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← Serie A

Lecce - Monza

Serie A September 13, 2026 15:00
Lecce
#14 · 3 pts
vs
Monza
#18 · 1 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.2%
Win
Lecce
28.77%
Draw
41.03%
Win
Monza
0.99
Expected xG
3.74

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (9.69%)
1X2 Result
1 30%
X 29%
2 41%
Double Chance
1X 59%
X2 70%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 50%
✓ 60.0% hit rate (30 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Monza a 41% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Lecce. Expected goals are 1.0 for Lecce and 3.7 for Monza (total 4.7), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 9.69% probability.

Season Stats

Lecce
5W 2D 8L
Monza
0W 1D 2L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
1.3
1.5
Conceded
2.7
2.8
Shots OT
4.3
3.4
Corners
3.0
39%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
47%
O 2.5
67%
40%
BTTS
100%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Serie A. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
Lecce
3W 2D 5L · at home
Monza
0W 1D 1L · away
0.7
gls/g
1.0
1.5
Conceded
2.5
30%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
70%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
10%
O 3.5
50%
40%
BTTS
100%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Lecce Monza →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.9% 3.3% 6.1% 7.7% 7.2% 5.4%
1 0.9% 3.3% 6.1% 7.6% 7.1% 5.3%
2 0.4% 1.6% 3.0% 3.8% 3.5% 2.7%
3 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.9%
4 — 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
5 — — — 0.1% 0.1% —

Recent form

Lecce Lecce
L Cagliari 1–0
L AS Roma 0–4
W Venezia 0–2
W Genoa 1–0
W Sassuolo 2–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
Monza Monza
D Parma 1–1
L Udinese 2–3
L Inter 4–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 39%

Playing profile

Lecce Lecce
Attack
17
Defence
36
Form
26
Monza Monza
Attack
39
Defence
52
Form
24
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Lazio Lazio 4 10
2 AS Roma AS Roma 3 9
3 Inter Inter 3 9
4 Cagliari Cagliari 4 9
5 AC Milan AC Milan 4 8
6 Como Como 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Frosinone Frosinone 4 7
9 Atalanta Atalanta 4 6
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 3 4
11 Udinese Udinese 3 4
12 Napoli Napoli 3 3
13 Torino Torino 3 3
14 Lecce Lecce 3 3
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 4 3
16 Bologna Bologna 3 1
17 Parma Parma 3 1
18 Monza Monza 3 1
19 Genoa Genoa 4 1
20 Venezia Venezia 4 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lecce vs Monza?
The model gives Lecce a 30% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 41% for an Monza win.
How many goals are expected in Lecce vs Monza?
Expected goals: Lecce 1.0, Monza 3.7 (total 4.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Lecce vs Monza?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.69%.