | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Gaby Jean | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Kialonda Gaspar | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N'Dri Konan | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Nikola Štulić | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Omri Gandelman | M | 48 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | — | — | — |
Genoa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicola Leali | G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Nils Zätterström | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 71 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastian Otoa | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 68 | 62% | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Marcandalli | D | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Aarón Martín | M | 60 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Patrizio Masini | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 29% | 5 | — | — |
| Alexsandro Amorim | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Morten Frendrup | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 57 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Stefano Sabelli | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Mikael Ellertsson | F | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Colombo | F | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Brooke Norton-Cuffy | D | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Filippo Carbone | M | 10 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Gael Lafont | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Jacopo Grossi | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Wedtoin Latif Ouedraogo | D | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lecce vs Genoa?
The final score was Lecce 1–0 Genoa.
What did the model predict before Lecce vs Genoa?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Lecce win, 32% to a draw, and 29% to an Genoa win.