Serie A
· Regular Season - 4
September 13, 2026 15:00
L. Coulibaly
(ast. I. Ilic)
3'
Tiago Gabriel
(ast. I. Ilic)
10'
L. Coulibaly
(ast. D. Veiga)
21'
20'
(ast. S. Birindelli)
R. Mangas
89'
E. Zeballos
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monza a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Lecce 30%). The final result was Lecce 3–2 Monza.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
10
1.08
Actual xG
2.74
7
Saves
0
39%
Possession
61%
4
Corners
4
33
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽L. Coulibaly
· ast. I. Ilic
3'
⚽Tiago Gabriel
· ast. I. Ilic
10'
20'
ast. S. Birindelli ·
R. Mangas⚽
⚽L. Coulibaly
· ast. D. Veiga
21'
K. Ndri
38'
46'
A. Bakoune
/
R. Mangas
K. Ndri
/ S. Pierotti
46'
64'
P. Cutrone
/
J. Robinson
64'
E. Zeballos
/
A. Colpani
I. Ilic
/ O. Ngom
66'
J. Monteiro
/ A. Fatah
74'
N. Stulic
/ P. Esteban
74'
75'
O. Forson
/
G. Varela
84'
M. Mout
/
E. Akinsanmiro
Y. Maleh
/ M. Kaba
85'
89'
E. Zeballos⚽
D. Veiga
90'
Pre-match prediction
30.2%
Lecce ←
28.77%
X
41.03%
Monza
we assigned to the actual result (Lecce)
30.2%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.99
1.08
+0.09
3.74
2.74
-1.0
Monza dominated by xG (2.74 vs 1.08).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
W. Falcone
G
W. Falcone
G
25
A. Gallo
D
A. Gallo
D
44
Tiago Gabriel
1 ⚽
D
Tiago Gabriel
1 ⚽
D
5
J. Siebert
D
J. Siebert
D
17
Danilo Veiga
1 👟
D
Danilo Veiga
1 👟
D
14
Y. Maleh
85'
M
Y. Maleh
85'
M
20
I. Ilić
2 👟
66'
M
I. Ilić
2 👟
66'
M
29
L. Coulibaly
2 ⚽
M
L. Coulibaly
2 ⚽
M
99
Joël Monteiro
74'
F
Joël Monteiro
74'
F
9
N. Štulić
74'
F
N. Štulić
74'
F
11
K. N’Dri
45'
F
K. N’Dri
45'
F
Bench
7
A. Ahmed Fatah
18'
F
A. Ahmed Fatah
18'
F
32
A. Borbei
G
A. Borbei
G
2
A. Dembélé
D
A. Dembélé
D
3
C. Ndaba
D
C. Ndaba
D
31
E. Scott
D
E. Scott
D
18
G. Jean
D
G. Jean
D
4
Kialonda Gaspar
D
Kialonda Gaspar
D
1
M. Bleve
G
M. Bleve
G
77
M. Kaba
7'
M
M. Kaba
7'
M
28
Olaf Gorter
M
Olaf Gorter
M
79
O. Ngom
26'
M
O. Ngom
26'
M
22
Paco Esteban
18'
F
Paco Esteban
18'
F
8
S. Fofana
M
S. Fofana
M
50
S. Pierotti
47'
F
S. Pierotti
47'
F
20
D. Thiam
G
D. Thiam
G
44
A. Carboni
D
A. Carboni
D
3
L. Lucchesi
D
L. Lucchesi
D
60
E. Kouadio
D
E. Kouadio
D
7
Ricardo Mangas
1 ⚽
45'
M
Ricardo Mangas
1 ⚽
45'
M
14
E. Akinsanmiro
84'
M
E. Akinsanmiro
84'
M
90
M. Folorunsho
M
M. Folorunsho
M
19
S. Birindelli
1 👟
M
S. Birindelli
1 👟
M
46
Jay Robinson
64'
F
Jay Robinson
64'
F
28
A. Colpani
64'
F
A. Colpani
64'
F
9
Gustavo Varela
75'
F
Gustavo Varela
75'
F
Bench
24
A. Bakoune
47'
D
A. Bakoune
47'
D
43
A. Strajnar
G
A. Strajnar
G
47
Dany Mota
F
Dany Mota
F
22
E. Zeballos
1 ⚽
28'
F
E. Zeballos
1 ⚽
28'
F
21
L. Colombo
M
L. Colombo
M
80
M. Mout
8'
M
M. Mout
8'
M
8
M. Ondoa
M
M. Ondoa
M
1
N. Törnqvist
G
N. Törnqvist
G
11
O. Forson
17'
F
O. Forson
17'
F
10
P. Cutrone
28'
F
P. Cutrone
28'
F
2
S. Goglichidze
D
S. Goglichidze
D
6
V. Antov
D
V. Antov
D
5
Y. Maye
D
Y. Maye
D
Best on the pitch
L. Coulibaly
M · Lecce
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 30 pass
Danilo Veiga
D · Lecce
7.70
1 👟
· 22 pass
I. Ilić
M · Lecce
7.70
2 👟
· 38 pass
W. Falcone
G · Lecce
7.60
· 39 pass
Tiago Gabriel
D · Lecce
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
E. Zeballos
F · Monza
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Lecce — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Falcone | G | 92 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 18% | — | — | — |
| A. Gallo | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Tiago Gabriel | D | 92 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Siebert | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Danilo Veiga | D | 92 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 18% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Y. Maleh | M | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Ilić | M | 66 | 7.70 | — | 2 | — | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Coulibaly | M | 92 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 3 | 30 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| Joël Monteiro | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Štulić | F | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| K. N’Dri | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Ahmed Fatah | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Kaba | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Ngom | M | 26 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Paco Esteban | F | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Pierotti | F | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
Monza — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thiam | G | 92 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| A. Carboni | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 80 | 69% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Lucchesi | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 61% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Kouadio | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 44% | 7 | — | — |
| Ricardo Mangas | M | 45 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Akinsanmiro | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Folorunsho | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 67 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Birindelli | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Jay Robinson | F | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Colpani | F | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Varela | F | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Bakoune | D | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| E. Zeballos | F | 28 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Mout | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Forson | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| P. Cutrone | F | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lecce vs Monza?
The final score was Lecce 3–2 Monza.
What did the model predict before Lecce vs Monza?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Lecce win, 28% to a draw, and 41% to an Monza win.